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Post by TheRomanSlayer on Apr 28, 2020 1:03:29 GMT
In OTL, Richard III had a larger army than Henry Tudor, but still managed to lose this battle with the untimely intervention of the Stanley family on Henry's side. The rest is history and the Tudor dynasty succeeds the Plantagenets as the ruling dynasty of England.
What would have happened if both Richard III and Henry Tudor were killed on Bosworth Field? What would the succession be like, and would any minor noble try to usurp the crown, with the Percys, Stanleys, and Thomas Howard angling for the top job? One thing that would definitely come out of this possible double death would have been the Lancastrian line's permanent end (though it is worth noting that through Philipa of Lancaster's marriage with John I of Portugal, her notable descendants included the Prince Afonso who died in a horse riding accident in 1491, making Philippa Afonso's great-great-grandmother)
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stevep
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Post by stevep on Apr 28, 2020 11:18:02 GMT
In OTL, Richard III had a larger army than Henry Tudor, but still managed to lose this battle with the untimely intervention of the Stanley family on Henry's side. The rest is history and the Tudor dynasty succeeds the Plantagenets as the ruling dynasty of England. What would have happened if both Richard III and Henry Tudor were killed on Bosworth Field? What would the succession be like, and would any minor noble try to usurp the crown, with the Percys, Stanleys, and Thomas Howard angling for the top job? One thing that would definitely come out of this possible double death would have been the Lancastrian line's permanent end (though it is worth noting that through Philipa of Lancaster's marriage with John I of Portugal, her notable descendants included the Prince Afonso who died in a horse riding accident in 1491, making Philippa Afonso's great-great-grandmother)
Interesting question. Probably difficult to achieve as once one claimant died their supporters generally lose heart so really needs both to die in pretty short succession and also both deaths to be known.
Likely to be a further period of chaos and conflict with assorted powerful figures struggling for power. Assuming that the son's of Edward IV were actually killed by Richard, which is the accepted story but some doubt has been raised on this then Edward's daughter Elizabeth, who Henry VII married after his OTL victory is probably the primary prize. Likely to be one of the big players would seek to secure and to cement their position and perhaps claim the throne themselves if they married her. If the princes are still alive then Richard's claim of their illegitimacy may be ignored/rejected and they become pawns of someone, who seeked to control them and become regent for the older prince Edward.
I agree its likely to end with a member of the Yorkish line on the throne, albeit if the princes are dead it might be something like the Tudor situation with Elizabeth married into whoever's family wins out in the following power struggle.
Digging down a bit when Edward's children were declared illegitimate and Richard III took the throne, as he had no offspring his designated heirs were the children of his dead brother George Duke of Clarence. As such they could also be 'claimants' or more accurately tools of others I suspect. He had four children, two of which died young so the primary heir here would be his son Edward, who was 10 years old at this point. If the worst comes to the worst you could have factions fighting in the name of both Edward and Elizabeth, which might prolong the war further.
Steve
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Post by TheRomanSlayer on Apr 29, 2020 4:38:21 GMT
Which lucky prince would be the one to marry Elizabeth of York if Henry Tudor isn't available? It's not like the House of York would constantly look for French princesses or duchesses while there are other possible places to secure a marital alliance. The House of Lancaster has a connection to Portugal already, though are there any other places that the House of York hasn't yet tried to find a good husband for Elizabth of York?
If the Wars of Roses lasted much longer than 1485, you might not have a clear winner for the throne of England until the 1490s at the most.
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stevep
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Post by stevep on Apr 29, 2020 12:41:43 GMT
Which lucky prince would be the one to marry Elizabeth of York if Henry Tudor isn't available? It's not like the House of York would constantly look for French princesses or duchesses while there are other possible places to secure a marital alliance. The House of Lancaster has a connection to Portugal already, though are there any other places that the House of York hasn't yet tried to find a good husband for Elizabth of York? If the Wars of Roses lasted much longer than 1485, you might not have a clear winner for the throne of England until the 1490s at the most.
