Post by lordroel on Jul 30, 2016 20:01:28 GMT
Maps: The Balkanization of North America
Map I: Active separatist movements in North America
Wikipedia article called: List of active separatist movements in North America
Map II: The Balkanization of North America by Mat Rodina
From the blog Mat Rodina comes a article called: The Balkanization of North America
Kingdom of Hawaii
Hawaii never joined the United States willingly, but was forcibly annexed. To that end, the local population has always desired independence. With large Chinese and Japanese populations backing them, more then likely Hawaii will declare independence and reinstate its monarchy. This will cost the US its main Pacific ports, so that for Hawaii to maintain independence, it will be forced to seek protection from either China or Japan. The question becomes, under whose shadow will they fall. There will be an intense power politics between China, Japan, Australia and the PDRWNA.
People’s Democratic Republic of Western North America (PDRWNA)
The nation will encompass a block of territories sharing economic and socialist political as well as cultural ties. This will more than likely include Central and Northern California, most of Nevada, Washington and Oregon states, as well as British Columbia and the NW Territories.
Economically, as well as politically, these areas will continue their march into a benign, progressive pseudo Marxist dictatorship of green politics and police state control.
As one of the most powerful of the successor states of the USA, they will attempt to dominate their weaker neighbors, specifically the New Mormon Zion Kingdom and the Lakota Tribal Confederation. They will also have continuous border issues with the Republica Del Norta, to its south and will have continued problems with the rump USA/Canadian Union.
Republica Del Norte
Forming the northern two thirds of Mexico, united with the US’ southern California, southern Nevada, Arizona and New Mexico, the hard socialist police state will be populated primarily by Mexicans. Blacks and Asians will be expelled or ethnically cleared to its northern neighbors. Whites will either also flee or be absorbed.
The nation will be relatively poor, though quiet, as the government will deal with the gangs, mafia and disturbances with extreme brutality. Oil will be the primary generator of GDP and will be mostly stolen by the ruling elites.
Soviet Zapatista Union
The hard core Indian Marxists, in the southern third of the poverty stricken south of Mexico, will win their twenty years war of independence with Mexico City. Having reclaimed the much more valuable US Southwest, Mexico will cut loose its southern headache. The hard core Marxists state will join a growing coalition of other hard core, dirt poor Latin American Marxists.
New Mormon Zion Kingdom
Taking advantage of the balkanizing North America, the Mormons will form their own theocratic kingdom, a theocracy of sorts, with the absolute rule by their church and its top prophets. All other faiths will be sent scurrying out of the kingdom. The kingdom will be forced to play all its major neighbors off on each other, in order to stay sovereign. That and its geographic remoteness will aid its sovereignty.
Lakota Tribal Confederation
Covering the ancestral lands, this traditional but libertarian loose confederation of Indian clans and whites who share their culture, has already declared its independence, making it official in 2008. True, at present the US ignores them and their claims, when the collapse comes, there will be no ignoring the reality on the ground. Whether the nation will be able to survive in the long run, is doubtful, as it lacks a strong industrial base or a potential for a strong military. If it is not skillful at playing off its neighbors, its stay in the history of nations will be short.
Republic of Texas
ROT, already with well over 36% of the population demanding independence, is already on the brink of becoming a reality. The nation of 26 million, will have one of the strongest economies and militaries in the world and its loss will be the final blow that will splinter the rest of the union of the US. ROT, on its way out, will reclaim its historic territories of Oklahoma. Texas will become the leader of technology industry in the successor states and will be the fifth largest oil producer and one of the largest producers of farm goods and meat animals.
As a nation, ROT will find itself closely allied to the Confederate States of America (CSA) and at with border skirmishes at best and war at worst with Republica Del Norte. Alliance with the CSA should help it defend itself from the rump US/Canada.
Confederate States of America
It was always said that the South shall rise again, and this will be its moment. Culturally and politically distinct from their northern overlords, the CSA has been a nation occupied for 145 years. This time around, no longer dependent on cotton and farm goods, and having a large industrial base, the Confederacy, minus Texas and the Florida Keyes but with the states of Maryland, Kansas, Kentucky and Missouri, and allied to Texas, it will easily be able to withhold the weakened and splintered rump US/Canada.
As a government, it will be a weak federal organ, closer to the original American constitution. It will reach out to the EU for further trade and assistance. Russia will also see fit to aid and trade with the splinter state.
