stevep
Fleet admiral
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Post by stevep on Nov 11, 2023 15:29:42 GMT
i) Fully agree. That was what happened to a degree after the Crimean war as it prompted Russia to look east.
ii) Ah seem to have misunderstood. Getting confused between the names of the two factions.
iii) Definitely not as deranged as Hitler but he seems to have had a very closed mind-set on things such as his personal power and the importance of the military in Germany. Germany could definitely have done better if it had concentrated more on industrial development. It was one of the two great industrial economies of the world as it was, alongside the US and had pretty much a monopoly of many aspects of the chemical industry.
Given that ITTL, Russia might be occupied by the events in China and Mongolia, it may not be able to spare much of its efforts in the Balkan affair, though that could easily change if the Ottomans have their hands full with an Armenian rebellion. Prince Puwei would be known as the Yongnian Emperor, whule Prince Pujun would be the Guoliang Emperor. Those are the names of those two claimants. If Germany had developed more of its chemical industry, it would achieve significant breakthrough in the medical and industrial sectors where chemicals are involved. However, if we're talking about economic competition, then it would end up competing against the United States, which has both an industrial development that is just as powerful as Germany and a maritime tradition that's similar to the British.
Well it was competing quite successfully with the US and other great powers in the chemical area - I doubt include Britain because with the obsession with free trade and laissez faire come what may Britain was only still competitive in a couple of niche areas and wasn't really trying to compete in others.
In some way the US had a maritime tradition similar to that of Britain with some of its fishing fleets and some merchant activity but it was largely still a minor player in other maritime activities, both naval and merchant.
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Post by TheRomanSlayer on Nov 12, 2023 18:07:54 GMT
Given that ITTL, Russia might be occupied by the events in China and Mongolia, it may not be able to spare much of its efforts in the Balkan affair, though that could easily change if the Ottomans have their hands full with an Armenian rebellion. Prince Puwei would be known as the Yongnian Emperor, whule Prince Pujun would be the Guoliang Emperor. Those are the names of those two claimants. If Germany had developed more of its chemical industry, it would achieve significant breakthrough in the medical and industrial sectors where chemicals are involved. However, if we're talking about economic competition, then it would end up competing against the United States, which has both an industrial development that is just as powerful as Germany and a maritime tradition that's similar to the British.
Well it was competing quite successfully with the US and other great powers in the chemical area - I doubt include Britain because with the obsession with free trade and laissez faire come what may Britain was only still competitive in a couple of niche areas and wasn't really trying to compete in others.
In some way the US had a maritime tradition similar to that of Britain with some of its fishing fleets and some merchant activity but it was largely still a minor player in other maritime activities, both naval and merchant.
Exactly, though an earlier militarization of the US would mean that a naval tradition would be developed much sooner, and not for any good reason either. Anyways, here's the next chapter: --- TURN 002: OF FRIENDS AND ALLIANCESExcerpts from "The South African Ulcer: Britain and the Boer Nightmare" by: Hendryk Mulder Springbok Publishing Company, released on July 2016
Chapter Three: Drastic Change in Strategy The first few initial victories that Britain had achieved prior to the horrific events of the infamous December Black Week of 1899 was not significant, in that they bought into the hype that the war against the two Boer republics will be over by Christmas. There's a legitimate reason why Britain felt confident about their chances of victory against the Boers: the arrival of fresh troops from the colonies and the British Home Islands, along with much needed ammunition and weapons, month by month, had increased their morale. On the other hand, the head-scratching bellicose rhetoric of Kaiser Wilhelm II's open support for the Boers was the source of hostile tensions between the British and German Empires. Even the funeral of Prince Edward did not ease up on the growing animosity between Wilhelm II and the newly ascended king, George V. In fact, Anglo-German rivalry had now expanded beyond Britain's primordial fear of a single European continental hegemony, and evolved into a colonial competition, as events in China were to demonstrate. In addition, the 1890 Ultimatum had dampened Britain's relations with its oldest ally, Portugal, until the conflict with the Boers led to the Anglo-Portuguese Declaration of 1899. With George V now on the throne, the first thing that he did was to send British diplomats to Lisbon for a chance to not only improve Britain's ties to Portugal but to come up with a bold proposal that would certainly have enraged much of Europe itself. The proposal, originally created by Henry Petty-FitzMaurice, also known as the 5th Marquess of Lansdowne, was presented to the Portuguese Prime Minister, Jose Luciano de Castro, in July of 1900. In what would become the Lansdowne Proposal, Portugal would acquire the Kionga Triangle area that Germany had occupied, as well as the entirety of German Southwest Africa, and Britain would acquire German East Africa, in what is now modern Tanzania. Moreover, although Britain did not have any interest in the Belgian-controlled Congo Free State, the region of Katanga had been viewed as a strategic interest by both Britain and Portugal, as it held certain minerals that would be attractive to their respective industries. However, it was the planned partition of German East Africa that eventually became a reality, as the western half of German East Africa would become British Tanganyika, and the eastern half of the GEA eventually merged with the island of Zanzibar, and Britain would also cede the islands of Zanzibar to Portugal. Portugal in turn, would plan on merging Zanzibar with their planned acquisition of eastern Tanganyika to form the Portuguese Zanzibar Protectorate.
By early September of 1900, under the orders of both Lord Salisbury (shortly before the 1900 UK election on September 26th) and King George V, the British Army began to transport several thousand soldiers through the railways that were controlled by private firms to the Bechuanaland Protectorate. The buildup of those forces close to the Limpopo River alerted the Boer commandos, who responded by building a series of small defensive position along the southern banks, followed by larger defensive positions along the densely forested regions of the northern Transvaal. However, the British position in Bechuanaland would be strengthened by the transformation of Palapye and Lerala into important supply hubs that served as forward bases from which they could launch an invasion of the Transvaal without going through the Orange Free State. Because of the growing importance of Bechuanaland as a staging ground for a new front against the Boers, the British military would use most of its mounted infantry regiments to guard the railways and the trains going between the Cape Colony and Bechuanaland. The 1900 British elections however, would prove to be a nailbiter, as Lord Salisbury's Conservative Party ultimately won the election, though they would suffer from the loss of over 13 seats. Thus, the overall number of seats that have won as far as it goes:
1) Conservative Party - 411 seats held since the 1895 UK election (-13) = 398 seats held as of the 1900 election.
2) Liberal Party - 183 seats held since the 1895 election (+8) = 191 seats held as of the 1900 election.
3) Irish Parliamentary - 82 seats since the 1895 election (-3) = 79 seats held as of the 1900 election.
4) Labour Representation Committee - 2 new seats have won, as it is the first ever election that they took part in it.
Lord Salisbury's cautious stance regarding the Boer republics, in sharp contrast to the hardline stance that both the Liberals and the LRC had taken, proved to be the deciding factor in the election, as they feared that a hostile Boer population would cause more trouble to the British Cape Colony than its worth. Additionally, Lord Salisbury also feared that a hardline stance towards the indigenous African population of South Africa may also trigger an ethnic conflict that no one but the Germans would benefit from. However, the news of the Boer atrocities had angered the British public, notwithstanding the British population's own racism towards the Africans. Nevertheless, Lord Salisbury's promise of a total victory over the Boer republics would be tested time and time again as the British would take over five months to prepare for a massive offensive against the Transvaal Republic, coupled with an additional preparation of British forces from Mafeking. The British forces stationed in Mafeking would be tasked with the invasion of the Orange Free State. Unfortunately for the British, the path in which foreign volunteers fighting on the Boer side had come through German Southwest Africa, as evident by the pathways that they often took. For example, the volunteers that joined the Transvaal Foreign Battalions had arrived in the tiny port of Luderitz as early as December of 1899. Most of those volunteers had come from Ireland and the Netherlands, though some of them were either former military personnel or adventurers seeking the thrill of combat. The Irish volunteers who fought for the two Boer republics eventually became the core of the non-commissioned officers of the future Irish Armed Forces when Ireland eventually declared its independence from Great Britain during the 1917 Irish War of Independence as a result of the failure to pass the Irish Home Rule Act due to opposition from both the Conservatives and the Labour Representation Committee.--- Excerpts from 'A New Path for Germany: The Chancellorship of Botho zu Eulenburg' by: Karl Ludwig von Goertzmann Koenigstein Publishing Press, released on June 17, 2018
Chapter Two: Outmaneuvering Von BulowBotho zu Eulenburg's appointment as the new Chancellor of the German Empire upon the resignation of Chlodwig, the Prince of Hohenlohe-Schillingsfürst, due to his advanced age, was met with a stunning silence from the rest of the Imperial German government. It was expected that Kaiser Wilhelm II was going to nominate Bernhard von Bulow as the Prince of Hohenlohe-Schillingsfürst's successor. Yet, Eulenburg's appointment was a welcoming sight for the emerging rival political bloc in the industrialist faction. The Krupp family, of which the famous Krupp steel and weapons manufacturing company was known for, had been a well established old money family from the region of Essen. Although their company had been in existance since 1587 (when the Holy Roman Empire was still around), they were practically novices in the political sphere, consigning the power struggle within German politics to the well established Junker class of Prussian nobility. Sensing the growing importance of German industry as the backbone of a later German dominated European and Asian economies, both the Krupp family and Chancellor zu Eulenburg had made a pact, where the latter would become a patron for both the Krupp family and their industrial allies against the Junkers. This pact was necessary in that under zu Eulenburg's leadership, he and his cousin Prince Philip of Eulenburg convinced Wilhelm II that Germany's chances of surpassing Britain militarily might become more of a liability in the long run, mainly because of its massive naval fleet. Instead, what Germany should have done was to build strong commercial and financial links with other European and Asian powers through trade agreements and aiding minor nations in their attempts to industrialize. (1) This proposal would have met a few objectives:
- First, a possible German trade agreement with the Russian Empire would lessen its reliance on maritime traffic in the event of a possible war with Great Britain. The main problem with this kind of proposal was that the German and Russian train gauge were different. Russian train gauge was a bit longer than the German train gauge, and this was done intentionally to prevent the Russian rail transport from being used by enemy forces. Additionally, enhancing the economic ties between Russia and Germany would have lessened the former's reliance on French investment in the Russian economy, although by 1901 the United States under President McKinley was hungry for an American attempt at capturing the Russian market for American goods, as well as American investment.
- Second, a German economic free trade agreement with Austria-Hungary could help the Austro-Hungarian government gain access to German ports in the North and Baltic Sea for its goods. In return, Germany would gain access to Austro-Hungarian ports in the Adriatic Sea for its own goods, as well as helping to penetrate the tiny Balkan markets. Most importantly, Germany could position itself as a balanced arbiter in any Balkan disputes among those states, as well as any disputes that any Balkan state would have with Austria-Hungary. This was especially important regarding Austro-Hungarian relations with Serbia, which had degenerated into a state of hostility when Prince Mirko of Montenegro was proclaimed as the Heir Apparent to the ruling Obrenovic dynasty, which was now down to just Princess Elizabeth.
-Third, an attempt by the Germans to open up its commercial links to the Ottoman Empire would also allow them to gain access to Ottoman ports in the Mediterranean and Red Seas for its goods. Most importantly, German industrialists would play a significant role in the industrialization of the Anatolian heartland, of which Sultan Abdulhamid II was pushing for.
German-Turkish relations after the appointment of zu Eulenburg would improve, as a few German officers were sent to Constantinople to help train Ottoman troops and modernize its army. Subsequently, the fear of a German-trained and German-equipped Ottoman Army would also lead to Tsar Nicholas's approval of deepening and improving Russia's ties to the United States, as the 1902 Russo-American Defense Collaboration Treaty would be signed. Under that collaboration treaty, Russian officers would be sent to West Point Academy to study American military doctrine, and in return, American officers would be sent to Russian military academies to teach Russian officers studying there, as well as giving them information on counter-insurgency operations. At the same time, Chancellor zu Eulenburg had also pushed for Germany to improve much of its economic and diplomatic ties with the United States, as both nations were more or less involved with the growing internal conflict inside China. However, relations between Germany and America were strained by the former's desire to acquire the Philippine Islands from Spain, and the latter was stuck in a guerrilla war that gained notoriety for atrocities that were committed on both sides.
Zu Eulenburg's domestic policy on the other hand, involved the strengthening of trade unions as a way of sapping their support for socialist parties attempting to gain their votes. However, he and Wilhelm II also formulated several plans centered around stopping the infiltration of trade unions by Marxist and other left-wing radicals seeking to drag Germany into a socialist revolution. Moreover, the anarchist turmoil in neighboring Belgium as a result of the Belgian government's heavy handed tactics in suppressing the anarchists as a result of the assassination of British Prince Edward by Jean Baptiste Sipido, had also garnered public outcry and German police had to break apart several anarchist meetings in the Hannover region between 1900 and 1906. Most importantly, zu Eulenburg's defining legacy lay with his attempts to improve both the working conditions of German industrial and agricultural workers, as well as instituting a 40 hour work week. However, von Bulow was not impressed with how he was being outmaneuvered by zu Eulenburg, and had sought to ally himself with the Junkers as a way of dislodging zu Eulenburg's influence from the German chancellory.--- China - Family Feud Gone Wrong:The ongoing civil war between the supporters of the Guoliang Emperor's claim on the dragon throne against supporters of the Yongnian Emperor's rival claim had been a series of small skirmishes that was kept bubbling to a minimum, but against the backdrop of the Boxer Rebellion and the Mongolian War of Independence, it was something that the ruling Manchu Qing Dynasty had feared. At the same time, the soldiers that are fighting for the Yongnian Emperor faced the loss of their morale as they began to question their main reasoning for remaining loyal to the Qing Dynasty, especially since their colleagues in the armies commanded by officers loyal to the Mutual Pact for the Defense of the Southeast were not only better trained, but better armed as well. (2) Mongolian soldiers fighting on either claimant side had also began to defect to the armies of Prince Tögs-Ochiryn Namnansüren, who was elected as the new Khagan of Mongolia by the recently revived and re-established Kurultai. Said prince would also keep his name, becoming Tögs-Ochiryn Khagan in the process. The intervention of the European powers had also complicated things a bit further, as Germany and Austria-Hungary had backed the reactionary faction around the Guoliang Emperor, while Britain, France, and to a lesser extent, Russia, had backed the Yongnian Emperor's claim. However, Russia would slowly withdraw its support for the Yongnian Emperor after May of 1901, as it finally secured its long coveted buffer zone in Mongolia, while negotiating with the Joseon government for the purchase of a small strip of coastal land in the northeast, centered around the town of Najin. The Sazonov Purchase of 1901 had electrified and infuriated the Japanese government, as it viewed the entirety of the Korean peninsula as their sphere of influence, and nearly came to blows with the Russians. It was only when Mr. Sergey Sazonov himself traveled to Tokyo to meet with Foreign Minister Ito Hirobumi regarding their respective spheres of influence that the former had revealed to the latter that Russia had ceded the control of Port Arthur to the authority of the Yongian Emperor in exchange for gaining a warm water port in northeastern Korea.
What the European powers did not know was that Japan was covertly backing both the Boxer rebels themselves and the armies loyal to the Mutual Pact for the Defense of the Southeast, as a way of keeping the conflict in China alive and boiling. It had no other interest in supporting either claimant on the dragon throne, preferring to instigate an additional collapse of China as a way of acquring influence over the Chinese state by Japan. (3) At the same time, the United States had also started to back the MPDS because the McKinley administration saw them as a better alternative to the monarchists and the Boxer rebels themselves, but the lingering hostility between Japan and the United States meant that war might be a possibility between the two nations. Beginning on July of 1901, Japan would begin its attempts to mend its diplomatic relations with the three powers that formed the Triple Intervention. France, which was interested in maintaining a friendly relationship with Japan, offered a trade deal that would allow Japanese goods and investment into French Indochina, and in exchange, Japan will allow French goods into its market. Additionally, mending the relationship between France and Japan was also in Great Britain's interest, as it too, had a vested interest in propping Japan as a useful buffer and rival to Russian and to a lesser extent, American ambitions in Asia. On the other hand, Russia's improvement of its ties with Japan was crucial for its support of the Russian purchase of the strip of land around Najin. Finally, Germany was keen on improving its own relationship with Japan as a means of preventing the Japanese from siding with Britain and France. Most shockingly though, Germany offered diplomatic support for a Japanese takeover of French Indochina in case Japan were to go to war against Britain and France, and even offered to give up its own colonies to Japan, just to entice them. Crucially, German-Japanese military ties were also crucial, as the Japanese Army had been developed along German lines.