Afraid I can't really advise on that. My knowledge is limited and I came up with what I said via some quick Wiki reading to refresh my knowledge. Probably whichever noble who fancied his chances or who could get hold of her or make a deal with her - or possibly her family, not sure who was still alive and powerful. Some of the names you mentioned, such as the Howard's, Stanley's or Percies might be up there but there might be others.
Agree that the war probably wouldn't last that many more years. There simply wasn't that many claimants still alive, probably also a shortage of men both willing and able to fight. Definitely hope there's only one more round at most as the country has been torn apart periodically for a couple of decades now.
Steve
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Post by TheRomanSlayer on Apr 30, 2020 1:57:59 GMT
A dead Henry VII also means no Margaret Tudor for James IV of Scotland to marry, possibly crippling any chances of uniting the Scottish and English thrones unless he goes for broke and proposes himself as a possible suitor for Elizabeth of York, though that might also be unlikely.
I also wonder if the shortages of qualified Yorkist candidates would also mean that England might try its luck at an elective monarchy as an alternative to the hereditary monarchy. I'm not sure if there was any hint of a democratic tradition in England, though the presence of a parliament would indicate that it manages to curb some of the excesses of absolutism. I would think that an English parliament might be open to the idea of an elective monarchy that may see any Howard, Stanley, Percy or even a Boleyn as a new dynasty that can replace the Plantagenets in the absence of the Tudors.
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stevep
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Post by stevep on Apr 30, 2020 11:37:28 GMT
A dead Henry VII also means no Margaret Tudor for James IV of Scotland to marry, possibly crippling any chances of uniting the Scottish and English thrones unless he goes for broke and proposes himself as a possible suitor for Elizabeth of York, though that might also be unlikely. I also wonder if the shortages of qualified Yorkist candidates would also mean that England might try its luck at an elective monarchy as an alternative to the hereditary monarchy. I'm not sure if there was any hint of a democratic tradition in England, though the presence of a parliament would indicate that it manages to curb some of the excesses of absolutism. I would think that an English parliament might be open to the idea of an elective monarchy that may see any Howard, Stanley, Percy or even a Boleyn as a new dynasty that can replace the Plantagenets in the absence of the Tudors.
Well to a degree the monarchy was elected prior to 1066 as the monarch was formally selected by the grand council. This was normally a member of the Wessex dynasty or a Danish conqueror a couple of times but Harald II got the role as both the most powerful noble and an experienced military commander when England faced multiple external threats, and came close to saving the country. However that was pretty much ended when William managed to seize power and the monarchy the Normans brought in, while often restrained by powerful nobles when the king was weak, was fundamentally autocratic in a way that the Anglo-Saxon period was not. Given that the main players are the same powerful noble families their probably unlikely to welcome any restrictions on their power, either as nobles or as prospective kings by Parliament or other bodies. Plus the previous tradition had been lost for several centuries here so it could be difficult to get recognition of the idea. Possibly the HRE could be a model here but then given the tension that generated between the ruler and the Papacy that could be a bad idea.
I think parliament was starting to regain some power and had important powers in some control of tax raising, hence the king needed it for waging foreign wars. However it was still pretty weak and seems to have been under the control of powerful monarchs such as Henry XIII and Elizabeth I for much of their reign with little restraint.
Steve
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Post by TheRomanSlayer on May 1, 2020 5:34:05 GMT
Would the House of York remain popular though in the long run? Since you have Richard III alienating everyone and in this scenario you have both symbolic leaders of the two feuding houses literally dropping dead at Bosworth Field, will England tolerate another Yorkist king?
