Development of the German Navy after a 1916 victory including some large naval victories

oh my god....

1.) i wrote that the german navy had two victories at sea - the first as OTL in dec. 14, as the german HSF historically (!) had the chance to take out a much smaller part of the GF. The so called "wet dream" of german fanboys. Here v.Ingenohl "do" it, instead of turning around. The engagement itself was a major defeat for the british - because their INFERIOR ships (protection) are confrontated with nearly twice the numbers of german battleships.  Second, as a follow up one year ahead there is a naval battle at jutland, with the british having suffered high losses the GF is smaller as OTL and so the second engagement is - again - a german victory. No "wipe out the Royal Navy", but a "blow up the battlecruisers", because the lessons the british learned out of the dec14-engagement is similar to the one they did at Doggerbank. Both is very possible and realistic (esp. the second AFTER the first one).
2.) germany wasn´t agressive in july14, it reacted to the russian full mobilisation - it is a bit a surprise that you still use outdated informations. Maybe you live in UK 1918, because the british hided the truth about russian mobilisation till 1921. Just ask yourself why they did so. All nations had dirty hands  in the outbreak of WW1, but the historical facts are:
Blanc-check from germany to austria - to handle/punish the sneaky serbians (as they saw it)
Blanc-check from france to russia - their premier openly offered the russians the - wished war with germany now. For that their MP was in Saint Petersburg. For that the french diplomats in vienna made clear that they - in any case - allways would support serbia, even if evidence would show that it was the serbian state who supported the terrorists. 
Serbia and Russia financed the terrorists, it was the unholy and mad russian arrogance who thought they could "take the balkan into their sphere of influence" that caused that conflict. The following events were an automatism, even if one could ask about the sanity to invade the neutral belgium - as a member of the "stay on defence in the west, wipe out the serbians and russians, then come back and crush the french and british"-fraction i am against - but that is hindsight).
Everybody knew, if russia do its mobilisation this means war. For this the french demanded this from russia. The germans should have pushed the austrians to accept the counteroffer from serbia, as foul as it was. The french should have demanded from russia to NOT do the mobilisation, germany should not invade belgium for a weak chance to win in the west. But we know, UK allways wanted to join that war... they feared that france and russia otherwise would crush germany alone and they, the british would have no saying in this. 

3.) germany won the war easily, because they won the race to the sea, comming south of calais. This mean the "naval kleinkrieg" stop the coastal traffic and the british suffer terrible by inadequate railroad supply for London, also they suffer huge casulties in ships trying to supply their troops in france. Also, with the germans deeper into france, the british suffer more by worse supply lines. It is all about logistics. Neutrals like the dutch will not accept that the british act the same way they did OTL, but more so the USA will supply the neutrals as they want to. 
You also show a strange idea about who threatens whom.
Germany reacted with its fleet building to the british mistreatments of the free right of the oceans in the boer wars... Here the germans lacked any naval fleet worth to speak about and the british acted - to call it carefully - rude. This caused the german flotten-vertrag and so germany raised its fleet to relevant numbers.

the "interests of UK" doesn´t mean they could "Kopenhagen" another states navy - something the 1st Sealord demanded from 1905-1913 - and showed - esp. based on the massive support this criminal thinking had in the state how ill the leadership was - and they allready were far behind in economic terms in 1914. 
With this victory, esp. with france significant weakened, Uk no longer can dominate anything.
Germany do not need to attack UK, it never had any interests in that. It was just the hybris of UKs politicans, after the empire had fallen from a nr1. to a nr3 in the world.

Yes, the merchant navy was 80% british, but the ships were aging.. better modern ships were build in germany.
Their machinery industry lacked far behind the german one, the name "made in germany" was now for quality... british products were inferior in any areas of interest,. In Chemistry, physics and machinery others were just better. The companies in these countries produced cheaper and better. 

So the only nation that would start another war would be UK, driven by pure hate and stupidity.
The germans would look for themself, changing its society, building up its "Mitteleuropa" they thougth that it would be better for their economy. 

But great britain would face the same huge problems in social terms as germany. A full voting right for everybody did not exist in the "democratic" UK... woman wanted to vote, the economy needed reforms, the vulnerabilty of the coastal trade need huge sums to improve the railroad system in UK (as OTL). In the same time they invest huge sums for more battleships, for a war nobody is interested in. 


Japan - its interests were criminal, brutal and partly allready genocidal. Not "fighting for survival". They declared war without beeing in danger, took european colonial areas and kept them. They started a fleet that threatened not only the interests of the USA, but was also clearly pointed against the dutch.

The D.E.I are a core of the dutch colonial area, long time. they want security, they want to be out of war.
Just like otl. Here they could buy german battleships and - propably benefit from a strong peaceful central europe. With germany moving stuff around to its (new) colonies, they are interested in resupplying older ships. Why should the dutch be a problem for france or UK? they are neutral, they do not help the Entente, they do not help the germans - they make money by buying cheap stuff and sell it - to germany more expensive. Yes, that hurts the british, but the role of the netherlands are not to make the british empire happy but to protect its people and raise the income.

Give it 10 years and most british merchants need to be replaced. Esp,. the sailing ships are completly outdated. THe yards in europe will be busy, not only the british ones. France, germany, the netherlands, the belgians, italy, the swedes, danes and propably also Austria and the osmans will also build ships.  We not even have talked about the USA. 

It seems you think the world should benefit the british empire? Here this would not happen, not at all. 
If the british start troubles in german colonies, the germans easily could start them in india or british colonies, too. 
The most reallistic scenario is this:In UK many will be insulted that "the hun" hadn´t been defeated, but they still buy german machinery, because it is cheaper and so much better as british machinery... 

the dutch propably turn on the germans to protect em in the DEI, because the british will look for allies... japan could be a strong naval supporter, so they propably keep this alliance. THe main problem is, japan has his 21 demands to china, so UK has to choose. Either stay with japan (and support all the brutality the japanese will commit) and anger the USA or drop japan, but gain "nothing". In such situation - what do you think will UK do? They suffered two defeats against "the hun", lost their control and Balance-of-Power-games in central europe (basically they are kicked out of the continent), had angered the neutrals by their illegal kind of blocade and - because the french lost earlier more ressources and industries in northwest france - had spent nearly as much money as they did OTL till june1917 (basically everything they had - from here on, it was unsecured credits OTL)

Oh, they angered South africa, NewZealand and Australia, are forced to move more and more military forces into these regions (one german battleship at Rabaul and 3 cruiser and 9 destroyer mean the british need at last three time the numbers in the same area... with much more wear and tear), spent a lot more money for new ships, also have to maintain a larger army - for their chance to close german bases around the world... with no contiental ally for the next 5 to 10 years (france will face internal problems, could easily turn red - and then the british would support the germans to crush this development) and they also lack the oil for their own navy (with the osmans, who are no friend of the british) having a strong empire - again. 

Germany has its "place at the sun", a strong nr2 behind the USA, they have no need for war or something. Just like prewar, they want to make money, grow their economy and be "happy"