Tragically, it was the Yongnian Emperor who would die first, as he was assassinated by a double agent who actually worked for the Guoliang Emperor. While addressing his own troops in the city of Anshan, a hired sniper had shot him in the chest. The infamous Anshan Murder of August 1901 would initially marked the end of the Qing Succession Crisis in favor of the Guoliang Emperor, until the MPDS-aligned armies began to march towards Beijing. The MPDS armies, led by both Yuan Shikai and Li Yuanhong, had accumulated battle experience from fighting the Boxer rebels, though they were deeply divided over the future of China. For instance, Li Yuanhong had favored the abolition of the Chinese monarchy itself, and the establishment of a Chinese Republic. In contrast, Yuan Shikai had opposed the abolition of the monarchy, and simply wanted to depose the Manchu Qing in favor of restoring a Han Chinese dynasty, with either himself as Emperor, or someone else. (4) The confrontation between the renegade MPDS and the Qing loyalist forces began on August 14th, in the city of Cangzhou. Though the loyalist Qing forces numbered around 37,000, the MPDS forces numbered around 44,000 well armed soldiers equipped with German rifles and cannon. The Battle of Cangzhou lasted for only five hours, in which the Guoliang Emperor would die while attempting a cavalry charge against an entrenched infantry position led by Li Yuanhong. Once the renegade MPDS forces had learned of the Yongian and Guoliang Emperors' deaths, they continued their march towards Beijing. With the deaths of both claimants, the Qing loyalists now rallied around Prince Zaifeng, who now took the name of the Renshu Emperor. Unfortunately, the entirety of the Qing Dynasty's ruling family and their relatives would be arrested on August 26th, amidst the renewed Boxer revolt that now included numerous unemployed Chinese industrial workers and unemployed farmers who were now starving. Both Yuan Shikai and Li Yuanhong would intern the Qing royal family inside the Forbidden Palace, where they would remain for the rest of their lives. At the same time, the renegade forces also marched into the Forbidden City and proclaimed the First Chinese Republic. Even as the renegades now worked to restore order against the rebellious Boxers and the rioters that were fed up with the Qing dynasty, events outside their control had exploded. At the same time as the proclamation of the First Chinese Republic, the Russian Empire had launched the invasion of northern Manchuria in an attempt to secure the safety of the Chinese Eastern Railway. The Russians would occupy much of northern Manchuria with the help of their Mongolian allies, in exchange for letting the Mongolians annex the areas of Manchuria where their ethnic brethren had resided. At the same time, the Uyghur revolt would break out by September of 1901, with the forces loyal to the now self-proclaimed independent Kumul Khanate marching into Xinjiang with the sole intention of conquering that region in the name of an independent Uyghur state.--- "I learned to hide my political opinions the moment I enlisted in the navy in 1899, mostly because they were not tolerant of anyone with a socialist mindset. Yet, there were many people who were like me: those of the working and peasant class who had no future in the factories and farms, and had to join the military to escape the drudgery of their daily lives. Yet, I eventually fell in love with what I do at sea, first working as a naval gunnery loader from 1900 to 1903, and promoted to the position of a chief gunnery loader. However, the Imperial Russian Navy at that time, began to experiment with a new invention that was gifted to us by the United States. They called it a submarine, and one of those things, the Som as we called it, was assigned a crew of 18 people. 2 of them were officers, and the other 16 were non-commissioned officers. By this time, the United States and our Motherland had cultivated a sense of friendship, out of mutual hatred and contempt for the upstart Japanese Empire, even though our Tsar wanted to improve relations with them. It was because of this kind of relationship that the Som-class often participated in helping the American Navy operate outside the waters of the Philippine Islands. For one thing, the Som-class only participated in the patrolling of the Philippine Sea for any Japanese cargo vessel or warship and relayed their positions to the Americans. The Japanese themselves were unaware of our position, and we kept it that way. It was not until 1904 that the Som-class would go on a seventh month journey from the port of Vladivostok to Sevastopol on the Black Sea. We constantly drilled during those long journeys, and kept an eye on the open seas for any hostiles, as if we were at war. By the time we arrived in January of 1905 at Sevastopol, my superior officer recommended to me that I attend the naval academy in Petrograd. I would study there from 1905, until the following year when war clouds gathered around Europe and the Middle East. Unfortunately, 1906 would also be the year when Odessa started to burn, mostly because the Jews grew smarter in response to our retaliations against them. Back in 1903, the Kishinev Pogrom had been on the news around the world, but it was the infamous incident in Slonim in the same year that nearly costed the Motherland of its friendship with Europe. Our Tsar received a letter from his cousins, the King of Great Britain and the Kaiser of the German Empire, condemning Russia for its treatment of the Jewish population. Yet, it was the events in 1906 at Odessa that ultimately triggered a general revolt against the Tsarist government, with those Jewish self-defense groups now confronting the army and the navy. We were tasked with suppressing the revolts there, and we performed admirably in this case.
There was one interesting caveat from the 1906 Jewish rebellion against the Tsarist government though: the borders of the Pale of Settlement shrunk, until the entirety of Novorossiya Governorate became excluded from the new border of the Pale of Settlement. Upon the Ekaterinoslav Declaration of August 1906, all the Jews living within Novorossiya Governorate had exactly 48 hours to relocate to the new zones, or they would be hunted down and slaughtered. It was this declaration that triggered the propaganda campaign against not only our Motherland, but our Tsar as well. Both the British King and the German Kaiser now started to work together on finding a solution for those Jews, and even the French have begun to distance themselves from our nation. Still, they were more concerned with the British and the Germans surrounding them that they were forced to keep their ties with us. However, it was the Ottoman massacre of the Armenians in 1909 that ultimately triggered the Armenian uprising against the Ottoman Empire, and the Christians that chafed under the Turkish Sultan had now began their revolt as well. In addition, the Balkan states had now justified going to war against the Sultan, with Italy joining the fun as well, especially as they had their eye on Tripolitania. It was at that moment that Britain and Germany would now blackmail the Turkish Sultan with the collapse of his empire unless he agreed to create a Jewish Vilayet within the region of Palestine. Yet, the Sultan at that time, Mehmed V, had insisted that Jerusalem would remain open to all three faiths instead of being assigned to the Jewish Vilayet. It was the only thing that he demanded to the British and the Germans. That was how Russia would suffer from the intrigues of those three powers and we responded by coming closer to the French and now the Americans. The impudent Japanese would later join the British and Germans too, but were pragmatic enough to not get themselves involved in a war, either against the Americans, or against us." Boris Savinkov, from his memoirs, released by 1952.
--- "One of the most intriguing conspiracy theories within the Philippine-American War was General Antonio Luna's fling with a Japanese nurse that arrived alongside the 900 Japanese volunteers that fought alongside him. (5) Originally named Kitamura Michiko, she eventually married General Luna in 1900 and bore him a daughter named Gabriela. However, their meeting proved real, as evident by Paco Roman's account on how he encountered the pair. In addition, both he and Artemio Ricarte eventually went to Japan to study in the Japanese military academy and also fell in love with the local women there. Although it was scandalous that the two other Filipino officers would abandon their duties in the Philippines for love in Japan, their romantic escapades had given them connections to various pan-Asian organizations that saw the conflict between the Philippines and the United States as an opportunity to test their theories on the racial struggle of the Asiatic peoples against European and American colonialism. To this end, the Philippine revolutionary government under President Apolinario Mabini and Prime Minister Jose Alejandrino had proposed to invite over 10,000 Japanese immigrants and 15,000 Korean peasants to settle in the Philippines, in exchange for their service in the Philippine Republican Army. Not only was this offer accepted by Prime Minister Ito Hirobumi of Japan and Prime Minister Yoon Yeong-seon (6) of the Joseon Kingdom. Additionally, over 5,000 exiled Boxer rebels fleeing from China after Yuan Shikai and Li Yuanhong's coup against the Manchu Qing Dynasty had arrived in the Philippines, in addition to the numerous Spanish Army deserters that defected to the Philippine Republican Army. The Boxer rebels, now embittered by their defeat at the hands of the military forces belonging to the Mutual Pact for the Defense of the Southeast, had not given up on their struggle against the foreign powers that had now raped their Chinese homeland. In fact, a few Boxer leaders, namely Cao Futian, relocated to Japanese Taiwan first, and then the Philippines, alongside 6,000 of his fighters. Most of these men under his command would become the core of the Chinese anti-imperialist group, the Blood and Soul Society, of which Zhang Jinghui would become its most prominent member.
The pan-Asian organizations in Japan had also began to realize that the Philippines, as a nation being founded solely on European colonialism, could be turned into an instrument and symbol of a greater cooperation between the various ethnic groups of Asia. It was because of this realization that led to the accepting of the proposals to invite those Japanese and Korean immigrants to the Philippines. The presence of the Boxer rebels turned volunteers however, had angered the long established Chinese-Filipino business community, as the differences between the upper class Tsinoy families and the predominantly lower class Boxer volunteers were apparent. Some of the Boxers still kept their Manchu style queue, despite being far from Qing authority, while others have cut theirs off to symbolize their rejection of Qing rule. Overall, an emerging social conflict has broken out between the old money upper class Chinese-Filipino families and the poverty stricken former Boxer rebels. The presence of those Boxer rebels in the Philippines had driven the Chinese-Filipino families into the arms of the Americans, who now saw them as a useful ally in suppressing the Filipino rebels, mainly by cutting off their source of funds needed to sustain their war effort. Now that the pan-Asian organizations have begun to funnel foreign volunteers into the Philippines, it was only a matter of how they would be trained. Most of the ex-Boxer rebels were used by General Luna to strike at American supply depots and occassionally killing any pro-American collaborators that they've come across. The guerrilla attacks also helped slow down the American advance throughout Luzon, while hampering much of their operations in Visayas and Mindanao as well. It was not until the 1902 Battle of Tacloban between a reinforced 50,000 American soldiers against under 32,000 Filipino rebels that the Americans finally won another major battle after constantly coming under guerrilla attacks. Yet, the casualty rates of the US military had started to reach 10,000, mainly due to disease and complications related to their wounds by 1902." From 'The Role of Foreign Volunteers in the Philippine-American War'--- (1) What Mitteleuropa was supposed to achieve. (2) The OTL Beiyang Army that Yuan Shikai commanded was one of the best trained Chinese armies to have been fielded. (3) Japan becoming a major influential power in China also occurred IOTL, only this time around they don't have the 21 Demands to issue. (4) What Yuan did IOTL, though there was significant opposition to his ascension as Emperor. (5) Based on an unproven rumor of Antonio Luna's fling with Ysidra Cojuangco. (6) It was extremely difficult to find the list of the Prime Ministers of the Korean Empire since there was a large gap between the period when Shim Soon-taek was in power from August 1 to December 10, 1987, and when Han Kyu-seol took power in 1905 of OTL.
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Post by TheRomanSlayer on Nov 17, 2023 5:41:26 GMT
TURN 003: SHADOWS OF LOST GLORY
Ottoman Empire - The Wounded Wolf
The Ottoman Empire, which was in existence since 1299, had continued its decline since the end of the Great Turkish War. However, its geostrategic position had made itself a useful ally and buffer of any great power that was hostile towards the Ottomans's mortal enemy, Russia. In this case, Great Britain had seen the Ottoman state as a useful buffer, but its relations with the Turkish state had been soured since 1882, when Britain had turned the former Khedivate of Egypt into its protectorate through a military occupation. Still, the long desired ambitions of certain Zionist activists like Theodore Herzl had an eye on the Ottoman province of Palestine for a future Jewish homeland, and he was willing to seek the support of the other powers to realize his dream. Herzl's dreams of a Jewish homeland was accelerated by the Russian pogroms committed against its Jewish minority population due to its long standing tradition of anti-Semitism, and in fact, Eastern Europe was the region that had the most experience with anti-Semitic violence committed against Jews. (1) Additionally, the Ottoman Empire continued its attempt to improve its diplomatic relations with the German Empire, but there was one surprising nation that not only had excellent relations with the Ottomans, but even played a role in an incident that marked the beginning of their friendship: the rising Japanese Empire. (2) Since the tragic incident that the island of Kii Oshima in 1890, the Ottomans had never forgotten the role that the residents of Kii Oshima played in saving the lives of their sailors. With Russia becoming a threat to the interests of Germany, Japan, and the Ottoman Empire, it made sense for them to come closer, though Britain also had practical reasons to improve their ties with Japan.
The Ottoman navy, like its Japanese counterpart, had some or most of its ships built in British shipyards for much of the late 1890s, and well into the early 1900s. Indeed, there were also talks of establishing a local shipyard in both the Ottoman Empire and Japan where they could build licensed copies of various British ships, but those talks didn't go anywhere. Additionally, the state of the Ottoman sailors during a ceremonial review in November of 1900 had alarmed Sultan Abdulhamid II, and led to his plea with Britain and Japan to help improve the training regimen of his sailors. Even more significantly, the British government even drew up plans for a possible joint military operation involving both nations should either one of them end up in a war against Russia. Despite all of this, Britain's relationship with the United States didn't decline much more than it could already have, with the Venezuela border crisis of 1895 and America's neutral stance in the Second Boer War. However, the British government had filed a formal note of protest to US President McKinley in February of 1900, criticizing their decision to sink the two Japanese freight ships that docked at the Philippine port of Aparri and advised them on compensating the Japanese government for the loss of their ships. The McKinley administration's response however, was blunt. Accordingly, President McKinley had pointed out that Japan was caught smuggling weapons to Philippine rebels, and that it was hampering its efforts at pacifying their recently acquired territory. Furthermore, the McKinley administration had began to treat Japan as a hostile competitor that could potentially undermine American commercial interest in the Asia-Pacific region. Even worse, the Americans had denounced the other members of the Western coalition sent to pacify the Boxer rebellion in China for their equally uninterested stance on the Open Door Policy, a tragedy that eventually led to the Russian invasion and subsequent annexation of northern Manchuria in September of 1901. Finally, the US had also announced that it was now willing to support the emerging Chinese military leadership in deposing Renshu Emperor and recognize the legitimacy of the First Chinese Republic.
The Ottoman relationship with Germany's other ally, Austria-Hungary, was strained due to their occupation of the Sanjak of Novi Pazar. In addition, their occupation of Bosnia-Hercegovina had been the byproduct of the 1877-78 Russo-Turkish war, and it was not a secret that they wanted to annex Bosnia as a means of enhancing their national security, in light of Serbia's not so hidden desire to bring in all the lands inhabited by its ethnic brethren. Both the Ottomans and Austro-Hungarians agreed on the issue of Serbian territorial ambitions as a threat to their national security and pledged to support each other's sovereignty. Unfortunately, there were hotheads within the Ottoman government that called for the reconquest of not only Serbia, but Montenegro and Bulgaria, as a means of curbing the tide of Christian revolts that threatened to engulf much of its empire, in addition to the looming Armenian and Assyrian rebellions as well. The fear of a joint Ottoman-Austro-Hungarian operation against the Balkan nations had prodded them to meet with each other for a possible talk of alliance. To ensure that the Russians didn't join in the talks as well, it was agreed that Italy would also be a good substitute for the talks of a Balkan alliance, despite the lack of Balkan territory that Italy holds.
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"Although it was merely for security, as well as prestigious reasons, that the Russian invasion and annexation of northern Manchuria had been launched, it also revealed another side to that controversial action. During the early 1900s when Tsarist Russia and the United States were improving their relations over their mutual hatred of the rising Japanese Empire, the Russian delegates grew curious about how America managed to grow its economy, despite being slightly smaller than Russia in territorial size. The Russian Minister of Agriculture at that time, had asked the American delegates while holding a meeting in Vladivostok in 1901, on the most efficient ways of harvesting cotton from its cotton fields in Central Asia. Though one of the American business delegates had suggested and proposed the introduction of the cotton gin as a useful machine that could help harvest more cotton, the other Russian delegate revealed that Transcaucasia and Central Asia were centers of cotton production, while the Minister of Agriculture himself revealed that Siberian agricultural practices were slightly more advanced than the ones found in the old European Russian core. The American delegates in turn, grew more curious at the knowledge of Siberian agricultural techniques, as their most northern state of Alaska had not yet been utilized for economic purposes. The constant conversations regarding their respective nations' agricultural practices eventually resulted in a plan of action for both nations: the Russian delegates offered to advise their American counterparts on developing their own Alaskan farming techniques that were based on their own experience with Siberian agricultural techniques. In return, the American business delegates offered to build a plant where they could manufacture cotton gins for faster harvesting of cotton in Transcaucasia and Central Asia. Yet, the most important advice that the American business delegates gave to their Russian counterparts was not to constantly reserve much of their foodstuffs for exports, but to keep most of them inside Russia for domestic consumption. In addition, the emerging Siberian butter industry also improved much of the domestic dairy industry to the point where the sales of its dairy products consisted around 11% of its regional GDP overall by 1916. Cattle ranching would boom as a result of the burgeoning butter industry. However, it was the cultivation of the sugar beet crop that surprised the American business delegates. As there were large estates throughout the Russian Empire that cultivated this important crop, its role in the production of white sugar would have earned it a much needed profit in the global market. Indeed, the newly acquired, though by dubious means, of territory in northern Manchuria had opened up for the cultivation of rice, soybeans, and maize. Because the Russians had no experience in the cultivation of rice and soybeans, the provincial governments of both Priamurye and Primorye Krais issued an open invitation to any Asian migrant seeking new lands to cultivate rice and soybeans. The Korean immigrant community in Russia, which had been present since the 1860s (3), grew exponentially as the cities of the Russian Far East were in need of new workers for the factories that were being built with the help of French and American businesses. Koryo-saram farmers and farm labourers were often hired by Russian landlords that purchased land in northern Manchuria for work on the rice and soybean cultivation. These first generation Koryo-saram workers and farmers would eventually give rise to a new class of Koryo-saram agro-business leaders that helped revolutionized Russian agriculture." From 'The Siberian Breadbasket inside Russia', released by Wall Street Documentaries.
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AFRIKANER VOLKSTAAT INDEPENDENCE REFERENDUM DRAWS CLOSER AS CLASHES BETWEEN PRO-FEDERAL AND PRO-INDEPENDENCE ACTIVISTS BECOME MORE VIOLENT Toronto Sun September 29, 2005
(Pretoria, SOUTH AFRICA) - In one of South Africa's biggest political crisis to ever occur since the end of the Second Boer War, the independence referendum on the status of the predominantly Afrikaner Volkstaat has triggered one of the largest protests ever seen. The protests between the pro-federal elements of South African society, which consists of White non-Afrikaner South Africans (mainly of British descent) and the pro-independence elements that consisted of the Afrikaner (or Boer) population, had also spilled into the heart of South African politics as the indigenous African population of South Africa were also calling for their own independence referendum, with the Zulu independence movement leading the charge. The former Dominion of South Africa, now the Confederate States of South Africa, had been formed since the end of the Second Boer War when Britain had carried out two simultaneous offensives against the two Boer republics, one from the city of Mafeking, and another from the Bechuanaland Protectorate, now the Commonwealth of Botswana. The reluctant incorporation of the two Boer republics into the Cape Colony led to the formation of the then-Dominion of South Africa in 1905, but trouble between the Afrikaner minority and the Anglo-South African majority remain. The most notable feature of the Dominion of South Africa is its status as a bilingual entity, modeled on another British Dominion, Canada. Yet, most of South Africa's population had grown resentful towards that bilingual policy, which enshrined the Afrikaner language as the second official language of South Africa, though indigenous African languages are recognized as the national language of its indigenous minority groups. South African politics have been best described as a volatile mixture of violent extremism and racial populist rhetoric, and there has been no love lost between the Anglo-South Africans and the Afrikaner minority.