Looking up Wikipedia (after a great difficulty), I might have some candidates for an alternate husband of Elizabeth of York, mostly Scottish noblemen. George Douglas, the son of the 5th Earl of Angus. Though other Scottish nobles might have better luck, and through Elizabeth of York in this scenario, you may have the Yorkist connection made in Scotland. A continental choice for Elizabeth of York wouldn't go as far past France, though various princes of the HRE might be eager to acquire such a valuable bride.
Why did the Tudors feared a Yorkist restoration in OTL?
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stevep
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Post by stevep on May 1, 2020 11:46:30 GMT
Would the House of York remain popular though in the long run? Since you have Richard III alienating everyone and in this scenario you have both symbolic leaders of the two feuding houses literally dropping dead at Bosworth Field, will England tolerate another Yorkist king? Looking up Wikipedia (after a great difficulty), I might have some candidates for an alternate husband of Elizabeth of York, mostly Scottish noblemen. George Douglas, the son of the 5th Earl of Angus. Though other Scottish nobles might have better luck, and through Elizabeth of York in this scenario, you may have the Yorkist connection made in Scotland. A continental choice for Elizabeth of York wouldn't go as far past France, though various princes of the HRE might be eager to acquire such a valuable bride. Why did the Tudors feared a Yorkist restoration in OTL?
I think the key question is how unpopular Richard was as while a number of nobles did ultimately play a major role in deposing him a lot of the hostility toward him may have been a result of later Tudor propaganda against him to discredit both him and hence the house of York. Henry Tudor's claim to the throne by blood, as opposed to conquest, was fairly flimsy so that could well have been a factor. [Hence as you said in the last point Henry did fear a Yorkish restoration]. Also the bloodshed had been so bad among the assorted claimants that other than Henry I don't think there was a Lancasterians claimant left so if both died the only people with a blood claim to the throne were Yorkists. Either the princes, if still alive, their sister Margret or their cousins, the children of the Duke of Clarence.
My own feeling is that a husband for Margret is more likely to be one of the English nobles, although they would have to win the support of at least some of their rivals. A foreign husband, who would be seen as king even if there was some agreement trying to limit his powers - as I believe happened later when Mary married Philip II of Spain - and could be seen as unpopular for that reason while I'm not sure what a Scottish noble could offer for such a match. [Other than as possibly a compromise candidate because none of the powerful English nobles would allow one of their rivals the post.] However I could be wrong as like you I'm checking up on a lot of the details and if you start a thread its your story to tell.
Steve
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Post by TheRomanSlayer on May 2, 2020 5:57:01 GMT
Margaret? You meant Elizabeth of York.
But yes, I could see England not being the same once the end of an extended Wars of Roses arrived. You might have a situation where a different kind of Scottish match may pose a dilemma for the House of Stewart in terms of how their biggest rival had made a match with the English Princess, which would have boosted their own power.
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stevep
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Post by stevep on May 2, 2020 11:01:49 GMT
Margaret? You meant Elizabeth of York. But yes, I could see England not being the same once the end of an extended Wars of Roses arrived. You might have a situation where a different kind of Scottish match may pose a dilemma for the House of Stewart in terms of how their biggest rival had made a match with the English Princess, which would have boosted their own power.
Sorry, yes Elizabeth. My error. That could definitely be a complication if she was married to a major Scottish noble as not only would there be questions on how well the English accepted him but how upset the Stewarts/Stuarts would be at one of their rivals becoming king or at least prince consort of England.
Steve
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Post by TheRomanSlayer on May 2, 2020 20:24:04 GMT
That would have made a potential War of Scottish Succession even bloodier, especially if the Stewarts ran out of heirs for the throne, and they're planning to replay the Wars of Roses, only it would be a Scottish version instead of an English version. Moreover, the issue of who gets to marry James IV of Scotland would become a hot topic as well since continental Europe may have a vested interest in possibly encircling England, as well as France too.