Cuban Commonwealth
The post Castro/Raul Cuba will be an expansionist power. With a military trained by Russia and a splintering America to the north, Cuba will take the opportunity to bring the various small island nations of the northern/central Caribbean into borders. At the same time, having effectively and completely colonized the Florida Keyes, Cuba will move to annex the territory. Since this will cause problems to the CSA, Cuba will find close allies in the form of the rump US/Canada and that of Republica Del Norta.
New England Commonwealth
Consisting of Maine, Vermont, New Hampshire, and much of upstate New York, as well as Novo Scotia, Newfoundland, New Brunswick, and Prince Edward’s Island. These economies and societies are much closer tied to each other than to their present nations. They will succeed because the Rump US/Canada will be to weak to wage war on them without being threatened by their allies, the CSA and ROT. They will also seek close economic support with Quebec and the EU, as well as defense pacts.
Republic of Quebec
As the French have always chaffed under English rule, they will take the opportunity to break out and will seek a close relationship with the EU and with the neighboring New England Commonwealth, relying on both for defense from the ever aggressive Rump USA/Canadian police state. Quebec may even petition to join the EU.
US Federal Government + Canada (Rump USA/Canada)
The remains of America will move quickly to absorb the weakened but oil rich rump Canada. Still reeling from its territorial losses, Canada will offer little resistance. As a nation, the USA/Canada will be a strict centralized police state, with military governors ruling over the elected state governors and control of population movement, under war powers acts, on the level of the former East Germany.
Its economy will still be strong but it will be a shadow, as will its military, of its former self. As such, it will be locked in territorial disputes with all of its neighbors and will be viewed as a rogue state by larger countries, such as the EU, Russia, Japan, China and so on.
Over all, the North American continent will be one of a sea of storms, with a few relative quiet spots, such as the Republic of Texas and the Republic of Alaska, though even those will be hard pressed to avoid the various territorial wars that will rage for decades until the survivors of the balkanization grow tired of fighting and comfortable in their own new borders.
Map III: North America, according to a Russian professor
This is an "alternative future" map of the U.S., based on a Russian professor’s prediction of just how the country will splinter into several pieces after 2020, he describe North America as follows:
California will form the nucleus of what will be called "The Californian Republic," and will be part of China or under Chinese influence. Texas will be the heart of "The Texas Republic," a cluster of states that will go to Mexico or fall under Mexican influence. Washington, D.C., and New York will be part of an "Atlantic America" that may join the European Union. Canada will grab a group of Northern states which will be called the "The Central North American Republic." Hawaii, will be a protectorate of Japan or China, and Alaska will be subsumed into Russia.
Map IV: North America, the Balkans Version by Matthew White
From the website Surreal Histories by Matthew Whitecomes a article called: Balkanized North America
Chronology
1775-1783: The American Revolution procedes on schedule, and the 13 colonies form the United States of America.
1787: A fire at the State House in Philadelphia kills several members of the Constitutional Convention, including Washington, Madison and Franklin, and the new nation is forced to pass its early turbulent years without its most important leaders. After new delegates are chosen to replace the old ones, the convention votes to scrap the constitution that was about to be approved, and comes up with another one instead.
1791: Annoyed at the way the new federal government under John Adams is shaping up, Vermont refuses to join the Union, declaring itself an independent republic instead.
1800: France acquires Louisiana from Spain.
1803: Annoyed at the way the USA under President Aaron Burr is treating France, Napoleon refuses to sell Louisiana to them. Burr plans an invasion.
1804: After President Burr is killed in a duel by Alexander Hamilton, Vice-President Jefferson takes over, and the USA shifts from a pro-British to a pro-French foreign policy.
1812-15: The USA goes to War with Britain and unsuccessfully invades Canada. In opposition to the war, New England secedes, but Napoleon, grateful for the assistance, agrees to sell the relatively empty Upper Louisiana to the US. The area around New Orleans, however, has a large French population by now, and it remains a French colony.
1815: Refusing to recognize the restored Bourbon monarchy of France, Lower Louisiana declares itself an independent republic. A British force attacking New Orleans is slaughtered by the defending French.
1819-37: After many border incidents, the US occupies Florida. Pockets of Seminole Indians and runaway slaves put up a stiff resistance in Peninsular Florida, eventually driving out the Americans.
1820: Without New England, the free states cannot get enough votes to stop slavery from being allowed throughout Upper Louisiana.