"We never gave up our dream of independence from the tyranny of the Anglo-South Africans who only saw us as tools to exploit. The Boer republics will forever remain in our hearts, and we are not afraid to revolt against the regime in Cape Town!" says notable pro-Afrikaner independence activist and member of the Afrikaner National Front Alletta Schuster, during a pro-independence rally in Bloemfontein. "The time for British imperialism has passed, and the Boer republics shall be forever independent once more!"
Although sympathy for the Anglo-South Africans primarily come from the international community, certain nations that have suffered from British colonialism like Ireland have thrown their support for the Afrikaner population. Even within the American Continental State, there's division between those who support South African unity and those who sympathize with the cause of the indigenous South Africans, primarily the African-American population that has faced historical discrimination and outright persecution from the NatSynd dictatorships of General George Van Horn Moseley, and eventually his successors in John Kasper (who ruled from 1961 to 1972, when he was deposed by disgruntled ACS Army and Navy officers over the ex-Klansman's increasingly unhinged rhetoric, both within Congress and the international community at large), Edgar Osbourne (who ruled from 1972 until his death in 1983), and Alfred D. Keller (who took over in 1983, following the death of Osbourne as the last American ruler who presided over the National Syndicalist American Unity Party before the ACS held its first ever multi-party elections since 1933). However, fringe elements of the powerful Neo-NatSynd movement have been reported to donate much of their finds to an even more radical party in the Afrikaner Freedom Party. The support for the AFP was the source of tensions between the American Continental State and the United Kingdom of Great Britain, even as both nations are firmly allied against the dangerous Eastern powers in the region. ACS President Lawrence Kirkpatrick on the other hand, had reaffirmed America's support for South African territorial integrity, but supports greater autonomy for the Afrikaner Volkstaat.
"The Afrikaner people have proven themselves to be extremely resilient in their struggle for national liberation, but at the same time I must remind them of the benefits that they received while being united with their Anglo-South African cousins based in the Cape Colony," says President Kirkpatrick, during a speech in the White House. "The strong arm of the South African state has so far kept itself stable, even as other, more dangerous and deadly subversives, have clamored for their own independent state."
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"I honestly think that President McKinley's sudden turn towards the Russians had eventually costed the Republicans the 1904 US Presidential election as the news of the Kishinev and Slonim pogroms have reached the world press at that time. That was how we ended up with Francis Cockrell of all people as the next President, with Richard Olney as the Vice President. Unlike McKinley, President Cockrell became disgusted with the rampant anti-Semitism that the world witnessed in Russia and wanted to cut diplomatic ties with the Tsarist government, but powerful American business leaders like John Jacob Astor IV had opposed such a move. Then again, I am not surprised, as these businessmen love their money more than they love their fellow man. It wasn't also surprising that men like Astor and John Thayer had made their fortunes developing the Russian Far East into the juggernaut that is today, and we helped developed that juggernaut that eventually became our worst enemy and dangerous economic competitor. In contrast to Mr. Astor, Mr. Thayer had invested in upgrading the Trans-Siberian and Chinese Eastern Railways by introducing the double track system that eased up on the logistics. Even as Siberia itself eventually became a bit more developed, Mr. Thayer was crazy about making the Pennsylvania Railroad Company one of the major owners of the Trans-Siberian Railway. Moreover, President Cockrell was also not a big fan of the Japanese, but he didn't know which nation in Asia that the US should support. That was how the China Lobby got its start: the Democrats gained significant support from the local Chinese-American and Jewish-American communities, but the Chinese Exclusion Act remained a sore point for the former. The latter on the other hand, had lobbied for not only America, but the entire world, to start weakening the Russian Empire in order to punish the Tsarist government for the Jewish pogroms. The American policy regarding the Philippines on the other hand, remained the same as the previous administration: benevolent assimilation and outright conquest, but we relied more on the latter than the former. Yet, most of our people had started to question the main point of the war in the Philippines as more of our soldiers started to return inside their coffins. What was the point of spreading our way of life to a country that is totally alien to us and didn't want us to be there? Yet, the veterans of the conflict in the Philippines eventually became the core of the notorious National Syndicalist American Unity Party, which was anything but a Syndicalist movement since they were more on the right, with the whole racial ideology of Pan-Nordicism or Pan-Occidentalism (4) as their core tenet of their movement. General Moseley got his start to politics in the 1920s, but he was a veteran of the conflict in the Philippines. The NatSynds saw the Japanese as not only their ideological competitors, but as the so-called 'uppity monkeys' who should be put in their place, and by what the NatSynds meant their 'place' was six feet under. They saw Japan as the source of the anti-imperialist sentiment growing throughout the entire world, and to our horror, Japanese money was funneled into the Anti-Imperialist League. It was the notion of Japan giving their money to the anti-imperialists within the American public that triggered this hostile reaction from the hardline rightists that eventually led to the NatSynds gaining power." Robert Barr, on 'The Origins of the NatSynd Dictatorship in the American Continental State'.
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WARNING AND DISCLAIMER: This segment may contain traces of racism and many other elements of far-right politics. I don't condone these statements, but write them in the mind of the historical figure featured in it.
"Our failure to understand the minds of our enemies in the Philippines was entirely because we did not anticipate the determination of this alien race from the Orient, and how they were fanatical in their goal to fight our forces. We tried to spread our way of life into this quasi-primitive group, even though the Spaniards had already done their portion of the work. We did not anticipate that the enemy would become this cunning, with our army facing the kind of warfare that Napoleon had faced in Spain, or what our own ancestors had done while fighting the British. The only difference between those conflicts and the one we fought in the Philippines was that we fought the Filipino rebels to expand our own empire. Our own corporations could have easily exploited the quasi-primitive masses in the Philippines, the same way we were doing to the Latin American masses in Mesoamerica. However, Japan was closer to them than we were, and the Japanese succeeded in poisoning the Filipinos with such anti-American hatred to the point where they combined that with the equally atrocious animosity towards their social betters. Now we are facing a new Japan that proved itself to be more genuine of its role as the so-called liberator of the colored masses. The foolish nation that still called itself an Empire is putting on the clothes of a Syndicalist rabble rouser. Shumei Okawa, that rabble rousing bastard who's setting much of Asia and even Africa on fire, cannot be underestimated by any of us. He flirted and fell in love with socialism in his youth, while being introduced to Syndicalism by that traitor William Foster. I honestly hope that scumbag is enjoying his permanent stay in Alaska, where his frozen corpse now lies. What we have to learn from our own imperial failures is that we cannot simply fight against other nations for the sake of some rose tinted vision of Imperial glory: we go on a conquest, not because of some millionaire fat slob who wanted more money than the working man can ever get. We as Americans got to where we are because we believed in ourselves as a conquering race. We destroyed those primitive tribes that stood in our way of the Manifest Destiny, and with the Occidental Nordic spirit that we inherited from our ancestors, we shall exterminate our internal enemies that have nearly dragged America into internal chaos. We will fight on the shores of the Atlantic, the Pacific, and the Arctic, if it meant that we can finally defeat our Asiatic enemies that threaten our way of life. It is not simply enough that we have to simply expel the non-whites that reside within our own borders. We must turn the Caribbean islands into suitable residences where the non-white nationals within our nation can be relocated, and keep America only for the pure blooded whites that have the right to be masters of this continent. Once we've set our house in order, we will take revenge on the two nations that have denied America its right to impose its will on the entire world, especially Asia: Japan, and the Philippines. It is simply not for America's wounded pride that we do this, but for revenge. Revenge against the Orientals that dared to humiliate us. Revenge for the defeat we suffered when our own people dared to question the reasoning for the war in the Philippines. Most important of all, revenge because there are some nations that dared to undermine our own interest. Only the interests of the Euro-Atlantic races shall be protected. Everything else must be destroyed!" George Van Horn Moseley (5), during a National Syndicalist American Unity Party rally in St. Louis, Missouri.
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Portions from the Interview with Military Historian Sakumo Kuboin Radio Television Vietnam
Discussing the North Luzon Campaign of the US Army
Interviewer: In your book, 'Defeat by a Hundred Shots', you've repeatedly explained the main reason for the US Army's increased casualties when they fought the Philippine rebels by 1900. Moreover, you've also written in that very segment that the death of its first president had allowed controversial military officer in Antonio Luna to introduce his defensive plans that eventually bled the US Army in the Philippines. However, it was your country's contribution to the fight that eventually led to the Cockrell administration's decision to stop the conflict and to sign a ceasefire, not a peace treaty. Is that statement correct?
Kuboin: (in Japanese) Yes, and no. General Luna alone could not have contributed his victory over the United States, because there were other officers who worked diligently under his command that made it possible. Moreover, our own officers had also helped train the Philippine soldiers in Japan, though only in 100s. They became the NCOs that passed down their skills to their own subordinates, who then replicated that step, until eventually they selected the most valuable of those soldiers to become officers. What also helped the revolutionaries was General Luna's command of the Spanish language, which became the language of the Philippine military, until 1922, when Japanese was introduced as well. However, the First Philippine Republic since its independence had been wracked by instability, as well as ethnic riots between the natives and the leftover Spanish minority that chose to remain in their country.
Interviewer: I seem to recall one of the other leaders, a Jose Alejandrino, who proposed to invite over 10,000 Japanese peasants and 15,000 Korean farmers to the Philippines. Did that proposal went through?
Kuboin: (in Japanese) It did in both Japan and Korea. However, keep in mind that the annexation of Korea by Japan had been opposed by China and Russia, mainly because they now felt what we had felt when Korea was being used by them to threaten our own security. Now that we're doing it to them, it became inevitable that there would have been a conflict. However, Russia's annexation of northern Manchuria only confirmed our worst fears about what they wanted to do to the rest of Asia.
Interviewer: But didn't Japan and Russia eventually reconcile?
Kuboin: (in Japanese) Eventually, but only after several difficult decisions were made. However, we only agreed to split all of Asia into spheres of influence, which had struck fear into the hearts of the other Asians that we wanted to liberate. Even when the Americans wanted to downgrade their ties with the Russians over their treatment of the Jews, they were forced to confront the terrible reality that not everyone was enthusiastic about seeing much of their relatives return home, dead from the front lines. It wasn't an accident that General Moseley had accused us of sending money to the Anti-Imperialist League, though we both shared a common goal with the AIL in ending racial imperialism and colonialism forever. Okawa Shumei was passionate when he said that the Philippines represents the first step in the liberation of Asia from European and American colonialism.
Interviewer: The North Luzon Campaign that was launched by the US Army was seen as a model for both guerrilla forces fighting against colonial powers in Africa and other parts of Asia, as well as an example of tying down larger number of soldiers by numerically inferior troops. Did it have an effect on the development of Japanese military strategies and tactics?
Kuboin: (in Japanese) Well, when we saw the three defensive lines that were built before building their mountain redoubt, it was no doubt a good example of a defending army resorting to slowing down their larger foe. However, they also had to build small strongholds in vital areas that guarded the supply lines. We realized that to wage an effective guerrilla campaign, one must not strike a decisive blow against the enemy, but to immobilize them. Cut the enemy off from each supply route by destroying the route that's the most vulnerable. Retreat when the enemy advances and strike where they least expect it. I'm surprised that General Luna hasn't familiarized himself with Sun Tzu, but rather Clausewitz.
Interviewer: But what about the psychological state of the American soldier during that time? I am not sure if it was true that the US Army at the time of their conflict in the Philippines had employed any mental health experts.
Kuboin: (in Japanese) At that time, they didn't know what post traumatic stress disorder was, until the Great World War had taught all the great powers a lesson in how the mind of a soldier could decide his fate. All I know from numerous hours of research on the memoirs of the various American soldiers that fought in the Philippines, their biggest fear was the night ambushes. Some of their friends were killed outright by a guerrilla fighter with a knife. The day after the Quinapondan Massacre had broken out, over 50 American soldiers were brutally slaughtered by the rebels armed with short swords they called the bolo. However, the method in which the American soldiers were killed had not just broken the minds of the survivors, but it also drove them even deeper into rage, as they took out their anger on the civilians, resulting in yet more massacres. The difference between the conflict in 1901 and when the Americans would finally succeed in capturing the entirety of the Philippines in 1942 was that the National Syndicalist leadership of General Van Horn Moseley had drawn up on the lessons that they learned from their earlier war in the Philippines and developed such a terrifying plan that once they've perfected it, they could easily bring numerous nations to heel.
Interviewer: How exactly?
Kuboin: (in Japanese) By stealing all of their foodstuffs through confiscation. The Americans had an offensive phrase that even the Europeans balked at repeating, 'dead monkeys endure starvation well'. I mean, General Moseley's regime only galvanized much of Asia a bit further, because defeat would have meant that all of their rice, all of their meat, milk, fruits, and vegetables, would be completely confiscated, leading to a man made genocide that was merciless. They only discovered this method in 1902, when Major Waller listened to one of his officers suggesting that they can pacify the natives, in their words, by starving them. They can only eat when they obey their new American masters. Like dogs. It was this planned man made famine/genocide in 1902 that also gave the Anti-Imperialist League the propaganda bonanza, calling the American imperialist government a cabal of butchers.
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(1) Thanks to the Partitions of the former Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth, the Russian Empire now had the largest Jewish population in Europe.
(2) The Ottoman frigate, named the Ertugrul, had been sunk off the coast of Kii Oshima in 1890. Through the efforts of the local residents there, they saved the lives of the remaining Ottoman sailors. IOTL 1985, the Turks would repay the favor by helping the Japanese residents of Tehran to evacuate out of Iranian territory through Turkish civilian aircraft.
(3) Initially, the Korean peasant migrants had moved to the lands controlled by the Qing Dynasty, until the Convention of Beijing had resulted in Outer Manchuria being ceded to the Russian Empire.
(4) Similar to the racial rhetoric of Europeans being Nordic-like, with their all too familiar racist rhetoric about white Europe needing to protect itself from the Asiatic hordes.
(5) IOTL, this American general had harbored an unhealthy dose of anti-immigrant rhetoric, as well as being a hardcore anti-Semite, and even described fascism and Nazism in flattering terms.
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Post by TheRomanSlayer on Nov 27, 2023 20:22:53 GMT
TURN 004: CLASH OF WORLDS
Philippines - A Battleground of Civilizations
By late 1901, the conflict inside the Philippines had grown more dangerous as the American government had steadily began to increase the number of soldies being deployed into this troubled hotspot. Initially, the US Army only had over 126,000 soldiers fighting the Filipino rebels, but other areas within the Philippines had also been affected by the revolt as well. Even President McKinley's plea in his letter that he sent to Ottoman Sultan Abdulhamid II was ignored by the Turkish government (1), especially in light of increased Ottoman diplomatic overtures to the Japanese Empire and the Pan-Asian cause that they're propagating. McKinley's plea for Sultan Abdulhamid II to issue a fatwa to the Philippine Moro Muslim rebels to not resist the American occupation of the Philippines had apparently fallen on deaf ears, as the Sulu Sultanate rightly pointed out that it was already a sovereign state before the American conflict in the Philippines had began. Additionally, the presence of the Boxer exiles in the Philippines also created another kind of socio-political confusion and headache, when it became apparent that the Boxer exiles are picking fights with long established families that share their blood and heritage. Cao Futian, the exiled leader of his band of exiled rebels, had also played a role in the class conflict that defined the early 1900s inside the Philippines, with the pogroms launched against those same Chinese merchant families. On one occassion, three Boxer exiles had entered the town of Paniqui in Tarlac and looted the home of a Hokkien-speaking family that traced their lineage to Kho Giok Hwan, or Xuyuhuan in modern Mandarin Chinese. (2) The Boxers, who mostly spoke Mandarin, with a few minority exiles speaking Cantonese and Hokkien as well, demanded money from that family, but refused. As a result, the exiled Boxers slaughtered them and took most of their money. As the now discovered Cojuangco family were also long standing Catholics, and the Boxers's own anti-Christian sentiment as a result of numerous Christian missionaries carrying out their work inside China, the class conflict between the Boxer exiles in the Chinese Filipino families also had a religious angle in it.
Within the US Army however, racial tensions between the predominantly white soldiers and their black counterparts had never been cordial, primarily due to the well established prejudices at this time period. Out of the 7,000 African-American soldiers that served in the US Army, over 800 of them would defect to the Philippine side, giving this conflict a much more confusing side to it. Yet, within the Philippines, there were a few non-Tagalog minority groups that actually joined the American side, eager to prove their loyalty to them. The Kapampangan ethnic group was deeply split between those who supported a unified Philippine state, and those who prefer to become independent. The ones that opposed a unified Philippines had joined the informally built Philippine Scouts, and those soldiers were often targeted for torture and summary execution. The African-American deserters that defected to the Philippine side was led by an obscure Floridan corporal by the name of David Fagen. (3) Fagen, who eventually became known for his advocacy to resettle much of America's black population in the Philippines, made his mark by participating in ambushes and attracting the attention of General Antonio Luna himself. Pleased with what he saw as a walking source of knowledge of American military practices, tactics, strategies, and traditions, General Luna would promote Fagen to the rank of Captain and gave him the task of helping to train the next batch of Filipino soldiers, though Fagen would work alongside the Pan-Asian volunteers that have arrived from Japan to the Philippines. It is also worth noting that Japan did not yet have any contacts with African independence leaders until the 1940s, when class and ethnic consciousness had awakened the populations of Africa and the rest of Asia to the reality of white colonialism, and have started their struggle. Still, the guerrilla campaigns that have forced the McKinley administration to send more troops to the Philippine quagmire would bear an unexpected fruit when Japan would make a similar attempt to intervene in the Philippines with its own soldiers, precipitating the hostile animosity between the United States and Japan that eventually led to the Japanese-American War of 1904-07.