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stevep
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Post by stevep on May 3, 2020 11:38:00 GMT
That would have made a potential War of Scottish Succession even bloodier, especially if the Stewarts ran out of heirs for the throne, and they're planning to replay the Wars of Roses, only it would be a Scottish version instead of an English version. Moreover, the issue of who gets to marry James IV of Scotland would become a hot topic as well since continental Europe may have a vested interest in possibly encircling England, as well as France too.
Good question. If one of his main nobles and potential rivals has married Elizabeth of York and become powerful in England he's not likely to marry an English wife. Unless possibly he married Margaret, the surviving daughter of George, Duke of Clarence, which would give him a significant claim to the English throne himself and possibly trigger another round of conflict, however involving both England and Scotland with claimants to both thrones on both sides. That would be a potential for an even greater mess.
France has always liked good relations with Scotland as a way of posing a northern threat to England, especially since the English monarchy still has a claim, albeit weak by now, to the French throne. That was probably partly why James's OTL daughter Mary Queen of Scots was married 1st to the French heir, so this could happen a generation earlier with France providing a French wife for him, possibly even a royal princess, although I don't know who would be available.
James might look further afield, possibly towards Scandinavia as there are some historical links [although not always friendly of course] and trade with some of then.
Steve
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Post by TheRomanSlayer on May 3, 2020 21:23:49 GMT
That would have made a potential War of Scottish Succession even bloodier, especially if the Stewarts ran out of heirs for the throne, and they're planning to replay the Wars of Roses, only it would be a Scottish version instead of an English version. Moreover, the issue of who gets to marry James IV of Scotland would become a hot topic as well since continental Europe may have a vested interest in possibly encircling England, as well as France too.
Good question. If one of his main nobles and potential rivals has married Elizabeth of York and become powerful in England he's not likely to marry an English wife. Unless possibly he married Margaret, the surviving daughter of George, Duke of Clarence, which would give him a significant claim to the English throne himself and possibly trigger another round of conflict, however involving both England and Scotland with claimants to both thrones on both sides. That would be a potential for an even greater mess.
France has always liked good relations with Scotland as a way of posing a northern threat to England, especially since the English monarchy still has a claim, albeit weak by now, to the French throne. That was probably partly why James's OTL daughter Mary Queen of Scots was married 1st to the French heir, so this could happen a generation earlier with France providing a French wife for him, possibly even a royal princess, although I don't know who would be available.
James might look further afield, possibly towards Scandinavia as there are some historical links [although not always friendly of course] and trade with some of then.
Steve
I don't know if there will be a Union of the Crowns in this scenario, since both England and Scotland would have waged a vicious conflict against each other over their respective thrones. At worst, we'd get an Anglo-Scottish animosity that might be enhanced should the Protestant Reformation come around. Also, throw in the Irish situation, and the British Isles would be a powder keg. As for England, they might go even further in their search for a bride than simply France and the Iberian Peninsula. But I'm getting off topic. There was an incident where one of the noblemen (I believe it was Thomas Stanley) was wounded during Richard III's attack on the council in June of 1483. If he had went even further and killed off Thomas Stanley alongside William Hastings, then the Stanleys would have a natural incentive to openly side with Henry Tudor, though I can see Bosworth being an even bigger slaughterhouse as a result of the Stanleys being openly hostile towards Richard III.
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stevep
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Post by stevep on May 4, 2020 10:20:25 GMT
Good question. If one of his main nobles and potential rivals has married Elizabeth of York and become powerful in England he's not likely to marry an English wife. Unless possibly he married Margaret, the surviving daughter of George, Duke of Clarence, which would give him a significant claim to the English throne himself and possibly trigger another round of conflict, however involving both England and Scotland with claimants to both thrones on both sides. That would be a potential for an even greater mess.
France has always liked good relations with Scotland as a way of posing a northern threat to England, especially since the English monarchy still has a claim, albeit weak by now, to the French throne. That was probably partly why James's OTL daughter Mary Queen of Scots was married 1st to the French heir, so this could happen a generation earlier with France providing a French wife for him, possibly even a royal princess, although I don't know who would be available.