1821: Mexico declares its independence from Spain.
1830: The US expels the eastern Indian tribes to lands west of the Mississippi, settling them in what will later become the Five Nations area.
1835: American settlers in Texas declare their independence from Mexico. Louisiana intevenes because they are afraid that Texas will join the USA if left on their own, which would leave Louisiana utterly encircled. Cajun militia reinforces the Texans at the Alamo, stops the Mexican Army and secures independence for Texas, on the condition that it not join the USA.
1837: The Mormons settle on the Great Salt Lake and found the semi-autonomous state of Deseret within Mexican territory.
1837-41: Rebellions in Quebec and Upper Canada establish independence from Great Britain.
1846: American settlers in Oregon petition for annexation to the US, but the slave states vote the request down. Instead, the Oregonians establish a sovereign government themselves.
1849: Gold is discovered in California. Immigrants from all over the world pour in.
1852: Working in secret alliance, California and Deseret declare their independence from Mexico, while Texas pushes its border from the Nueces to the Rio Grande. Three armies (one from each ally) converge on Santa Fe, but Mexico manages to beat back these amatuer militias, holding onto New Mexico. Mexico, however, is forced to recognize the new nations.
1860: Although the free state voting block had been weakened by the secession of New England, the slave state voting block had not been boosted by the addition of Texas, Louisiana and Florida. As most of the new states carved out of Upper Louisiana (Iowa, Kansas and Minnesota) had been settled by free-soilers, the southerners are only one state away from losing control of the Senate. The House of Representatives has already shifted to a free state majority, and with the election of Abraham Lincoln of the abolitionist Republican Party to the presidency, the south fears that slavery may soon be abolished altogether. The South secedes.
1861-63: Lacking the manpower and industrial muscle of New England, the USA fails to reconquer the South. In fact, New England is selling the CSA all the weapons it wants. Taking advantage of the crisis, the Five Nations of Indian Territory also declare their independence from the USA.
1870-2: Heavy-handed attempts by the Canadians to assert control over the interior provoke a revolt among the metis, the French/Native inhabitants of the Red River region.
1876: Custer's command is wiped out by the Sioux and Cheyenne at the Little Bighorn River.
Map V: A Partition of the United States
Map I: Active separatist movements in North America
Wikipedia article called: List of active separatist movements in North America
Map II: The Balkanization of North America by Mat Rodina
From the blog Mat Rodina comes a article called: The Balkanization of North America
Kingdom of Hawaii
Hawaii never joined the United States willingly, but was forcibly annexed. To that end, the local population has always desired independence. With large Chinese and Japanese populations backing them, more then likely Hawaii will declare independence and reinstate its monarchy. This will cost the US its main Pacific ports, so that for Hawaii to maintain independence, it will be forced to seek protection from either China or Japan. The question becomes, under whose shadow will they fall. There will be an intense power politics between China, Japan, Australia and the PDRWNA.
People’s Democratic Republic of Western North America (PDRWNA)
The nation will encompass a block of territories sharing economic and socialist political as well as cultural ties. This will more than likely include Central and Northern California, most of Nevada, Washington and Oregon states, as well as British Columbia and the NW Territories.
Economically, as well as politically, these areas will continue their march into a benign, progressive pseudo Marxist dictatorship of green politics and police state control.
As one of the most powerful of the successor states of the USA, they will attempt to dominate their weaker neighbors, specifically the New Mormon Zion Kingdom and the Lakota Tribal Confederation. They will also have continuous border issues with the Republica Del Norta, to its south and will have continued problems with the rump USA/Canadian Union.
Republica Del Norte
Forming the northern two thirds of Mexico, united with the US’ southern California, southern Nevada, Arizona and New Mexico, the hard socialist police state will be populated primarily by Mexicans. Blacks and Asians will be expelled or ethnically cleared to its northern neighbors. Whites will either also flee or be absorbed.
The nation will be relatively poor, though quiet, as the government will deal with the gangs, mafia and disturbances with extreme brutality. Oil will be the primary generator of GDP and will be mostly stolen by the ruling elites.
Soviet Zapatista Union
The hard core Indian Marxists, in the southern third of the poverty stricken south of Mexico, will win their twenty years war of independence with Mexico City. Having reclaimed the much more valuable US Southwest, Mexico will cut loose its southern headache. The hard core Marxists state will join a growing coalition of other hard core, dirt poor Latin American Marxists.