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Excerpts from "The South African Ulcer: Britain and the Boer Nightmare" by: Hendryk Mulder Springbok Publishing Company, released on July 2016
Chapter Four: All Out Attack
The preparations for an all out British offensive into the two Boer Republics were constantly delayed by the Boer guerrilla raids on their supply lines, especially the railway lines that connected the Cape Colony to Rhodesia through Bechuanaland. Both sides were aware of the imminent British offensive into those Boer republics, though in the case of the Boers, they took the necessary precautions to fortify the supply routes that they used to bring in the necessary reinforcements. Between January and June of 1901, the British focused mostly on bringing in those reinforcements to South Africa, including the much needed artillery pieces and the much needed Maxim machine guns and other artillery pieces the British Army needed. On the other hand, the Boers had lacked any kind of machine gun needed to defend their positions against any incoming British position, which did play a key role in the much vaunted Limpopo-Tugela Offensive launched on June 22nd, 1901. (4) In that offensive alone, the British army now had over 630,000 soldiers under arms, of which a few of them were recruited from the colonies. Moreover, a small number of Portuguese military officers were present as observers in South Africa on the British side, as well as a few American officers interested in counter-offensive and counter-insurgency operations. The Portuguese officers that showed up, included the veteran of the Angola and Mozambique campaigns named Henrique Mitchell de Paiva Cabral Couceiro. Though only a captain prior to the events of the Second Boer War, Couceiro would eventually be promoted to Major after he personally saved the life of General Redvers Buller during the first phase of the Tugela Theater by shooting at the Boer soldier attempting to kill the officer leading the British infantry across the Tugela River. However, his promotion was done under the supervision of the other British and Portuguese officers that were present at the British camp a few miles away from the battlefield, and it was eventually recognized and confirmed by the Portuguese royal government.
The Limpopo Theater of this offensive was much more difficult, as the Boers had inflicted significant damage to a large number of colonial troops leading the charge against them. Francois-Louis Lessard, one of the colonial officers that led the advance into the Boer positions inside the first Boer defense line at Sandbult, was wounded in action by July 7th. Much of the other colonial officers that surrounded the wounded Lessard, protected him with their lives, and as a result, Lessard was able to retreat away from Sandbult, giving the Boer armies their first victory during the Limpopo Theater of the conflict, but among many other victories they've won. However, another thrust came from the British position at Mafeking, forcing the Boer armies to stretch their forces to the breaking point as the British military leadership communicated with their front line officers constantly by messengers riding horses between the front lines and the officers' camp. Additionally, the British in the Tugela theater of the offensive had advanced a bit quicker than their counterparts on the Limpopo Theater, though it was a slow march all the same. There is a major reason why the Limpopo-Tugela Offensive was one of the longest offensives the British had carried out during the Second Boer War: the Boers' constant harassments and raids against the advancing British forces had forced men like Buller to adopt the strategy of chomping down on the territories that they've taken by establishing new attack positions, as well as creating new supply lines that are guarded by other colonial troops. The slow and steady approach that General Buller and the other British generals had adopted for this increasingly three pronged attack on the two Boer republics had paid off in their favor, and it also helped minimize their losses in the supply trains as well. On the other hand, the British army also sent troops to the borders that they shared with German Southwest Africa to prevent any foreign volunteers from joining the Boer cause, although there were secret ways that other foreigners seeking the thrill of fighting the British could get into South Africa. However, the increasing casualties taken by the British forces involved in the Limpopo-Tugela Offensive resulted in Field Marshal Paul Methuen's decision to expand on the medical corps that are attached to the British forces in the region. Field hospitals were built, often far away from the front lines and were staffed by female nurses and foreign doctors. In August of 1901, King Carlos I of Portugal had offered to send around 200 Portuguese Army medics to help their British counterparts in South Africa as a gesture of goodwill for the diplomatic overtures that King George V of England had done when he came to power.
It is also worth noting that prior to the 1901 British offensives, the British were constantly on the defensive as they kept waiting for the reinforcements to arrive. In addition, they also kept an eye on the 1900 British elections, though either outcome would not have any influence on the military situation in South Africa. It was also important to add that the additional work done on the railways throughout both South Africa and Bechuanaland also played a role in the eventual success of the Limpopo-Tugela Offensive, but the British forces were not in a hurry to defeat the Boer commandos. They knew that as time went on, they would eventually have the advantage in both personnel and supplies, something that the Boers were well aware of. Additionally, the commandos' families opted to join them instead of staying in their homes, for fear of being massacred by the British or vengeful African natives itching to get back at them for the Slangrivier Massacre that their compatriots had committed. The slow march through the two Boer republics also had an effect on British logistics, as they were able to build up additional forward bases in areas that they've occupied. Luckily for the British forces, the Boer families that ran off to join the commandos had forgotten to burn down their own homes, but they did take all the food that they've stored and donated it all to the commandos, depriving the British forces of much needed food supplies as well. (5) In areas where the Boer families had abandoned their houses, they were requisitioned by British troops, who then sent in their own engineers to expand on the captured Boer houses and turned it into military bases. That such an act also became controversial, as those makeshift bases also included blockhouses that oversaw the security of those captured Boer houses.
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France - Unresolved Anger
The infamous Dreyfus Affair, in which a French Army captain by the name of Alfred Dreyfus, had been a scandal that rocked French political affairs. It exposed the deep rift between the secularists and the traditionalists, with the latter consisting of reactionaries and violent anti-Semites. Though every time Captain Dreyfus was tried and sentenced to 10 years on the charge of sending military secrets to the German Embassy, it turned out to not only be baseless, but that they have already captured the real spy who was responsible. Yet, the French republican faction had grown irritated at the French military's tradition of holding such anti-Semitic beliefs. The legacy of this infamous affair was that France under the Republican government had to reform much of its judicial system, both in the civilian and military areas, as its main core of the problem was not just judicial in nature, but in prejudices. Although Dreyfus had accepted the pardon in 1899, he still felt that his honor could never be regained. Furthermore, the Dreyfus Affair had become intertwined with the bigger struggle that faced the global Jewish community, as the anti-Semitic pogroms that have been a part of European life was now becoming more dangerous. Theodor Herzl, one of the founders of the Zionist ideology, proposed to Dreyfus that he should seek asylum in the Ottoman Empire, where the Jews there have been treated rather well. In October of 1901, Dreyfus attempted to sneak out of his Paris home and into the Ottoman Embassy, but was captured by French police. As punishment for violating the terms of his house arrest, Dreyfus would be exiled to the island of Madagascar, where French colonial authorities would be responsible for his incarceration there. Madagascar was where Captain Dreyfus would serve the remainder of his sentence there, and he would spend the last years of his life in Madagascar, without ever being exonerated for the crimes that he did not commit. However, Dreyfus's exile to Madagascar also triggered the collapse of President Emile Loubet's government, triggering one of the most hotly contested elections in France's history.
In the aftermath of President Loubet's government collapsing and with it, the resignation of several ministers connected to the Loubet cabinet, the November 1901 elections was dominated by Dreyfus's violation of his conditions of house arrest, which the leader of Action Francaise Charles Maurras had used for propaganda purposes. Additionally, Maurras also began to criticize the Republican factions for their perceived 'anti-nationalist perfidy' regarding the calls for Dreyfus's exoneration, although when asked about a possible restoration of the monarchy in France, Maurras was torn between supporting the Bourbons and throwing his support behind the Bonapartist faction. Although the Bourbons had the bigger claim on the currently defunct French throne, they were weakened by the two factions within the movement: the Legitimists and the Orleanists. The Bonapartists on the other hand, was widely reviled because its last Emperor of the French had been on the throne when France lost the Franco-Prussian War of 1871 that led to not only the loss of Alsace-Lorraine, but the rise and formation of the German Empire as well. However, the Republicans themselves were becoming more vulnerable to Socialist and Syndicalist infiltration from the emerging left wing parties that have been formed in France. The right-wing factions on the other hand, had not only called for the restoration of the French monarchy, but also called for France to be purged of so-called subversives: leftists, liberals, Jews, and other enemies they deeply disliked. Even more significantly, Charles Maurras's Action Francaise would throw their support behind Jacques Piou, one of the moderate conservatives that was running in the election for the seat of Prime Minister. Yet, in addition to the 1901 election, Maurras convinced Piou that if he was elected as Prime Minister, Piou should call for a referendum on whether or not France should remain a Republic or restore the monarchy. Before Piou could deliver on the promise of such a referendum, tragedy would strike. On November 12th, Jaques Piou was shot by an assassin connected to the Radical Party while on his way to vote in the election for the first round in Paris. Furious at the tragedy, vigilantes connected to Action Francaise would assassinate Emile Combes three days later, along with violent attacks on suspected leftists in the regions of Brittany, Picardy, and Gascony.
Fearing that the crisis would escalate out of control, the headless French government was powerless as several French Army officers would launch a coup against it. The fact that there was no clear winner in the 1901 election had made it easier for the French generals to take control of the government, with Maxime Weygand becoming the interim leader, until new elections could be organized. The Hundred Twenty-Day Junta, as it was now known in France, had occurred from November 21st until sometime in March of 1902, was the only period in French history when a military junta had temporarily ruled France, notwithstanding the first coup back in 1799 that propelled Napoleon Bonaparte to power. It was during the Hundred Twenty-Day Junta that Marechal Weygand presided over one of France's most vicious political purges ever seen until the 1940s. Within those hundred twenty days, over 21,000 suspected leftists were arrested, including the French sympathizers of known Belgian assassin Jean-Baptiste Sipido. Unfortunately, Maurice Sarrail, who was among the few openly socialist military officer within the French Army, had managed to escape from among the purges and would only resurface in French Algeria in March of 1902 as he and a few lower ranking officers with socialist and syndicalist sympathies now called on the French people to revolt and overthrow the junta. The attempted Marseille Revolution of March 1902 had not only ended in failure, but it alerted Marechal Weygand to who his true enemy really is. Yet, at the same time, Marechal Weygand's inability to suppress additional leftist revolts throughout France had now escalated where civil war was inevitable. (6)
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"The French Civil War of 1902-07 was the first civil war in the 20th century that broke out over political and ideological differences. The mishandling of the Dreyfus Affair had led to such fury and rage from within the French reactionary factions that now coalesced around Action Francaise's Charles Maurras and Marechal Maxime Weygand as the prime leaders of the reactionaries. Yet, these reactionaries were also backed by three major royalist factions: the Legitimists, which remained faithful to the idea of an absolutist French monarchy, the Orléansists, which favored a constitutional monarchy as the best system for France and to adopt certain trappings from the British constitutional monarchy, and the Bonapartists, which traced their lineage to Napoleon Bonaparte. The royalists were the backbone of the Reactionary factions, although their support among the general French public was constrained to the rural areas of France only. All of the royalist factions did unite around the idea of France keeping much of their colonies, but as the civil war dragged on, financial expenditures were becoming more prominent. Since France needed more financial aid in their civil war, they had no choice but to sell off some of their colonies that are extremely far flung. The French West Indies for example, was placed for sale by the pro-Republican Council of National Emergency, for over 35 million US dollars. The only nation that was interested in buying the French West Indies was the United States. (7) Not only that, the McKinley Administration would also express their interest in buying other French colonies in Oceania and North America as well, but Britain had beaten the Americans to the punch with the French cession of Saint Pierre and Michelon to the British Empire, which then placed it under the jurisdiction of the Colony of Newfoundland. Those sales were conducted in 1903, at a time when the civil war had escalated a bit further, but by the end of 1907 and the beginning of 1908, France was facing an economic crisis that threatened the economic stability of the European continent. Luckily and surprisingly for France, Japan was interested in acquiring French Indochina, as well as the Leased Territory of Guangzhouwan, though the other colonial powers in the region, namely Great Britain and to a lesser extent, Germany and even Thailand for that matter, had wanted to take control of French Indochina as well. (8) In May of 1908, the French government would cede Guangzhouwan to Japan, in exchange for Japanese financial aid in restoring France's economy. However, the French Civil War also affected other European powers as well, especially Russia, which relied on French investments in its economy. By 1903, the United States would replace France as the number one investor in the Russian economy, and American corporations have established themselves inside Russian territory.
Both factions inside the French Civil War started off in such economic disadvantage that there were numerous individuals that wanted to finance the war efforts. For the royalist and reactionary sides, it was primarily German banks and businessmen that financed the royalist war effort as a way of preventing the Republicans from winning. British financiers on the other hand, also joined in the financing of the royalist war effort, as King George V had wanted European stability more than any other monarch in the world. For the Republican side, American corporations also funded the Republican war effort, though the American finance and corporate sector were bitterly divided on ideological grounds. Bankers such as Jacob Schiff had decided to bankroll the French Republican war effort as a way of getting revenge on the reactionaries over the Dreyfus affair. Shockingly enough, all of the five major houses of the Rothschild banking family had also decided to finance the Republican war effort for reasons similar to that of Schiff's. (9) However, JP Morgan, the Rockefellers and Astors had bankrolled the reactionary faction's war effort, due to their fear and hatred of the leftists that have come to dominate the French Republican side. It is also worth noting that the Astors and Rockefellers also had business dealings with the Tsarist government as well. John Thayer, whose business grew with the Russian government's plea for assistance in double tracking the Trans-Siberian Railway, had doubled his profits from the construction of several new rail tracks in the Russian Far East, as well as connecting the city of Vladivostok to Magadan. Using those profits made in the Russian Far East, Thayer would invest that in the construction of new arsenals in French North Africa. Unlike the Second Boer War though, the French Civil War opened up new opportunities for foreign volunteers to join through legal channels, instead of illegal channels as it happened in the Second Boer War. Royalists from all over the world, including Latin America, where factions loyal to the Latin American pretenders like the loyalists of the Mexican pretender Agustin de Iturbide and the loyalists that were embittered by the downfall of the last Brazilian Emperor. (10) On the republican side, socialists, syndicalists, and anarchists of all kinds, had also joined up, including the colonial volunteers from France's overseas colonies. Those foreign volunteers would be organized according to their place of origin, followed by the ideological strain of their unit." From 'Bloodied Lily: the French Civil War', released by France24 on September 15, 2017.
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United States - The Second McKinley Administration
By the time that the US Army had become more accustomed to the sluggish advance through northern Luzon, there were more problems that required the President's attention. The long line of maritime logistics needed to bring in troops from one end of the Atlantic to one end of the Pacific was one of the most difficult problems that the McKinley had to solve, and while shipbuilding activities were mainly done in the Atlantic coast, he quickly realized the importance of the American Pacific as a supply hub in which he could bring in more ships and soldiers to the Philippines. To this end, another round of diplomatic meetings between American and Russian diplomats were launched between 1901 and 1903, when President McKinley ended the diplomatic talks with the Russians because of the Kishinev and Slonim Pogroms. Although the President was obliged to order American businessmen to cease their economic and commercial activities inside Russia after the pogroms had ended, many of these very same businessmen chose to ignore the order. Consequently though, McKinley could not punish the businessmen without triggering a backlash from within America's business community. Still, they did eventually pay over $700,000 in fines for ignoring the President's orders to cease their activities in Russia. Additionally, the growth of America's Chinese population that contributed to the passing of the Chinese Exclusion Act of 1882 had now expanded beyond the simple exclusion of the Chinese people. The Asiatic Exclusion Act of 1903, which now replaced the Chinese Exclusion Act of 1882, was one of the harshest anti-Asian laws that have been passed down in the American Congress. Unlike the Chinese Exclusion Act of 1882, the Asiatic Exclusion Act of 1903 had barred all immigrants of Asian origin from immigrating to the United States. (11) Additionally, the supplementary law that was passed down, namely the Asiatic Expulsion Act, had given state and municipal governments broad powers to forcibly expel all Asian migrants from the continental United States. Those infamous, racist laws that have been preserved, was not repealed until 1995, and those racist bills came under the White America Policy bill.
The American Pacific Coast subsequently became a hub of economic activity as the military necessities of the conflict in the Philippines took up more military expenditures, and after 1902, the French Civil War forced the American public to build even more factories and arsenals where they could create their own weapons for both American and French use. Most significantly, the state of California, Oregon, and Washington have pleaded with the federal government for additional funds needed to create more jobs in the shipbuilding sector. Yet, the McKinley administration was slow to respond to the needs of the American West, as communications were slow at this time. When France descended into civil war over the reactions to the mishandling of the Dreyfus Affair, the US government feared that the instability of the French mainland would spread into its colonies. Luckily, the French Republican government that is fighting against the reactionaries were more than willing to sell much of its colony as they needed extra cash to fund their war effort. US Secretary of State John Hay, who kept his position when McKinley was re-elected, had approached the French Republican government on talks of purchasing the entirety of the French West Indies from France. While Hay's French republican counterpart agreed to the sale, the price that the French Republican government asked was around $35 million dollars. Hay was instructed by McKinley to raise the price to $37 million, before settling for $36.5 million instead. Though the McKinley administration was successful in buying the French West Indies, they failed to purchase Saint Pierre and Miquelon, which ended up being bought by the British instead. However, when it came to the issue of France's Oceanian colonies, the Secretary of Treasury warned that the funds that would be used to purchase all of the French Oceanian territories would be better used instead for expanding and developing the three American Pacific states as a new manufacturing hub for the military. However, it was under McKinley's successor Francis Cockrell who would eventually push for a two ocean navy program (12) that called for the establishment of three additional US naval bases in the Pacific coast of the continental United States, plus the creation of a forward base in what was then Hawaii Territory.
However, it was US Vice President Theodore Roosevelt who was behind much of America's growing progressive legislations that was unfortunately rolled back by the NatSynd dictatorship, such as increased immigration from southern and eastern Europe. Yet, the Asiatic Exclusion and Expulsion Acts had become rather controversial, in that the Yellow Peril propaganda had reached its zenith. From the Japanese involvement in their aid of the Filipino rebels during the conflict in the Philippines to the continued Chinese immigration, hardline extremists on the right had called for curtailing Asian immigration in favor of domestic natalist policies that could strengthen the American family. Although immigration from northern and western Europe continued apace, the succeeding American presidencies from McKinley, until the Van Horn Moseley dictatorship had to also scale back immigration from their preferred regions of Europe, as less northern and western Europeans are emigrating in this time period.