James might look further afield, possibly towards Scandinavia as there are some historical links [although not always friendly of course] and trade with some of then.
Steve
I don't know if there will be a Union of the Crowns in this scenario, since both England and Scotland would have waged a vicious conflict against each other over their respective thrones. At worst, we'd get an Anglo-Scottish animosity that might be enhanced should the Protestant Reformation come around. Also, throw in the Irish situation, and the British Isles would be a powder keg. As for England, they might go even further in their search for a bride than simply France and the Iberian Peninsula. But I'm getting off topic. There was an incident where one of the noblemen (I believe it was Thomas Stanley) was wounded during Richard III's attack on the council in June of 1483. If he had went even further and killed off Thomas Stanley alongside William Hastings, then the Stanleys would have a natural incentive to openly side with Henry Tudor, though I can see Bosworth being an even bigger slaughterhouse as a result of the Stanleys being openly hostile towards Richard III.
Sounds like you are planning even worse times for both my countries [England and UK]. If that pair of dynastic marriages did take place and a result new round of wars encompassing both England and Scotland in civil wars it could be very nasty and probably increase long term distrust. It might lead to a somewhat earlier union if one side wins quickly but that could be unstable with continued rebellions - as with the Wars of the Roses - and with two separate nations with long established identities any such union is far less likely to last than OTL. Ireland may be less unsettled until the reformation comes along as the sizeable number of Catholic English settlers in the Pale especially and the duration of the Norman/English presence probably means its more accepted than later when religious division were added to the boiling pot.
Given the status of the Catholic church there are bound to be calls for reform. We're already had Jan Hus and the Husssite wars and there will be further unrest. Unless the Papacy is willing to give up a number of corrupt practices and sales of indulgences were a major source of wealth sooner or later there will be more rebellions. Once someone puts together the idea that a corrupt Catholic church makes it morally acceptable to seize church lands then its likely that a lot of rulers will start finding such ideas far more attractive as well so its not just a moral issue.
Didn't know about the attack on Stanley but if he had been killed I wonder if Richard would have moved against the other Stanley's because they would be hostile to him? As such they may be defeated and supplanted by allies of Richard before Henry Tudor makes a bid for the throne. True you could still see their supporters rising up if/when Henry still makes a bid but it might make for a more chaotic situation. Possibly this could be a factor in getting to your scenario in that Richard's forces have defeated Henry's and the latter killed when a Stanley's follower who has appeared to be loyal manages to assassinate Richard? [Not quite the same but similar to when the defeated Serbian general taken as a prisoner to the Ottoman sultan manages to kill him after the Battle of Kosovo.]
The nobles might look further afield for a husband for Elizabeth Tudor, possibly a German prince or noble, but I suspect their more likely if they can come to a compromise, settle for one of their own number. A foreign will have less support but being male would have a claim for kingship so might manage to undermine their position. Especially with a population increasingly tired of continued conflict and upheaval.
Steve
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Post by TheRomanSlayer on May 5, 2020 4:23:41 GMT
I believe it was Milos Obilic who killed Sultan Murad I after the Battle of Kosovo, though I doubt that scenario would be replayed with Richard III and the Stanleys. Alternatively, you could have a worse Buckingham's Rebellion where the Stanleys join in the revolt.
I had two options for this kind of scenario: a similar route to the Castile-Aragon union where Elizabeth of York and most likely George Douglas, Master of Angus, would wed, and in a combination of intrigue and assassination, the Red Douglas clan (by this point, the other Douglas clan, the one called the Black Douglas, was on its way to extinction) ends up with control of England. Or, George Douglas marries Cecily of York while Elizabeth marries George Stanley, 9th Baron Strange. On the other hand, the Stanleys might also develop a kind of hatred towards the House of York that marrying any York family member would have been an anathema to them. Consequently, the distractions in England might allow the Irish to unify around a charismatic lord.
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