New Mormon Zion Kingdom
Taking advantage of the balkanizing North America, the Mormons will form their own theocratic kingdom, a theocracy of sorts, with the absolute rule by their church and its top prophets. All other faiths will be sent scurrying out of the kingdom. The kingdom will be forced to play all its major neighbors off on each other, in order to stay sovereign. That and its geographic remoteness will aid its sovereignty.
Lakota Tribal Confederation
Covering the ancestral lands, this traditional but libertarian loose confederation of Indian clans and whites who share their culture, has already declared its independence, making it official in 2008. True, at present the US ignores them and their claims, when the collapse comes, there will be no ignoring the reality on the ground. Whether the nation will be able to survive in the long run, is doubtful, as it lacks a strong industrial base or a potential for a strong military. If it is not skillful at playing off its neighbors, its stay in the history of nations will be short.
Republic of Texas
ROT, already with well over 36% of the population demanding independence, is already on the brink of becoming a reality. The nation of 26 million, will have one of the strongest economies and militaries in the world and its loss will be the final blow that will splinter the rest of the union of the US. ROT, on its way out, will reclaim its historic territories of Oklahoma. Texas will become the leader of technology industry in the successor states and will be the fifth largest oil producer and one of the largest producers of farm goods and meat animals.
As a nation, ROT will find itself closely allied to the Confederate States of America (CSA) and at with border skirmishes at best and war at worst with Republica Del Norte. Alliance with the CSA should help it defend itself from the rump US/Canada.
Confederate States of America
It was always said that the South shall rise again, and this will be its moment. Culturally and politically distinct from their northern overlords, the CSA has been a nation occupied for 145 years. This time around, no longer dependent on cotton and farm goods, and having a large industrial base, the Confederacy, minus Texas and the Florida Keyes but with the states of Maryland, Kansas, Kentucky and Missouri, and allied to Texas, it will easily be able to withhold the weakened and splintered rump US/Canada.
As a government, it will be a weak federal organ, closer to the original American constitution. It will reach out to the EU for further trade and assistance. Russia will also see fit to aid and trade with the splinter state.
Cuban Commonwealth
The post Castro/Raul Cuba will be an expansionist power. With a military trained by Russia and a splintering America to the north, Cuba will take the opportunity to bring the various small island nations of the northern/central Caribbean into borders. At the same time, having effectively and completely colonized the Florida Keyes, Cuba will move to annex the territory. Since this will cause problems to the CSA, Cuba will find close allies in the form of the rump US/Canada and that of Republica Del Norta.
New England Commonwealth
Consisting of Maine, Vermont, New Hampshire, and much of upstate New York, as well as Novo Scotia, Newfoundland, New Brunswick, and Prince Edward’s Island. These economies and societies are much closer tied to each other than to their present nations. They will succeed because the Rump US/Canada will be to weak to wage war on them without being threatened by their allies, the CSA and ROT. They will also seek close economic support with Quebec and the EU, as well as defense pacts.
Republic of Quebec
As the French have always chaffed under English rule, they will take the opportunity to break out and will seek a close relationship with the EU and with the neighboring New England Commonwealth, relying on both for defense from the ever aggressive Rump USA/Canadian police state. Quebec may even petition to join the EU.
US Federal Government + Canada (Rump USA/Canada)
The remains of America will move quickly to absorb the weakened but oil rich rump Canada. Still reeling from its territorial losses, Canada will offer little resistance. As a nation, the USA/Canada will be a strict centralized police state, with military governors ruling over the elected state governors and control of population movement, under war powers acts, on the level of the former East Germany.
Its economy will still be strong but it will be a shadow, as will its military, of its former self. As such, it will be locked in territorial disputes with all of its neighbors and will be viewed as a rogue state by larger countries, such as the EU, Russia, Japan, China and so on.
Over all, the North American continent will be one of a sea of storms, with a few relative quiet spots, such as the Republic of Texas and the Republic of Alaska, though even those will be hard pressed to avoid the various territorial wars that will rage for decades until the survivors of the balkanization grow tired of fighting and comfortable in their own new borders.