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Japan - The Path to a War No One Wanted
The events of the Philippine-American War had greatly alarmed the Japanese government to the danger of American encroachment into the wider Asia-Pacific region, despite the initial friendliness that both America and Japan shared together. Yet, the collapse of America's Open Door Policy regarding China, plus Japan's double dealing with both the Boxer rebels and the renegade generals that formed the Mutual Pact for the Defense of the Southeast was surprisingly not discovered until when Japan and the United States eventually went to war against each other over the worsened situation in the Philippines. More importantly, France's descent into civil war had opened a golden opportunity for Japan to eye the region of French Indochina as a suitable place to expand their influence. However, Japanese naval officers were keenly aware of the growing power of the American navy in the Philippines and proposed to Emperor Meiji to authorize the expansion of Japan's fleet before they could get involved in the conflict against the United States. Additionally, the Imperial Japanese Army also increased the number of soldiers to over 1.3 million, though of those numbers, over 655,000 of them were in reserve, and the remainder were in active service. (13) Japanese military officers also played a role in helping to train and modernize the armies of a few independent nations that remained uncolonized. Siam (now modern Thailand) had been one of those states that resumed its diplomatic relations with Japan, and Japanese military officers like Maresuki Nogi was posted to the Japanese Embassy in Bangkok, where he was infuriated by the presence of the so-called Karayuki-san, or Japanese female prostitutes that were sent overseas for various 'favors' and 'work' done in major Asian cities and Western colonies elsewhere. Initially, General Maresuki wanted to shut down the network of the Karayuki-sans, as it denigrated the honor of the Japanese woman, until he was told by a local Siamese official that those Karayuki-sans often came from burakumin families. (14) Even so, General Maresuki suggested that those Karayuki-sans could instead be sent to the Philippines as female settlers where they could marry local men, or immigrant males that settled there.
Labor disputes between workers and their employers had been present in Japan, prior to the rise of Shumei Okawa, who became one of the fathers of Japanese left-wing movements that became influential within Japanese society. (15) before, the workers managed to resolve much of their minor disputes with their employers, but after 1904, many more labor related disputes and strikes would break out. However, one of the main figures of Japanese leftism, Shumei Okawa, had carefully studied much of the works of known leftist figures like Karl Marx, Pierre-Joseph Proudhon, Pyotr Kropotkin, and many others. He believed that left-wing ideologies could be carefully tailored to suit his main preferred ideology of Pan-Asian cooperation, especially in areas of anti-colonialist rhetoric. In one of the essays that Okawa wrote, he argued that as the newest empire in Asia, Japan must become a different kind of empire from the traditional empires of the past. Given its long standing ambitions for regional supremacy in Asia, it was difficult to reconcile imperial goals with Pan-Asian rhetoric. Another influential left-wing Japanese writer, Sen Katayama, had initially opposed any kind of conflict between Japan and another nation, until a debate with Shumei Okawa had resulted in his gradual conversion towards left-wing anti-colonialist struggle for the colonized nations of the world. However, that conversion was difficult to start with, as Katayama, like many other leftists facing their own ideological turmoil, could not reconcile his political differences altogether. Even more troubling for Japanese leftists, there was also hunger for their own territorial expansion as well, which would have been seen as hypocritical on their own part as well. Later generations of Japanese leftists and left-wing nationalists would continue to argue about the ideological animosities between Japanese imperialism and Japanese leftism as something unnatural. The Japanese military on the other hand, tried its best to remain aloof from political intrigues, but some officers who traveled to the Philippines as a part of the foreign volunteer contingent had been exposed to the anti-colonial struggle of the Philippine rebels seeking to stop the Americans from conquering them. Their ultimate challenge however, would come when over 15 Japanese warships attempted to sail to the port of Aparri, along with 150,000 soldiers, as a show of force against the American forces in the region in 1904. The US Navy, confident of its victory against a non-white nation, commenced a naval attack on the incoming Japanese ships, forcing Admiral Ito Sukeyuki to retaliate. The Battle of Batanes Island as it was now called, resulted in a stalemate, but a Japanese strategic victory as they were able to land most of the surviving soldiers into the port of Aparri, triggering the conflict between Japan and the United States.
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(1) IOTL, President McKinley's plea to Sultan Abdulhamid II to issue a fatwa to the Muslims of the Sulu Sultanate and Bangsamoro had been successful in bringing the two entities in question on the American side.
(2) Kho Giok Hwan, or as we now know it today, Clan Cojuangco.
(3) The only known African-American US soldier who deserted his unit to join the Filipino revolutionaries, it is not known if he was successfully captured. Had he been caught, racial tensions between whites and blacks within the US Army would have ruptured, but not broken permanently.
(4) As far as I know, the Boer commandos didn't carry any kind of machine guns during their conflict with the British. They were only armed with rifles and artillery pieces.
(5) Thereby avoiding the PR nightmare that was the internment of the Boer families, which was summed up by Emily Hobhouse's photo of a starving Boer girl in her deathbed.
(6) This is the reverse situation of the scenario and events that led to the OTL 1936-39 Spanish Civil War.
(7) Given that the Monroe Doctrine would still be in force, the US might naturally be eager to take control of the entirety of the Caribbean. Their possession of Puerto Rico and protectorate of Cuba is the definite proof of that.
(8) The 1893 Franco-Siamese War had resulted in Siam losing much of Laos and bits of what is now western Cambodia. In OTL 1907, Siam would regain Chanthaburi and Trat.
(9) James de Rothschild was the head of the French Rothschild branch, while Karl Rothschild founded what was then the Neapolitan Rothschild branch that eventually became the Italian branch. Solomon Rothschild founded the Austrian branch, while Nathan founded the British branch, and Amschel took over his father's Frankfurt, or the German branch of House Rothschild. The entire Rothschild family's reasons for funding the French Republican war effort was primarily due to pragmatic and ethnic reasons: the French Republic was slowly becoming a beacon for French's Jewish minority, and also because of Dreyfus as well.
(10) The Latin American royal houses are still alive and kicking today.
(11) The Yellow Peril propaganda ITTL would be much worse than IOTL, which would now be combined with TTL's so-called Brown Plague. Think the OTL White Australia Policy turned up to 13.
(12) Given the difficulty of moving warships at that time before the Panama Canal would be built, it isn't surprising that it will take until the 1930s for a two ocean navy to become a reality.
(13) This number was based on the estimated number of soldiers that were deployed during the OTL Russo-Japanese War.
(14) Karayuki-sans are basically the forerunner to the much more infamous comfort women that were adducted or tricked into working as war prostitutes for the Japanese military IOTL.
(15) Okawa initially flirted with socialism IOTL as well, but unlike TTL, he eventually became a nationalist writer and a sympathizer of Pan-Asianism. ITTL, his experience with socialism, along with Pan-Asianism, would become the bedrock of a Pan-Asian anti-colonialist struggle.
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stevep
Fleet admiral
Posts: 24,896
Likes: 13,274
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Post by stevep on Nov 27, 2023 23:43:40 GMT
Well a lot happening here. Trying to take points in rough order but looks like the world's in for a rough time. Possibly even more than OTL.
a) Not clear why its taking so much longer to defeat the Boers than OTL despite greater forces being committed and many of the Boer population in the republics seeking to hang out with the guerillas, which would greatly hamper their mobility as well as causing them severe supply issues.
b) Not sure that the US would have the stamina for a long overseas colonial war on that level without a lot of unrest at home. Although possibly a lot propaganda and racial rhetoric is being used to distract from the mutual atrocities and high costs of the war for the US, both in human and fiscal terms.
c) I assume China is still in a large level of chaos, which could fit in with the breaking down of the open door policy, which was backed by the UK even more than the US?
d) Sounds like France is going through hell. Not sure if Britain would be supporting the reactionaries here, especially since the probable result would be the end of the rule of law and quite possibly a pretty autocratic monarchy. The British monarch has a fair bit of influence still in this period but its still largely influence and not real power when it comes to political decisions. Also being supported by the Germans would be the death blow for the right in the eyes of many Frenchmen after 1870-71. Does sound like its going to be very bloody and destructive for France, long after the fighting ends and quite possibly ending it as a major power. Likely to see a number of other overseas colonies breaking away as French military is drained out of them.
e) Sounds like the US-Japanese war could be won by the latter as they have huge logistical advantages as well as widespread local support. With the size of the US forces at the time and lack of real bases to support operations across the Pacific as well as the lack of a Panama canal they face massive problems. Although the stance of Germany would be important given their picked up a lot of colonies from Spain that the main SLOC would go through between the Philippines and the US. A US defeat would also fit with the latter dictatorship in that country which is going to cause a lot of butterflies both short and long term. Coupled with a deeply isolationist but militaristic period the US demographic and economical development could be significantly slower than OTL.
Anyway have to see how things go.
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Post by TheRomanSlayer on Nov 28, 2023 2:38:51 GMT
Well a lot happening here. Trying to take points in rough order but looks like the world's in for a rough time. Possibly even more than OTL.
a) Not clear why its taking so much longer to defeat the Boers than OTL despite greater forces being committed and many of the Boer population in the republics seeking to hang out with the guerillas, which would greatly hamper their mobility as well as causing them severe supply issues.
b) Not sure that the US would have the stamina for a long overseas colonial war on that level without a lot of unrest at home. Although possibly a lot propaganda and racial rhetoric is being used to distract from the mutual atrocities and high costs of the war for the US, both in human and fiscal terms.
c) I assume China is still in a large level of chaos, which could fit in with the breaking down of the open door policy, which was backed by the UK even more than the US?
d) Sounds like France is going through hell. Not sure if Britain would be supporting the reactionaries here, especially since the probable result would be the end of the rule of law and quite possibly a pretty autocratic monarchy. The British monarch has a fair bit of influence still in this period but its still largely influence and not real power when it comes to political decisions. Also being supported by the Germans would be the death blow for the right in the eyes of many Frenchmen after 1870-71. Does sound like its going to be very bloody and destructive for France, long after the fighting ends and quite possibly ending it as a major power. Likely to see a number of other overseas colonies breaking away as French military is drained out of them.
e) Sounds like the US-Japanese war could be won by the latter as they have huge logistical advantages as well as widespread local support. With the size of the US forces at the time and lack of real bases to support operations across the Pacific as well as the lack of a Panama canal they face massive problems. Although the stance of Germany would be important given their picked up a lot of colonies from Spain that the main SLOC would go through between the Philippines and the US. A US defeat would also fit with the latter dictatorship in that country which is going to cause a lot of butterflies both short and long term. Coupled with a deeply isolationist but militaristic period the US demographic and economical development could be significantly slower than OTL.
Anyway have to see how things go.
a) I'll probably address that in the upcoming update, but the main weakness of guerrilla warfare is that eventually the army engaged in such warfare would run out of supplies and constantly be forced to carry out attacks with less and less cohesion. The fact that the Boer families chose to flee to the hills instead of staying backfires on the commandos, as they won't have any source of supplies to obtain from. Britain on the other hand, while it may seem that they're taking their time with the conflict despite the advantage in men and materiel that they have, there's also the logistical issues that they needed to solve if they're aiming for a huge offensive in three directions into the Boer republics. b) Most likely true, and let's not forget that the US of 1900 isn't the same as the US of even 1941, let alone 1936. They don't have a current two ocean navy, and the Panama Canal has yet to be built. That means that the two ocean navy wouldn't be feasible until the 1930s, both TTL and OTL. Likewise, the US Army at this point isn't as strong as the US Army of WW1 since they're still in the phase of the late American Civil War. c) I would have to address the issue regarding China, but from what we can tell, the Qing ruling dynasty was overthrown by the same generals that were fighting the Boxers. However, I would suspect that a new government would be hard pressed to retake much of its lost territories, now that Mongolia (which ITTL now includes both Outer and Inner Mongolia) is free, and the Uyghurs would have a separate state. Given that the Second Boer War and now the civil war in France is taking up the UK's attention, it is going to be more problematic that the border situation between Tibet and British India would be unresolved, but Tibet would become independent as well. d) The House of Orleans would most likely to be the kind of French ruling dynasty that the British would rather see on the throne instead of the absolutist Legitimists or the nightmare that was the Bonapartists. The German financing of the royalist faction would also be helpful for propaganda purposes in that the French Republicans would declare the royalists as German puppets that sold out Alsace-Lorraine, but from a security perspective, any form of instability within the western borders between France and Germany would be more of a liability to the Kaiser than the divided French factions. Given that the Republicans would also paint the royalists as raging anti-Semites as well (let's not forget that Charles Maurras and Action Francaise were certainly anti-Dreyfusards), they would be more willing to allow Jews and other minorities into its political system. In the event that the Orleanists end up on the throne, they would basically copy the same constitutional monarchy that Britain has, but they would also have to recreate the various French appanages that existed before the French Revolution abolished them. The heir to the throne if the Orleanists become the ruling dynasty would receive the title of Dauphin d'Orleans, or Dauphin of Orleans. If the Legitimists win, then the heir would have the title of Dauphin d'Anjou, or Dauphin of Anjou. If the Bonapartists win, the heir would instead be granted the title of Prince Imperial, although said Prince Imperial could either be granted the title of Dauphin of Burgundy, Dauphin of Aquitaine, or Dauphin of Normandy (the British possession of the Channel Islands would be a major headache, but there could be some compromise). e) True to an extent, but just as the US of the 1900s isn't the same as the US of 1941 or 1936 for that matter, Japan of the 1900s isn't the same as the Japan of 1937 or even 1941. For one thing, Japan doesn't have any control of Korea at all. While they do have a shorter logistical line and possible support from the Filipino rebels, the Japanese also wouldn't have the financial support of Jacob Schiff (he'd be too busy funding the French Republican side to care about Japan, and since it's the US the Japanese would presumably fight, he wouldn't be able to fund the Japanese war efforts anyways). In addition, Germany and the US don't have any hostile relations, and would be fools to sacrifice that in exchange for propping up Japan. Likewise, the British would be torn between showing support for Japan and siding with the United States, even if they're improving ties with one another. Technically, the French Civil War might become the factor in how and why the US and Japan would have a harder time fighting against one another (after all, money is extremely important when waging war). The logistical challenge that the US would face during the Philippine-American War will be a handicap that hurts them in the short run, though not sure how much in the long run. However, if war did break out between the US and Japan, it might also depend on Russia's stance since if the Russians could give the US navy access to their ports, they could easily attack Hokkaido from Sakhalin or Vladivostok, but that runs the risk of dragging Russia into the war between the US and Japan. Technically, they would stay neutral in this case. And as I have given some hints, Japan would become a bit more interested in French Indochina if either French factions end up getting far more bankrupt.
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Post by TheRomanSlayer on Nov 28, 2023 21:46:45 GMT
TURN 005: ATTRITION "We sat at a camp just outside Zoetkopjes, standing guard over several families that chose to join us. The women in the camps under our guard revealed to us that the Zulu natives were looking to kill a lot of our people in retaliation for what we've done in Slangrivier. Not only that, but the Engelsmen began to send out mounted infantry to scout the terrain for our presence. Although it felt like we've dealt a lot of defeats on those fools during Black Week, we didn't realize that the Engelsmen officers had switched tactics and learned from their mistakes. To counter our commandos, the Engelsmen officers decided to form their own commandos to hunt us down, with this bokker Kenneth MacKay and a man from Canada called Richard Turner, leading their respective units. Both MacKay and Turner led their own commandos on horseback, which we knew too well because they were rather annoying to deal with when we fought them. On top of that, they also carried supply trains that allowed much of their troops to be fed, while we're stuck foraging the land for any edibles. If we were lucky, we'd capture a few lightly guarded supply trains and took all the food, medicine, weapons, and ammunition as well. We gave most of the food to the families that came under our protection, though we barely have any medics of our own, other than the volunteers that came from the Netherlands, which is basically our ancient homeland. We managed to converse with the Dutch medics that came with us rather easily, as our language descended from theirs. However, they also came in handy when during one of our raids close to British Rhodesia, another commando unit had arrived at our camp with a captured medic that spoke a language that we didn't understand. There was no way of identifying him, so we asked him to write his name. When the fella did, we read what his name was. Duarte Pereira.
Life inside the camps that we erected in the forests and highlands involved training the newest recruits, as well as hunting for food. We taught the new recruits how to shoot while prone, as well as while standing up. More women and their children would arrive almost every day to our camp, pleading with us to protect them. We accepted their pleas, knowing that they've entrusted their lives to us. There were even instances of new commandos falling in love with the young ladies that accompanied their families to our camp, but we were slowly running out of food and medicine as more of our people continue to arrive. It was then that General Botha issued orders for all the able bodied women to join the commandos as either nurses, or snipers, as the men have to do all the traveling. We were also lucky that Wessels can understand the language of the Engelsmen, because we often had to keep an eye for any possible arrival of spies that are trying to infiltrate our camp. In one instance, one of the female guards named Magda had managed to ensnare this unknown guy that none of us knew. He looked like he's the right age to be a commando, but the way he spoke Afrikaans with an unfamiliar accent had raised alarms in our head. During one of our night shifts when we took turns guarding the camp in the dark, Wessels started to speak that Engelsmen tongue, though not as good. Magda also understood the Engelsmen tongue as well, having been raised by a small family that lived close to the Kaap, among the Soutpiel, though she can speak it a bit better than poor Friedrich. The bokker not only spoke perfect Engelsmen tongue, but even told us that he was searching for that Churchill fella. It was then that Magda and Friedrich gagged him and tied him up to a post. The next morning, Friedrich summoned the entire commandos that guarded the camp in the dark and revealed to us a surprising tidbit of good news: the fella that we caught as a spy was trying to fish out information on the whereabouts of that bokker we caught a year ago. (1) To demonstrate our sincerity and to separate us from those greedy Engelsmen, we decided to keep him under guard, but not to torture him or execute him.
