lordroel
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Post by lordroel on May 25, 2018 7:16:12 GMT
Okay, this is basically impossible, but I'll just put something down so that I can come back and laugh at it in twenty years' time! Bernie Sanders (D): 2021-2023; resigns due to ill health Well he will be 78 if i am right in 2020, but then again, Malaysia has a 94 as prime minster. |
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kyng
Consul General
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Post by kyng on May 28, 2018 23:31:22 GMT
Yeah, Bernie certainly wouldn't be the oldest world leader ever (although, with Trump himself being 74 in 2020, my guess is that age wouldn't be a major issue in that campaign).
Of course, even if Bernie did make it through his first term, I couldn't see him running for re-election.
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insect
Banned
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Post by insect on Jul 17, 2018 1:54:44 GMT
1.Andrew coumo
2.Nikki haley
3, kory brooker
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lordroel
Administrator
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Post by lordroel on Jul 17, 2018 3:42:12 GMT
1.Andrew coumo 2.Nikki haley 3, kory brooker Never heard of them, had to google them up even. |
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dayton3
Chief petty officer
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Post by dayton3 on Jan 17, 2020 20:01:42 GMT
I'm an optimist
Niki Haley (R) 2025-2033
Tulsi Gabbard (D) 2033-2037
Me (R) 2037-2045
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Zyobot
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Just a time-traveling robot stranded on Earth.
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Post by Zyobot on Jan 17, 2020 21:23:59 GMT
I'm an optimist Niki Haley (R) 2025-2033 Tulsi Gabbard (D) 2033-2037 Me (R) 2037-2045...Are you hoping to run someday or something? |
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lordroel
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Post by lordroel on Jan 17, 2020 21:47:32 GMT
I'm an optimist Niki Haley (R) 2025-2033 Tulsi Gabbard (D) 2033-2037 Me (R) 2037-2045...Are you hoping to run someday or something? If he is a US born citizen and older than 35 years, why not. |
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Zyobot
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Post by Zyobot on Jan 17, 2020 21:52:53 GMT
...Are you hoping to run someday or something? If he is a US born citizen and older than 35 years, why not. True. However, without prodding into personal details, I'd surmise that people need respectable leadership experience and inordinate fame in order to stand a chance. Yes, Trump may have lacked both political and military clout heading into 2016, but he was a billionaire business mogul and reality TV star that the public knew of. So he did have those going for him, even if not the usual qualifications. But now I'm approaching the realm of too-current. |
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dayton3
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Post by dayton3 on Jan 17, 2020 22:12:08 GMT
I'm an optimist Niki Haley (R) 2025-2033 Tulsi Gabbard (D) 2033-2037 Me (R) 2037-2045...Are you hoping to run someday or something? It has been a dream of mine. Though I'll fully admit that I haven't been able to take the most basic step yet. |
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Zyobot
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Post by Zyobot on Jan 17, 2020 22:15:18 GMT
...Are you hoping to run someday or something? It has been a dream of mine. Though I'll fully admit that I haven't been able to take the most basic step yet. Ah. Well, considering that you have time before your projected years in office, good luck to you in taking the needed steps in the meantime. |
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dayton3
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Post by dayton3 on Jan 17, 2020 22:31:01 GMT
It has been a dream of mine. Though I'll fully admit that I haven't been able to take the most basic step yet. Ah. Well, considering that you have time before your projected years in office, good luck to you in taking the needed steps in the meantime. Not really that much time as I hope to be elected governor twice before running for president. And before that one term in the U.S. House. And before that a term or two in the state legislature. |
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Zyobot
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Post by Zyobot on Jan 17, 2020 22:35:29 GMT
Ah. Well, considering that you have time before your projected years in office, good luck to you in taking the needed steps in the meantime. Not really that much time as I hope to be elected governor twice before running for president. And before that one term in the U.S. House. And before that a term or two in the state legislature. ...Alright, well, good luck making the right combination of those happen, then. That said, I think we should return to the topic at hand, lest the Mods remind us to do so themselves. |
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Post by simon darkshade on Jan 18, 2020 10:12:32 GMT
I think it might be too difficult to think into the latter half of the 2030s with any degree of accuracy, particularly as we move into more 'interesting' times. In 1991, who had heard of Obama? In 1964, who would have tipped Reagan as 1980's winner?
I think that Trump will win in 2020 and that, if there isn't a real breakout candidate, that the Republicans have a decent chance to go through in 2024 if they put up a good candidate that can maintain the Trump coalition. I can't really speculate with any accuracy what will happen in 2028, but it would be extremely unlikely for a single party to win 4 terms in a row in the current political environment.
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Zyobot
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Post by Zyobot on Jan 18, 2020 20:12:29 GMT
I think it might be too difficult to think into the latter half of the 2030s with any degree of accuracy, particularly as we move into more 'interesting' times. In 1991, who had heard of Obama? In 1964, who would have tipped Reagan as 1980's winner? I think that Trump will win in 2020 and that, if there isn't a real breakout candidate, that the Republicans have a decent chance to go through in 2024 if they put up a good candidate that can maintain the Trump coalition. I can't really speculate with any accuracy what will happen in 2028, but it would be extremely unlikely for a single party to win 4 terms in a row in the current political environment. Probably, though I do wonder if a given political party's chances of doing so would be boosted by their opposition, for whatever reason, becoming unbearably toxic and extreme to the point of alienating normal Americans and driving them into the arms of the other side. But then I'm getting into another issue entirely, and one more appropriate for 'Politics and Current Affairs' at that. |
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kyng
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Post by kyng on Jan 19, 2020 0:15:51 GMT
I think that Trump will win in 2020 and that, if there isn't a real breakout candidate, that the Republicans have a decent chance to go through in 2024 if they put up a good candidate that can maintain the Trump coalition. I can't really speculate with any accuracy what will happen in 2028, but it would be extremely unlikely for a single party to win 4 terms in a row in the current political environment. To be honest, I really can't see another Republican being elected in 2024 after two terms of Trump, for four reasons: 1) I really can't see the economy staying at its current levels for four more years. It's more likely than not that there will be a downturn during the early 2020s - and, if there is, then Trump is going to be blamed for it. 2) Trump can't run in 2024 (assuming he wins in 2020) - and, "Trumpism without Trump" tends to do poorly at the polls. In 2018, it didn't motivate his cult to turn out in large numbers when he wasn't on the ballot. 3) Due to demographic changes, the Trump coalition might not even be enough to win in 2024. You'll need to add in eight years' worth of voters who weren't old enough to vote in 2016, and subtract out eight years' worth of voters who died between 2016 and 2024. The former group really doesn't seem to like Trump; the latter group is likely to be fairly pro-Trump. 4) Partisan fatigue. After two terms of an incumbent president, the American public generally decides it's "time for change", and elects a president from the opposite party. The last time the same party won three terms in a row was when Bush 41 won in 1988 after two terms of Reagan. I'm not saying the GOP can't win in 2024; however, their best strategy for doing that is probably to lose in 2020. |
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