Map III: North America, according to a Russian professor
This is an "alternative future" map of the U.S., based on a Russian professor’s prediction of just how the country will splinter into several pieces after 2020, he describe North America as follows:
California will form the nucleus of what will be called "The Californian Republic," and will be part of China or under Chinese influence. Texas will be the heart of "The Texas Republic," a cluster of states that will go to Mexico or fall under Mexican influence. Washington, D.C., and New York will be part of an "Atlantic America" that may join the European Union. Canada will grab a group of Northern states which will be called the "The Central North American Republic." Hawaii, will be a protectorate of Japan or China, and Alaska will be subsumed into Russia.
Map IV: North America, the Balkans Version by Matthew White
From the website Surreal Histories by Matthew Whitecomes a article called: Balkanized North America
Chronology
1775-1783: The American Revolution procedes on schedule, and the 13 colonies form the United States of America.
1787: A fire at the State House in Philadelphia kills several members of the Constitutional Convention, including Washington, Madison and Franklin, and the new nation is forced to pass its early turbulent years without its most important leaders. After new delegates are chosen to replace the old ones, the convention votes to scrap the constitution that was about to be approved, and comes up with another one instead.
1791: Annoyed at the way the new federal government under John Adams is shaping up, Vermont refuses to join the Union, declaring itself an independent republic instead.
1800: France acquires Louisiana from Spain.
1803: Annoyed at the way the USA under President Aaron Burr is treating France, Napoleon refuses to sell Louisiana to them. Burr plans an invasion.
1804: After President Burr is killed in a duel by Alexander Hamilton, Vice-President Jefferson takes over, and the USA shifts from a pro-British to a pro-French foreign policy.
1812-15: The USA goes to War with Britain and unsuccessfully invades Canada. In opposition to the war, New England secedes, but Napoleon, grateful for the assistance, agrees to sell the relatively empty Upper Louisiana to the US. The area around New Orleans, however, has a large French population by now, and it remains a French colony.
1815: Refusing to recognize the restored Bourbon monarchy of France, Lower Louisiana declares itself an independent republic. A British force attacking New Orleans is slaughtered by the defending French.
1819-37: After many border incidents, the US occupies Florida. Pockets of Seminole Indians and runaway slaves put up a stiff resistance in Peninsular Florida, eventually driving out the Americans.
1820: Without New England, the free states cannot get enough votes to stop slavery from being allowed throughout Upper Louisiana.
1821: Mexico declares its independence from Spain.
1830: The US expels the eastern Indian tribes to lands west of the Mississippi, settling them in what will later become the Five Nations area.
1835: American settlers in Texas declare their independence from Mexico. Louisiana intevenes because they are afraid that Texas will join the USA if left on their own, which would leave Louisiana utterly encircled. Cajun militia reinforces the Texans at the Alamo, stops the Mexican Army and secures independence for Texas, on the condition that it not join the USA.
1837: The Mormons settle on the Great Salt Lake and found the semi-autonomous state of Deseret within Mexican territory.
1837-41: Rebellions in Quebec and Upper Canada establish independence from Great Britain.
1846: American settlers in Oregon petition for annexation to the US, but the slave states vote the request down. Instead, the Oregonians establish a sovereign government themselves.
1849: Gold is discovered in California. Immigrants from all over the world pour in.
1852: Working in secret alliance, California and Deseret declare their independence from Mexico, while Texas pushes its border from the Nueces to the Rio Grande. Three armies (one from each ally) converge on Santa Fe, but Mexico manages to beat back these amatuer militias, holding onto New Mexico. Mexico, however, is forced to recognize the new nations.
1860: Although the free state voting block had been weakened by the secession of New England, the slave state voting block had not been boosted by the addition of Texas, Louisiana and Florida. As most of the new states carved out of Upper Louisiana (Iowa, Kansas and Minnesota) had been settled by free-soilers, the southerners are only one state away from losing control of the Senate. The House of Representatives has already shifted to a free state majority, and with the election of Abraham Lincoln of the abolitionist Republican Party to the presidency, the south fears that slavery may soon be abolished altogether. The South secedes.
1861-63: Lacking the manpower and industrial muscle of New England, the USA fails to reconquer the South. In fact, New England is selling the CSA all the weapons it wants. Taking advantage of the crisis, the Five Nations of Indian Territory also declare their independence from the USA.
1870-2: Heavy-handed attempts by the Canadians to assert control over the interior provoke a revolt among the metis, the French/Native inhabitants of the Red River region.
1876: Custer's command is wiped out by the Sioux and Cheyenne at the Little Bighorn River.
Map V: A Partition of the United States