At first, we didn't know where he came from, or what language he was speaking. Unfortunately, one of our Dutch friends tried to speak to him in the language that we thought he understood, but all he did was to shake his head. I didn't realize that the Dutch fella was speaking in Spanish, which Herr Pereira did not understand. When he pointed his finger in the eastern direction, we began to understand where he came from. I should have known that he came from Mozambique, which was under Portuguese control. Remember the man who caught that Engelsman prisoner that tried to escape? It seems that Wessels managed to bring out an old article from a newspaper that he stole while traveling back to the Orange Free State in disguise, and from there, we learned that the Engelsmen were trying to play nice with the Portuguese. Those medics who came from Portuguese Mozambique were only there to help their Engelsmen friends with minimizing the casualties they suffered because of our raids. Oh, funny thing that I forgot to mention. In between the times that we started guarding our families and the arrival of the Engelsmen in Bechuanaland, we became aware of what they were trying to do. Most of our commandos, as well as the teenage boys and elder men who looked like they fought in the First War that we're involved with the same enemy we're facing now, had started to dig trenches and makeshift forts in order to slow them down. (2) Several smaller forts were built between the capitals of the two Boer republics, and we often installed siege guns to protect them. Now we were prepared to defend the soil of our nation, though I fear that my friends like Wessels and Mulder wouldn't survive this onslaught." Jengo Venter, on the life of a Boer commando, before the Limpopo-Tugela Offensive.
--- Excerpts from "Fagen: The Face of Dignity" by: Pedro Malvarez El Campana Publishing Press, released on June 16th, 2017
Chapter Two: Desertion The defection of African-American soldier David Fagen to the Filipino side had been a huge propaganda boost to the rebel side, as he became their spokesperson for the propaganda war they're waging against the US Army. As he used to serve in the US Army, Fagen became a treasure trove of information that General Antonio Luna wanted. Since Fagen's desertion and defection, paranoia ran deep within the US Army leadership as the famous 24th Regiment, which was primarily a unit consisted of African-Americans, became a target of suspicion. (3) The paranoia that the 24th Regiment would mutiny against their white officers and desert their posts remained the fear that various US Army leaders faced. That fear was not entirely unjustified, as the propaganda campaign launched by General Luna had greatly affected other individual soldiers serving with other units as well. In addition to Fagen, two other African-American soldiers would also desert their units to join the Philippine revolutionaries: Private Edmond Dubose and Private Lewis Russell. (4) Both Dubose and Russell eventually joined Fagen in their guerrilla campaigns against the US forces in the Philippines, including the skirmish at the foot of Mount Isarog, in which Fagen's guerrilla unit proved to be successful in capturing several thousand rifles and ammunition, as well as the surrender of over 200 US soldiers. That battle happened in early March of 1900, though eventually General Frederick Funston was deployed to hunt down guerrilla forces in the Bicol region, prompting the three deserters to join up with General Luna in the mountain redoubt. (5) A few more skirmishes would occur between Fagen's guerrilla unit and General Funston's forces between April and July of 1900, until the main American force arrived at the first defensive line that General Luna had created as a part of his mountain redoubt. It is also worth noting that Frederick Funston was an advocate of scorched policy as a means of pacifying the natives of Luzon, but his army colleague, the future dictator of the NatSynd regime, George Van Horn Moseley, had proposed something even more horrifying than scorched earth. He advocated the total confiscation of all food, farming equipment, seeds, and livestock from the natives of the area that is under his jurisdiction, not caring whether they starved to death or not. The Moseley Hunger Policy that was carried out from April 1900 to February of 1901, resulted in over 12,000 civilians of Samar and 14,000 civilians of Leyte dying from starvation and malnutrition. (6) Though Funston did not criticize Moseley's extremely savage plan of pacifying the natives through starvation, he greatly feared that Moseley's policy towards the natives bordered on outright genocide. Additionally, Moseley's forces would go on to carry out several massacres that forever associated with his reputation.
The so-called success of then Lt. Moseley had reached the attention of Military Governor-General of Visayas, General Jacob Smith. Smith was impressed with the Moseley Hunger Policy, which he eventually adopted into his official policy of suppressing the natives of the wider Visayas region. Though the Filipino revolutionaries would organize expeditions to kill both General Smith and Lt. Moseley, their expeditions often ended in failure. However, the failures would tragically lead to large scale massacres of the Visayan natives, which only served to infuriate the African-American soldiers that were fighting for their side. The Balangiga and Quinanpondan Massacres of September 28, 1901 and December 13, 1902 respectively had stretched the African-American soldiers' fury to the breaking point where during one of the reprisal missions that the 24th Regiment was assigned to, General Smith ordered the African troops to kill ten little boys that were lined up to be executed. The incident that occurred in the town of Tinambacan would later become the site of a mutiny, when the 24th Regiment refused to fire at the ten little boys. Infuriated, General Smith then ordered new soldiers to carry out the deed, this time the new executioners were white. As soon as they began to aim their rifles, one of the African-American soldiers that refused to fire at the little boy, fired at the white soldiers instead, precipitating a skirmish between white and black soldiers. Though only 47 troops managed to successfully desert their positions, General Smith and the white troops were determined to set an example to both the remaining African soldiers and the civilians of Tinambacan. Instead of execution by rifle fire, the civilians and the failed African American soldier-mutineers would be killed by Gatling gunfire instead. Much of their homes were burnt down, only after their food and livestock were confiscated.
When Fagen and his fellow mutineers heard about the event at Tinambucan, he reported it to his superior, General Urbano Lacuna. (7) Lacuna would then relay the news to General Luna, who would order Lacuna to escort the mutineers towards Visayas, where his counterpart in a young Pulahan leader named Faustino Ablen was waging an increasingly difficult guerrilla warfare against the brutal General Smith. By December of 1901, General Lacuna would formally take over the command of the large Visayan guerrilla force from Ablen, and formally integrated the successful African American mutineers into the new reconfigured Visayan Division of the Philippine Republican Army. Unlike General Luna, General Lacuna would not be so merciful towards captured American Army POWs, especially those who took part in atrocities against civilians. In one instance, when General Lacuna led a strong 3,000 Filipino force to retake Balangiga from Lieutenant Moseley's cavalry units, the outnumbered American cavalry force was surrounded. Their attempts to surrender however, proved fruitless as General Lacuna didn't stop the former mutineers from killing their erstwhile white comrades in arms, and hanging their corpses in the trees as a warning to the American forces. That such atrocity committed by the rebel forces only served to infuriate and even radicalize the officers that slaughtered more civilians in Visayas and eastern Luzon into such racist frenzy. It is not an accident that the Philippine-American War had radicalized Moseley himself, along with many other junior American officers that were eventually court martialed for their conduct, though popular protest at the thought of imprisoning the American heroes of the Philippine conflict had forced the military judge and juror to confine the convicted American war criminals to 25 years in a military prison in Forth Leavenworth, Texas. During the 1904-07 Japanese-American War, Presidents McKinley and his successor Cockrell were faced with the pressure to release the convicted war criminals. (8) Cockrell only compromised by releasing Moseley, while keeping Smith under lock and key, as the infamous war criminal would be hunted down by the Japanese when they eventually came to clash with American forces in the Philippines.
The evolution of David Fagen, from Private to Corporal in the US Army, to Captain in the Philippine Army.
--- Korea - An Uncomfortable Position Indeed The Qing Succession Crisis that unfolded inside China had a huge effect on its former tributary state in Korea. Since 1897, the King of Korea, Gojong, had formally proclaimed Korea's status as an empire, symbolizing its sovereignty. (9) Yet, even as the Dragon Throne was contested between the claimant Emperors Yongnian and Guoliang, King Gojong managed to steer Korea towards actual independence. However, the competition for influence in northeastern Asia between the Russian and Japanese Empires had a major impact on Korea's foreign policy. The Joseon court, already fearful of Japanese intentions towards Korea due to its invasion in the past, and more recently, the 1876 Treaty of Kanghwa that was Korea's first unequal treaty with a non-Western power, had made the idea of a rapprochement with Japan impossible and impractical. (10) However, the downfall of the claimant Qing Emperors and the ascension of Prince Zaifeng, now the Renshu Emperor, in early 1900, only delayed the inevitable as the Chinese armies commanded by the generals belonging to the Mutual Pact for the Defense of the Southeast had marched to Beijing. Generals Yuan Shikai and Li Yuanhong would in turn, intern the entire Qing royal family inside the Forbidden Palace as they proclaimed the First Chinese Republic. However, the formation of the Chinese Republic had offended King Gojong, as he did not recognized the validity of the transfer of power from the monarch to a republic. Moreover, the Chinese generals did not know anything about establishing a republic, as they were more preoccupied with putting down several peasant revolts that arose in the aftermath of the Boxer Rebellion's defeat. Even worse for the Chinese generals, Tibet would formally declare its independence on December 22, 1900, followed by the ongoing Mongolian War of Independence in which the Chinese generals were obliged to invade the now declared independent Mongolian Khaganate, now under the rule of Tögs-Ochiryn Khagan. Though the Mongolian War of Independence would distract the renegade generals for a while, in September of 1901, the semi-independent Kumul Khanate, which was ruled by a descendant of Chagatay Khan, launched an invasion of Chinese Xinjiang.
At the same time though, the few Korean officials that were pro-Japanese in outlook were outraged by the sale of the strip of land in northeastern Korea, where the port of Rajin is located. These men, led by Park Yung-hyo, represented the pro-Japanese political party, the Gaehwa Party. They led the protests against the government of Yoon Yeong-seon, who presided over the sale of the Rajin strip in August 15, 1901. Opposing the pro-Japanese faction was the predominantly pro-Russian faction that was led by Min Young-hwan. Min, who also feared Japanese encroachment into Korea, nevertheless was warned by his compatriots against being overtly reliant on Russian aid, flatly expressing their discontent by stating that he's practically groveling before a nation that took the lands around Rajin, despite its rather poor state. The sad reality was that Prime Minister Yoon Yeong-seon was facing a financial crisis caused by rising unemployment among the Korean public. Most importantly, the port of Rajin eventually served as the second most important naval base of the Russian Pacific Fleet, and a new naval academy would be built there. However, the rising tensions between the two hostile factions towards each other was exploited by the Japanese government, which saw a pro-Russian Korea as extremely dangerous for Japan's own national security. (11) In addition, the growing ties between Russia and the United States prior to the 1903 Kishinev and Slonim pogroms had been a major cause of worry for the Meiji Emperor and Prime Minister Hirobumi Ito as well. Indeed, one of the most significant proposals regarding the expansion of the Chinese Eastern and Trans-Siberian Railways were the selection of Shenyang as the next stop in the Harbin-Qingniwa rail segment, and the extension of the line from Vladivostok, through Zarubino and Kraskino, and into the Korean peninsula.
The Korean capital city of Gyeongseong in 1900. Much of the entirety of Korea looked unimpressive to the eyes of foreigners that came to visit, despite the efforts of Emperor Gojong's attempts to modernize his domain.
Korean society in the early 20th century was mired in extreme poverty and complacency, as there were few schools that were built before the proclamation of the Korean Empire. (12) Only the elite yangbans had any access to education, but even they were limited in which kind of education they can access to. The conservatives within the Joseon court however, realized that as long as Korea remained mired in poverty, they will become the target of colonial ambitions on the part of their neighbors, even China as well, in addition to the usual suspects. As the majority of the Joseon court remained dedicated to their Emperor, they were suspicious of the motives of Li Yuanhong and Yuan Shikai when they placed the entire Qing royal family under arrest. Prime Minister Yoon however, also realized the danger that Emperor Gojong's sons were in, and so he would make several deals with the renegade Chinese generals, the Russian government and Tögs-Ochiryn Khagan in sending those princes as diplomatic hostages. Crown Prince Sunjong would be sent to China, where he would be escorted by one of Yuan Shikai's loyal subordinates named Feng Guozhang from the Sino-Korean border to Beijing. Crown Prince Sunjong would later join the deposed Qing royal family in their house arrest inside the Forbidden Palace. Prince Yi Kang on the other hand, was sent to the court of Tögs-Ochiryn Khagan, where he played a vital role in defending Mongolia's independence from the Chinese forces attempting to retake their lost northern provinces. However, the unexpected division of the two Korean princes as a result of Mongolia's war of independence had strained much of their relationship. Finally, Prince Yi Un would be sent to Russia, or more specifically, the court of Tsar Nicholas II. Unlike his elder brothers, Prince Yi Un was only an infant, so Emperor Gojong was persuaded by both Prime Minister Yoon and the Russian ambassador to Korea Pavel Pavlov, to allow Imperial Consort Sunheon to join her infant son in Russia. The other offspring of Emperor Gojong would later join their respective half-siblings in China and Mongolia, with Princes Yi Ju-won and Yi Ju-chan and their mother, Lady Gwi-in joining their younger half-brother Yi Un in St. Petersburg. The Korean royal princes and their mother would be placed under the custody of the Governor General of Russian Turkestan, Sergei Mikhailovich Dukhovskoi. Consequently, the Princes staying in Russia would reside in Tashkent until they were adults.
--- "Immigration to Canada became a hot topic facing Prime Minister Wilfrid Laurier's government, mostly because of his fear that the western areas of what was then the Northwest Territory would become inundated by American migrants seeking better lands to settle, aside from the states of North and South Dakota. Before the creation of the provinces of Alberta and Saskatchewan, Prime Minister Laurier had clashed with the Premier of the Northwest Territories, Sir Frederick Haultain, on the proposal of the creation of a larger Province of Buffalo, which was basically Alberta and Saskatchewan combined together. Haultain's reasoning for the Buffalo proposal was that such an entity was lacking in large number of people residing within that region. (13) Moreover, it was also Canada's breadbasket as well, meaning that Haultain wanted his proposed Buffalo province to feed the rest of Canada with its produce. Laurier's reasoning for shooting down the Buffalo proposal was that if it became a reality, then it can potentially challenge the political power of the two established provinces of Ontario and Quebec. Furthermore, the two largest cities within the proposed Buffalo province, Edmonton and Calgary respectively, were ambitious of becoming the provincial capital of such an entity. Eventually, the Buffalo proposal did end up getting shot down in favor of creating Alberta and Saskatchewan, but as a compromise to the municipal governments of Edmonton and Calgary, as well as the incoming provincial government of the former, either Red Deer or Blackfalds will become the new provincial capital. Blackfalds however, was not large enough to sustain a growing population, and so Edmonton eventually became the provincial capital of Alberta. On the other hand, Canada's involvement in the Second Boer War had exposed some divisions within Canadian society, as the Anglophones were supportive of the conflict, while the Francophones were more sympathetic towards the Boer cause. However, in other parts of the world, the British Empire relied on Canadian colonial troops in engagements like the Boxer Rebellion, where they only played a small role in preventing the Boxers from attacking their supply convoys while aiding the British in the suppression of those rebels. However, it was the French Civil War of 1902-07 that truly fractured the Francophone community, as only a tiny minority of the Francophones supported the Republican cause, while the majority of the Francophones that happened to be Conservative and Catholic were split evenly between the Legitimists, Orleanists, and Bonapartists, but the Orleanists soon became the majority of the conservative Francophones. The pro-Orleanist Francophones believed that a constitutional monarchy in France would soothe the tensions between the radical Republicans and the reactionaries that continued to dominate the French military. Moreover and most significantly, an Orleanist dynasty was the best shot that France had at healing the tensions between them and the British Empire, even as the German Empire was also funding the royalist faction as well. Meanwhile, Canada was also susceptible to the ugly side of American race relations as the now infamous Asiatic Exclusion and Expulsion Acts had been implemented, fearing that an exodus of the Asian immigrants to the United States would result in more of them settling in the province of British Columbia, where there's already a sizeable East Asian community there, despite the discrimination that they faced. Yet, it was the BC provincial government that would take a step further and called for a temporary head tax on all Asian migrants fleeing from the United States, but that proposal was shot down as the federal government has yet to act on it. (14) Eventually, Prime Minister Laurier had to consult with the British government on the plight of the Asian-American refugees that were now on the verge of being physically expelled from the continental United States, and it was agreed that they could be relocated to both Singapore and British Malaya, where discrimination is less severe than in the Americas. During the middle years of the Laurier government, a significant amount of immigrants of Ukrainian origin have arrived in Canada by 1905, with the majority of them from the Galician region of the Austro-Hungarian Empire, while the Jewish refugees that settled in Canada between 1903 and 1908 came from the Russian Empire, as they were fleeing the Kishinev and Slonim pogroms. However, the European immigrants that also came to Canada originated from what was then Congress Poland, which was at that time a part of the Russian Empire. There were also Polish migrants that settled in Canada from the German Empire, as the German government's harsh anti-Polish policy and attempts at assimilating the German Poles into German society had triggered a backlash from within the German Polish community. Though immigration to Canada would continue for three more decades, it was not until the NatSynd dictatorship of George van Horn Moseley that immigration to Canada would lessen." From the CBC Documentary, 'Laurier: the Man of Controversy', released on March 16, 2019.
--- (1) Refer to the segment of Friedrich Wessels where they caught Winston Churchill.
(2) The Boer defensive lines may or may not be as strong as TTL's mountain redoubt that Antonio Luna has built, but it would do the job of delaying the British forces.
(3) OTL Fagen deserted because of his constant arguments with the white officer that he was under the command of. It is unsure of what his fate was.
(4) IOTL these two deserters were executed in front of the residents of Albay, which forced US President Theodore Roosevelt to cancel the policy of executing deserters. ITTL, because they were successful in joining Fagen, they would play a bigger role as guerrillas.
(5) General Funston was known IOTL as the brains behind the successful capture of Emilio Aguinaldo, but the controversial nature of how Aguinaldo was captured became a source of heated discussions within the American public.
(6) While atrocities of all kinds were committed by both sides during the OTL Philippine-American War, this kind of hunger famine is actually inspired by two events: the Soviet collectivization of agriculture of the 1920s and 1930s, as well as the Bengal Famine of 1943. Given the racist mindset of the American military leadership during this time period, they would be more than happy to commit mass murder if it meant pacifying their assigned area.
(7) Urbano Lacuna was David Fagen's superior while he was fighting for the Philippines.
(8) General Jacob Smith was also court martialed for lesser charges, but not murder or war crimes IOTL. His actions had severely tarnished the US Army's reputation so much that he was denied a chance to lead the American Expeditionary Force during OTL's WWI. Here, not only is he denied a chance for an early release, but he would later be charged with the more serious crime of mass murder, regarding the events in Balangiga and Quinanpondan, and for his own protection as well, as the rebels would be itching to take revenge on him for the Samar massacres.
(9) The Korean Empire IOTL was a short lived independent state that existed from 1897-1910, but because of Japan's victory in the Russo-Japanese War, the Korean Empire gradually lost its independence until it became a Japanese colony. The position of Prime Minister of the Korean Empire was extremely unstable in that there were many Prime Ministers that came to power and resigned within a space of a year or two.
(10) That historical invasion that Japan launched was the 1592-97 Imjin War.
(11) Busan is only a short distance to the Japanese island of Tsushima and the major region of Kyushu.
(12) For more information on the educational system in Korea: s-space.snu.ac.kr/bitstream/10371/90811/1/2.GROWTH_OF_EDUCATION_IN_KOREA_1910-1945%5DYunshik%20Chang.pdf
(13) One of the mantras behind the OTL Western alienation and separation was that the main reason why the Buffalo proposal was shot down was so that Ontario and Quebec would continue to exercise political power over the rest of Canada.
(14) BC was home to the largest Chinese migrant community because of their role in the construction of the Canadian Pacific Railway. To prevent more Chinese migrants from coming to Canada, the Head Tax was enacted to deter the Chinese from settling in Canada by means of paying over $500 to $1,000 at that time. BC's location at the eastern end of the Pacific made it a suitable location for Asian immigration to Canada to become a reality.
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stevep
Fleet admiral
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Post by stevep on Nov 28, 2023 22:40:50 GMT
Well a lot happening here. Trying to take points in rough order but looks like the world's in for a rough time. Possibly even more than OTL.
a) Not clear why its taking so much longer to defeat the Boers than OTL despite greater forces being committed and many of the Boer population in the republics seeking to hang out with the guerillas, which would greatly hamper their mobility as well as causing them severe supply issues.
b) Not sure that the US would have the stamina for a long overseas colonial war on that level without a lot of unrest at home. Although possibly a lot propaganda and racial rhetoric is being used to distract from the mutual atrocities and high costs of the war for the US, both in human and fiscal terms.
c) I assume China is still in a large level of chaos, which could fit in with the breaking down of the open door policy, which was backed by the UK even more than the US?
d) Sounds like France is going through hell. Not sure if Britain would be supporting the reactionaries here, especially since the probable result would be the end of the rule of law and quite possibly a pretty autocratic monarchy. The British monarch has a fair bit of influence still in this period but its still largely influence and not real power when it comes to political decisions. Also being supported by the Germans would be the death blow for the right in the eyes of many Frenchmen after 1870-71. Does sound like its going to be very bloody and destructive for France, long after the fighting ends and quite possibly ending it as a major power. Likely to see a number of other overseas colonies breaking away as French military is drained out of them.
e) Sounds like the US-Japanese war could be won by the latter as they have huge logistical advantages as well as widespread local support. With the size of the US forces at the time and lack of real bases to support operations across the Pacific as well as the lack of a Panama canal they face massive problems. Although the stance of Germany would be important given their picked up a lot of colonies from Spain that the main SLOC would go through between the Philippines and the US. A US defeat would also fit with the latter dictatorship in that country which is going to cause a lot of butterflies both short and long term. Coupled with a deeply isolationist but militaristic period the US demographic and economical development could be significantly slower than OTL.
Anyway have to see how things go.
a) I'll probably address that in the upcoming update, but the main weakness of guerrilla warfare is that eventually the army engaged in such warfare would run out of supplies and constantly be forced to carry out attacks with less and less cohesion. The fact that the Boer families chose to flee to the hills instead of staying backfires on the commandos, as they won't have any source of supplies to obtain from. Britain on the other hand, while it may seem that they're taking their time with the conflict despite the advantage in men and materiel that they have, there's also the logistical issues that they needed to solve if they're aiming for a huge offensive in three directions into the Boer republics. b) Most likely true, and let's not forget that the US of 1900 isn't the same as the US of even 1941, let alone 1936. They don't have a current two ocean navy, and the Panama Canal has yet to be built. That means that the two ocean navy wouldn't be feasible until the 1930s, both TTL and OTL. Likewise, the US Army at this point isn't as strong as the US Army of WW1 since they're still in the phase of the late American Civil War. c) I would have to address the issue regarding China, but from what we can tell, the Qing ruling dynasty was overthrown by the same generals that were fighting the Boxers. However, I would suspect that a new government would be hard pressed to retake much of its lost territories, now that Mongolia (which ITTL now includes both Outer and Inner Mongolia) is free, and the Uyghurs would have a separate state. Given that the Second Boer War and now the civil war in France is taking up the UK's attention, it is going to be more problematic that the border situation between Tibet and British India would be unresolved, but Tibet would become independent as well. d) The House of Orleans would most likely to be the kind of French ruling dynasty that the British would rather see on the throne instead of the absolutist Legitimists or the nightmare that was the Bonapartists. The German financing of the royalist faction would also be helpful for propaganda purposes in that the French Republicans would declare the royalists as German puppets that sold out Alsace-Lorraine, but from a security perspective, any form of instability within the western borders between France and Germany would be more of a liability to the Kaiser than the divided French factions. Given that the Republicans would also paint the royalists as raging anti-Semites as well (let's not forget that Charles Maurras and Action Francaise were certainly anti-Dreyfusards), they would be more willing to allow Jews and other minorities into its political system. In the event that the Orleanists end up on the throne, they would basically copy the same constitutional monarchy that Britain has, but they would also have to recreate the various French appanages that existed before the French Revolution abolished them. The heir to the throne if the Orleanists become the ruling dynasty would receive the title of Dauphin d'Orleans, or Dauphin of Orleans. If the Legitimists win, then the heir would have the title of Dauphin d'Anjou, or Dauphin of Anjou. If the Bonapartists win, the heir would instead be granted the title of Prince Imperial, although said Prince Imperial could either be granted the title of Dauphin of Burgundy, Dauphin of Aquitaine, or Dauphin of Normandy (the British possession of the Channel Islands would be a major headache, but there could be some compromise). e) True to an extent, but just as the US of the 1900s isn't the same as the US of 1941 or 1936 for that matter, Japan of the 1900s isn't the same as the Japan of 1937 or even 1941. For one thing, Japan doesn't have any control of Korea at all. While they do have a shorter logistical line and possible support from the Filipino rebels, the Japanese also wouldn't have the financial support of Jacob Schiff (he'd be too busy funding the French Republican side to care about Japan, and since it's the US the Japanese would presumably fight, he wouldn't be able to fund the Japanese war efforts anyways). In addition, Germany and the US don't have any hostile relations, and would be fools to sacrifice that in exchange for propping up Japan. Likewise, the British would be torn between showing support for Japan and siding with the United States, even if they're improving ties with one another. Technically, the French Civil War might become the factor in how and why the US and Japan would have a harder time fighting against one another (after all, money is extremely important when waging war). The logistical challenge that the US would face during the Philippine-American War will be a handicap that hurts them in the short run, though not sure how much in the long run. However, if war did break out between the US and Japan, it might also depend on Russia's stance since if the Russians could give the US navy access to their ports, they could easily attack Hokkaido from Sakhalin or Vladivostok, but that runs the risk of dragging Russia into the war between the US and Japan. Technically, they would stay neutral in this case. And as I have given some hints, Japan would become a bit more interested in French Indochina if either French factions end up getting far more bankrupt.
Good points here. I had forgotten that the Japanese didn't gain clear control over Korea until after the victory over Russia which hasn't occurred here. Still think that Japan has much better logistical position until the US puts a massive amount of investment into logistics which I suspect it doesn't have the time and resources for at this stage.
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stevep
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Post by stevep on Nov 28, 2023 23:06:05 GMT
I would say the establishment of a dictatorship in the US, especially one with an history of brutal racism would increase migration to Canada, both from people now unable/unwilling to move to the US and people who now have good reason to leave the US, for whom many Canada would probably be the best option. Furthermore it might give a pull as well as a push factor in that faced with such a dictatorship to its south Canada might look to increase its population and resource base as much as possible to make it more able to resist any threat from the US.
I'm still doubtful that the British defeat of the Boers would be that much slower than OTL - when the Boer states were occupied in 1900 and the guerilla resistance then continued until May 1902. It does sound however that this is going to be a hell of a lot costlier for the Boers as the fighting with be a lot heavier and a lot more of their population is going to be vulnerable in the resulting combat as well as to disease and illness.
Things are getting worse and worse in the Philippines and I suspect that the population will largely welcome the Japanese as liberators when they land. Given the different factors at play here you could see a distinctly more liberal Japan surviving, at least for a couple more decades. Which would have huge impacts on both it and much of the rest of Asia.
With the unrest by black forces in the US army its going to be even harder to get black units recruited and used in a military role.
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Post by TheRomanSlayer on Nov 29, 2023 0:48:48 GMT
Plus at this point the Panama Canal is still in the middle of construction, and won't be finished for a while. Yet, Japan doesn't have a large economy yet, so that might be a disadvantage. But they would have the support of the Philippine rebels all the same. However, there might also be another path for Japan to end up annexing Korea. As hinted in the last update, Korea now has political tensions between the Gaehwa Party, which is basically a liberal-progressive political party that is more or less a pro-Japanese party, which is opposed by the conservatives that are pro-Russian. IOTL, Korea became overtly pro-Russian until Russia's defeat in the Russo-Japanese War that paved the way for Japan's annexation of Korea. ITTL, if that political tension eventually erupts into a civil war, it may end up becoming a proxy conflict between Russia and Japan, giving us the proxy version of the OTL Russo-Japanese War.
About the British defeat of the Boers, I know that a speedier victory would be in the cards, but at the same time they're also thinking of how to avoid getting involved in another Boer war in the future. I'm also setting TTL's South Africa to be a small copy of OTL Canada in terms of the constant complaining about multilingualism as official policy. In the case of the future Dominion of South Africa, imagine the non-Boer population having to learn Afrikaans as a second language in addition to English.
There is also a psychological angle to the whole slow and steady approach, even if the British have the advantage. I would have to cite the Spanish Civil War as an example of how a war of attrition eventually saps the morale of the defender, in this example that I'm using, the support for the Spanish Republic declined as the war dragged on. Going back to the Second Boer War, this approach could possibly result in the decline of support for the two Boer republics, and as mentioned in one of the earlier updates, the Boer massacre of the KwaZulus in Slangrivier eventually comes back to haunt them, as the indigenous Africans would now be itching to pay the Boers back, essentially siding with the British de facto. I would also say that relations between Anglo-South Africans and Afrikaners would remain frosty, and there would constantly be a push for the independence of the Boer republics, or a unified Volkstaat.
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stevep
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Post by stevep on Nov 29, 2023 17:02:13 GMT
Plus at this point the Panama Canal is still in the middle of construction, and won't be finished for a while. Yet, Japan doesn't have a large economy yet, so that might be a disadvantage. But they would have the support of the Philippine rebels all the same. However, there might also be another path for Japan to end up annexing Korea. As hinted in the last update, Korea now has political tensions between the Gaehwa Party, which is basically a liberal-progressive political party that is more or less a pro-Japanese party, which is opposed by the conservatives that are pro-Russian. IOTL, Korea became overtly pro-Russian until Russia's defeat in the Russo-Japanese War that paved the way for Japan's annexation of Korea. ITTL, if that political tension eventually erupts into a civil war, it may end up becoming a proxy conflict between Russia and Japan, giving us the proxy version of the OTL Russo-Japanese War. About the British defeat of the Boers, I know that a speedier victory would be in the cards, but at the same time they're also thinking of how to avoid getting involved in another Boer war in the future. I'm also setting TTL's South Africa to be a small copy of OTL Canada in terms of the constant complaining about multilingualism as official policy. In the case of the future Dominion of South Africa, imagine the non-Boer population having to learn Afrikaans as a second language in addition to English. There is also a psychological angle to the whole slow and steady approach, even if the British have the advantage. I would have to cite the Spanish Civil War as an example of how a war of attrition eventually saps the morale of the defender, in this example that I'm using, the support for the Spanish Republic declined as the war dragged on. Going back to the Second Boer War, this approach could possibly result in the decline of support for the two Boer republics, and as mentioned in one of the earlier updates, the Boer massacre of the KwaZulus in Slangrivier eventually comes back to haunt them, as the indigenous Africans would now be itching to pay the Boers back, essentially siding with the British de facto. I would also say that relations between Anglo-South Africans and Afrikaners would remain frosty, and there would constantly be a push for the independence of the Boer republics, or a unified Volkstaat.
Interesting thanks. I would think because of the longer and probably bloodier war there's less likelihood of the Boers getting the good deal they did OTL but that could change depending on the circumstances. How both white groups react to a possibly more politically active black majority, or at least one more willing to fight to defend its interests when it thinks it can.
OTL the insistence of people - at least many of the black population - having to learn Afrikaans was a major source of tension.
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Post by TheRomanSlayer on Nov 29, 2023 17:37:36 GMT
Interesting thanks. I would think because of the longer and probably bloodier war there's less likelihood of the Boers getting the good deal they did OTL but that could change depending on the circumstances. How both white groups react to a possibly more politically active black majority, or at least one more willing to fight to defend its interests when it thinks it can.
OTL the insistence of people - at least many of the black population - having to learn Afrikaans was a major source of tension. To provide an example, OTL Canada's high school students dread at the idea of taking French as a mandatory second language course from Grades 8 to 10, and making it optional starting in Grade 11. Transplant that to TTL's South Africa where as you've said, the majority black population would be angry at the thought of having to learn Afrikaans as a mandatory second or third language in addition to English, while the Anglo-South Africans may somehow be irritated at such a thing. One other thing too would be that the tensions between the mercantile Anglo-South Africans and the agrarian Afrikaners would be the major headache of South Africa.
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Post by TheRomanSlayer on Dec 1, 2023 19:45:36 GMT
TURN 006: HEARTLAND COMMEMORATION OF QUINANPONDAN MASSACRE KICKS OFF IN THE PHILIPPINES AS AMERICAN GOVERNMENT REFUSES TO ISSUE APOLOGY FOR ITS ROLE Asahi Shimbun December 14, 2012 (Quinanpondan, SAMAR) - The Philippine town of Quinanpondan has held a commemoration ceremony over the infamous Quinanpondan Massacre yesterday, as the descendants of both the survivors and their families arrived in the small town to listen to the sermons given by the priest of the Philippine Independent Church. Mayor Carmela Hernandez, who was also a guest of honor and herself a descendant of the victim of such atrocity, gave a speech in which she condemned the American government for not only perpetrating such a role, but criticized the MacNichol presidency for refusing to apologize to the Philippine government and its people for the actions of its military during the Philippine-American War. President Gordon MacNichol, who was a descendant of John Jacob Astor IV through his mother, has constantly defended the actions of the US government, before descending into a racist tirade against the Philippine nation. Many Filipinos and Americans believe that the legacy of not only war criminals like Frederick Funston, but that of the infamous NatSynd dictator George Van Horn Moseley, has continued to poison relations between the two countries. In addition, the predominantly left-wing Philippine regime's existence is also the main reason for the American government's continued refusal to pay war reparations to the Philippines.
"We do not pay reparations to communists and other kinds of syndicalist scum that are out there. The American people will never tolerate their government groveling before a pack of communist savages that rejected our efforts to civilize them," says President MacNichol, during a speech in front of the House of Representatives inside Congress. "It is also disgraceful that we were forced to tolerate the existence of such a communist regime when it is being backed by a Japanese leftist regime that their monarchy tolerates on a modest level."
The rise of leftist movements in Asia could be traced back to the events prior to the 1904-07 Japanese-American War, in which both nations fought each other to exhaustion before ending the conflict in a stalemate that satisfied neither side. For Japan, the economic hardship caused by the war had emboldened the trade unions to the point where they were engaged in pitch battles with both Japanese civilian police and the notorious Kenpeitai, before Shumei Okawa emerged as the founder of the Syndicalist People's Party of Japan and presided over the growth of syndicalism in his country. For the United States, their military prestige had taken a hit when it became clear that they were already exhausted from the conflict against the Philippines and the logistical nightmare that they faced when fighting the Japanese military, despite the economic and military advantage that they have over their Asian enemy. Yet, the Cockrell administration at that time was threatened with military intervention by both Britain and Germany, unless they negotiated with the Japanese for a ceasefire and a peace treaty, they were forced to agree with it, leading to a growth of anti-British and anti-German sentiment within the United States, as Britain and Germany were increasingly becoming more allied with Japan. German Kaiser Friedrich II, when asked about the American government's continued refusal to pay reparations to the Philippines, along with other war related damages, had this much to say.
"America never had a de-Natsyndization campaign because of how long they've been in power from 1933 until the 1990s, so the lingering effects of the NatSynd ideology is still there. Moreover, we cannot forget that we also had to deal with a similar regime to the American NatSynds in Russia, where liberals are constantly persecuted for their ideologies," Friedrich II comments when asked by a local reporter. "Moreover, they still subscribed to the dangerous irredentist ideology of Manifest Destiny, and it was the basis for their racial nationalist ideology behind NatSyndism."
--- Portions from the Interview with Philippine Director of National Defense Francisco Jose Luna, Great-Grandson of Antonio Luna Radio Television Vietnam
Discussing the Luna Defense Doctrine Interviewer: Many people today in the Philippines had constantly cited your great-grandfather's defense doctrine as a model in which the later generations of guerrilla leaders had adopted, although a similar model to the one that he proposed to then-President Emilio Aguinaldo before his death was implemented by the Boer defenders during the British Limpopo-Tugela Offensive during the Second Boer War. Can you please explain in greater detail as to how his defense doctrine became so effective in slowing down the American advance into the mountain strongholds of northern Luzon?
Luna: (in SPANISH) Well, my great-grandfather was also aware of the other fronts that were happening during the conflict between the Philippines and the United States, but he started to notice that the American forces were becoming less bold in their attacks on our troops, and more willing to commit atrocities against innocent civilians. The survivors of the American atrocities often joined our units, and they reported to not only General Luna, but even President Alejandrino and Colonel Paco Roman on the depositions of the American forces in whichever region they committed atrocities in.
Interviewer: Did your great-grandfather's defense doctrine only applied to Luzon, or did he also adopt similar systems for the defenses of Visayas and Mindanao?
Luna: (in SPANISH) There was a similar kind of defense that was applied to Mindanao, but because Visayas is a cluster of islands, it became impossible to implement the same defense doctrine as he did on Luzon and Mindanao. However, they were able to make up for it with the decision to target US naval assets in the region, but without any success. Even the small Philippine Revolutionary Navy was easily decimated by the Americans, and was not rebuilt until 1912, when the German Empire was awarded with the contract to produce the first five small torpedo boats for the Philippine Navy.
Interviewer: Was the Philippine Revolutionary Navy that bad in the beginning?
Luna: (in SPANISH) It certainly was, since we started off with captured Spanish ships that were easily sunk by the Americans. The first ten years of our navy's existence was dominated by the dominance of merchant fleet officers who didn't know much about operating a professional navy, until the later generations of naval officers were sent to naval academies in Germany and Japan. However, Mexico also helped us with our own army as well, but our army started off with captured Mauser rifles (1) and donated Murata rifles (2) given to us from the Japanese.
Interviewer: The Americans had the advantage of firepower and personnel in the beginning, but that eventually changed as their casualties started to rise. In addition, the length of time that it took for the Americans to ship in new batches of soldiers to the Philippines would be roughly a month or two, depending on the speed of those ships, but it can take a lot longer. The logistical nightmare the Americans faced was also the main reason why they had trouble defeating the Japanese army, which operated on a shorter logistical line. Is this statement true?
Luna: (in SPANISH) It is certainly true, and while Presidents McKinley and Cockrell wanted the Russian Empire to give permission for the US navy to dock their ships in Russian ports on the Pacific, the Russians feared being dragged into the conflict between Japan and the United States. That, despite engaging in a proxy war with Japan through the civil war that broke out in the Korean Peninsula over their political and ideological differences. (3)
Interviewer: Okay, going back to the defense depth that General Luna had implemented. The one thing that I noticed about his strategy was that he knew that the first line of defense was built to be broken after a gradual siege, in which the defenders would slowly retreat to the second line, and the process would repeat itself, until they reached the actual redoubt itself. Were there any other factors in the increase of American casualties?
Luna: (in SPANISH) The uniforms that we wore eventually had to be changed from light khaki to a tiny bit darker shade of khaki and mud combined, because our Rayadillo uniform (4) used to be colored blue. Not to mention that we were accustomed to fighting in the jungle, which the Americans learned the hard way, until they started recruiting former native auxiliaries that fought for the Spaniards into the Macabebe Scouts. They knew their way around the jungle, and were often used to flush us out. However, our army also massacred the Macabebe troops that surrendered because we viewed them as traitors.
Interviewer: Do you think that the political radicalization of the Filipino population also played a role during the war against the United States?
Luna: (in SPANISH) Of course, because by then General Jacob Smith was practically slaughtering anyone that he encountered, but the man who eventually formed the most fascistic and racist dictatorship in the United States outdid him in atrocities.
Interviewer: Were there any other nations that supported the United States' attempt to pacify the Philippines?
Luna: (in SPANISH) Not that I know of, but Britain and Germany certainly did not support the Americans despite committing atrocities of their own as well. There was one nation that gave the Americans indirect support, and that would be the Russians. You see, one year before Japan and the United States went to war against each other, the Russians had started to operate one submarine that they used for a training exercise, which was in reality, a reconnaissance mission. They managed to keep themselves submerged while monitoring the movements of the Japanese ships, and when they returned to their base in Vladivostok, they gave the information they gathered to the American naval attaché in the area.
Interviewer: And this was before the invention of the sonar system that enabled most countries to detect any submarines that are submerged, right?
Luna: (in SPANISH) Yes, and the Japanese never knew about it because they didn't have the means of detecting submarines at that time.
Interviewer: What was the significance of the Luna Defense Doctrine beyond military means?
Luna: (in SPANISH) There is also a psychological aspect to that defense doctrine, especially whenever an American soldier ends up getting caught in a trap laid out by our defenders. The jungle is also home to various poisonous reptiles and mosquitoes. I don't know on top of my head how many American soldiers came down with dengue as a result of being bitten by mosquitoes a couple of times. Even with the help of the highland natives that gave the Americans directions to where our stronghold is, there's also their own supply train that they had to guard as well, so the longer their supply line is, the more we're able to cut them off.
Interviewer: And how did the American public at that time reacted to the growing number of casualties that their military had suffered?
Luna: (in SPANISH) The American Anti-Imperialist League had a field day when news of David Fagen's desertion was announced in every American newspaper, though reactions were mixed. His desertion, along with the mutiny that was erupted among the 24th Infantry Regiment, had also garnered hostile reactions from the hardline racists that can now call for all of the African-Americans in the US Army to be cashiered out on racial grounds, using the desertion of Private Fagen as justification. The Anti-Imperialist League on the other hand, viewed Fagen's desertion as a rare sign of a man who's willing to sacrifice his military career to stand in solidarity with us.
--- Mongolia - Trial by Fire Although Mongolia had managed to secede from the Qing Empire as its succession crisis had broken out, the transition to an independent nation had not been smooth. For one thing, while Tögs-Ochiryn Namnansüren had been elected as the new Khagan by the resurrected Kurultai, there was one other candidate that had ambitions to become the ruler of the new Mongol state. Originally born as Agvaan Luvsan Choijinnyam Danzan Vanchüg, the son of a Tibetan official had been recognized as the incarnation of the previous Bogd Gegen. Most supporters of the 8th Bogd Gegen had supported his right to rule Mongolia came from the Buddhist clergy, which held special significance in what is predominantly a Buddhist socity. However, supporters of Tögs-Ochiryn Namnansüren's claim on the Mongolian throne and state came from his alleged lineage, wich he claimed that could go as far back as Genghis Khan, making him, if the allegations are true, the first Genghisid to take power in the Mongol nation since the end of the Northern Yuan Dynasty. It was agreed however, that a power sharing agreement would be made between Tögs-Ochiryn Namnansüren and the 8th Bogd Gegen, in which the 8th Bogd Gegen would become the spiritual head of the Mongolian Buddhist clergy, while Tögs-Ochiryn Namnansüren, who eventually became Tögs-Ochiryn Khagan, would become the temporal head of Mongolia. As such, the foundation of the Mongolian Khaganate and its declaration of independence had been declared back in July 19 of 1900, while at the same time the Mongolian War of National Liberation had broken out. Initially, the two former Qing claimants, Princes Pujun and Puwei, who became the Guoliang and Yongnian Emperor respectively, ignored the declaration of independence, as the were more concerned with taking the Dragon throne. However, by the time that both claimants would die and the Renshu Emperor had risen to power, the renegade Chinese armies led by Yuan Shikai and Li Yuanhong had marched to Beijing to place the entire Qing royal family under arrest. It was there that the renegade armies now began to prepare for a full scale invasion of the entirety of Mongolia, as the Inner Mongol militias that were hastily organized began to launch full scale pogroms against the Han Chinese settlers that migrated to the regions of Inner Mongolia. (5) Subsequently, the Mongolian government sent a delegation to the Russian court in order to persuade Tsar Nicholas II to recognize their independence. The Russian Foreign Minister at that time, Mikhail Nikolayevich Muravyov, had accepted the Mongolian delegation's request, and even petitioned to the Tsar to allow a volunteer unit to help the Mongolian forces defend itself, only for Tsar Nicholas II to deny the request, as he already gave his authority for the Russian military forces stationed in the Russian Far East to mobilize for an invasion of northern Manchuria. Thus, by December of 1900, the Russian forces stationed at the Amur River, of which it was over 120,000 strong, began to cross the Amur River and attacked the Chinese forces in the region.
Russian troops arresting a suspected Honghuzi bandit on the outskirts of Zengjiabao village.
At the same time as the Russian invasion was unfolding, Nicholas II also assigned three officers to staff the leadership of the newly formed Eastern Cavalry Division: Lavr Kornilov, the Siberian Cossack Ataman Grigory Semyonov, and Nikolai Zarubaev. General Zarubaev though, would eventually command its infantry counterpart to the ECD, the Eastern Infantry Division. (6) Both the ECD and EID were strictly made of professional volunteers that came from Russia's Asiatic ethnic minorities, and they were paid well by 1900 standards. However, what separated the ECD and EID from the regular soldiers of the Imperial Russian Army was that those two Asiatic units also gave opportunities for certain volunteers that proved themselves bold, competent, and courageous, to become officers within said unit. Although the renegade Chinese forces now fighting the Mongolian independence forces had viewed these Russian trained volunteers as mercenaries, the truth was that those volunteers that joined Mongolia's war of independence were given rare opportunities to show their ethnic brethren that they too, could advance within the ranks of the Imperial Russian Army. Unlike the European troops within the Imperial Russian Army however, the troops of the ECD and EID were more familiar with the cultures of the nations that they were being sent to, which made them suitable for this kind of military operation.(7) This was evident when on many cases, a Russian officer had to rely on interpreters for guidance in where they would be going. Interpreters were becoming more valued as the Mongolian War of National Liberation began to escalate.
At the same time, the Russian forces that invaded northern Manchuria had encountered initial logistical problems as the front lines were formed a bit too quickly. Yet, the Russians managed to enter the city of Aigun, where heavy fighting took place between them and what remained of the Qing army loyal to the Guoliang Emperor, by December 8th, 1900. The main Russian force striking at Aigun was led by General Mitrofan Nadein, while another Russian force that now entered northwestern Manchuria was led by Anatoly Stessel, while the third Russian force that now struck and captured the city of Suifenhe was led by Leonid Artamov. General Artamov though, would eventually be replaced by Nikolai Tretyakov in late 1902, as the former had been appointed by the Tsarist government to lead a Russian volunteer unit that joined the French Civil War on the side of the monarchists that was aligned with the reactionaries. Additionally, the combined forces led by Semyonov and Zarubaev marched for several weeks throughout the vast Mongolian countryside, until they reached the city of Urga, where they helped form the defenses of the city. However, the lack of a railway system in the newly independent Mongolian state became the weakness of the entire Russian expeditionary force sent to help the Mongolians defend their new state, and it was due to this sensitive issue that Tögs-Ochiryn Khagan would send a letter to the Russian government, pleading with them to fund the construction of a new railroad that would connect the entire country. Unfortunately, the construction of the Greater Mongolian Railway would not commence until the 1920s, by which time Russia itself had already undergone a severe upheaval caused by the more notorious and failed 1906 Odessa Pogrom that degenerated into revolution. As the ECD and EID forces eventually saw less combat while they stayed inside the city of Urga, some of them began to question their purpose in fighting for the Russians. Luckily for them, their doubts would be casted out as they were now marching once again on December 13th, and didn't arrive at the border between Outer and Inner Mongolia until December 20th. It was there that the ECD and EID began to engage in skirmishes with Chinese forces, both Qing loyalists and renegade armies loyal to the First Chinese Republic.
Mongolian society was largely affected by their secession from China as they became more Sinophobic, with the Jindandao Massacre still fresh in their minds. By the time the ECD and EID forces reached the town of Xilingol, they've encountered an Inner Mongolian militia fighting the Qing loyalist forces. Unlike the renegade forces commanded by Yuan Shikai and Li Yuanhong, the armies that remained loyal to the deposed Qing Dynasty had suffered from desertions and collapse of morale as they often complained about not being to know who the Renshu Emperor is. Yet, the ECD and EID soldiers also joined their Inner Mongolian counterparts in hunting down any remaining Han Chinese settlers that still lived in parts of Inner Mongolia, often killing them without any remorse. Such massacres committed by the Russians and Mongolians remained a sore point between Russia and China today, and the Russian government has so far been slow to issue a formal apology. In addition, the Outer Mongolian forces also helped the Russians with their invasion of northern Manchuria by acting as scouts and spies, easing up on the advances that the Russians are making throughout northern Manchuria. With their help, the Russians were able to expand their line of control up to the partially completed Chinese Eastern Railway, and the fact that the construction of the Chinese Eastern Railway was underway by the time of the Russian invasion of northern Manchuria led to General Yuan's decision to issue a declaration of war on Russia. Thus, the Russian invasion of northern Manchuria evolved into the 1900-02 Russo-Chinese War, or the Sino-Russian War, as they called it in China.
--- Excerpts from 'Clash of Giants: The Russo-Chinese War of 1900-02' by: Ernesto da Silva Jagged Peak Publishing Press, released on February 24, 2019
Chapter Two: The Northern Manchurian Theater When news of Yuan Shikai's declaration of war between China and Russia was announced, the entire world was stunned. That inaction eventually grew into outrage when it became clear that Russian forces were now occupying Chinese soil, and many of them expected that there would be more waves of sympathy towards the Chinese defenders. However, when the details of the Jindandao Massacre of 1890 was leaked by Mongolian delegates that visited Russia before the Mongolian War of National Liberation, that sympathy turned sour as the waves of sympathy gradually shifted in favor of the Mongolians. It was the Russian aggression against China that would motivate King George V of Great Britain to initiate a series of diplomatic rapprochements with Kaiser Wilhelm II of the German Empire. (8) Unfortunately for the Chinese government, the United States had increasingly become a bit more pro-Russian, but not out of pragmatism. Rather, the United States and Russia only improved their diplomatic ties with each other over their mutual hatred of Japan, which also fought a war against China and won. However, the Kishinev and Slonim Pogroms of 1903 would only serve to isolate the Russian Empire from the international community as the Jewish refugees that fled from their homes were now seeking asylum in both Britain and Germany. The growing diplomatic isolation of the Russian Empire initially infuriated the Tsar, as he criticized the growth of the vigilantes that were attacking the Jews in response to hearsay claims of Jews slaughtering children ritually. However, it also benefited the Russian military leadership, as they were now more comfortable with resorting to brutal tactics when facing resistance from Chinese guerrillas fighting Russian troops. To make matters worse, the Russian military leadership often allowed their Mongolian allies to commit the majority of the atrocities, such as slicing the skin of captured guerrilla fighters and even shooting large number of civilians that were unfortunately caught in the middle of a firefight.
The Khingan Mountain Range became one of the top priority targets that the Russian military had taken, in addition to several border towns on the Chinese side of the Amur River, mostly because its geographic position would allow the Russians to create defensive strongholds that can deter any hostile force from invading southeastern Siberia. Moreover, the region is also relatively rich for animal grazing, which complements the growing Siberian butter industry, as well as the emerging Siberian dairy industry as well. Finally, the Khingan Mountain Range also acts as a shield for the emerging Mongolian state as well, and given that the city within that mountain range was Hulunbuir, its fall to the Russian forces on December 9th had allowed the Russians to fortify the captured city in addition to building up its Khingan defensive structures. Although both the Qing New Army and the renegade armies commanded by Yuan Shikai and Li Yuanhong had started to operate Maxim machine guns, most of their ammunition had already been used up during the engagements with the Boxer rebels (as was the case of the former Mutual Pact for the Defense of the Southeast) and during the Qing succession crisis. In addition, the Chinese economy was already declining to the point where it was impossible to obtain a financial loan to stabilize the economy while the previous loans they have received were instead used to purchase additional weapons and ammunition to suppress peasant revolts and other rebellions launched by ethnic minorities. The Russians on the other hand, fared no better as they have not yet began on any kind of military reform. Additionally, the only machine guns they've been using were the Madsen machine guns (purchased from Denmark) and the M1895 Colt-Browning Machine gun (purchased from the United States), while the Chinese forces used Maxim machine guns despite that weapon being present with the Russian forces as well. Curiously, during one of the Russian advances towards the town of Zhangtaer in December 19, the Chinese militias operating in the region were still carrying the Maxim machine guns that were meant for the Qing loyalist armies that were being transported from the Chinese capital to the ancient Manchu homeland to face the Russians. As the militias did not have any time to retreat, one militiaman suddenly started to place the ammunition belt into the Maxim and shouted orders to fire, to the shock and horror of the Russian forces advancing. Stunned at what happened, other militiamen began to do the same thing, surprisingly managing to drive the Russians out of Zhangtaer, giving the Russians their first defeat in the Russo-Chinese War.
The shock of their defeat however, had forced General Stessel to pay attention to what was happening on the front lines, as one of his junior officers reported on how they were ambushed by a desperate Chinese militia that fired their machine guns while supposedly carrying them on horse drawn carriage. (9) Though General Stessel did not believe what one of his junior officers said about it, another battle would provide him with the opportunity to see if their reports were true. He would find out, at the cost of his life, as the December 23rd Battle of Tangwanggou had occurred, which the Russians had been defeated once again. This time though, a contingent of 500 cavalry troops led by a rising star named Anton Denikin had managed to capture two machine gun wagons that the Chinese guerrillas were forced to abandon because it jammed at an inopportune time. By the time the Qing New Army arrived in central Manchuria, the Russians were now clearly digged in their defensive positions. At the same time however, news reached the Qing New Army and its commander, Zhang Xun, that Aigun had fell to the Russians by December 25th. Suifenhe would also fall the very next day, as well as the border towns of Tongjiang, Suibin, and Jixi would fall by December 31st. The Qing New Army would take over the majority of the conflict in the Northern Manchurian Theater of the war, with the Honghuzi bandits (10) now fighting alongside them, as well as a few Boxer rebels that operated in northern Manchuria. While Zhang Xun was busy preparing the New Army, his subordinate Jiang Chaozong was assigned to train the Honghuzi bandits and arm them with modern weapons as he drilled them with modern military drills and tactics. On the Russian side, the Russian forces would dig one of the largest trench networks ever seen in Asia, with the trenches themselves lining from the Khingan Mountains to occupied Aigun, though the artillery pieces would also be placed on certain areas of the mountains themselves. The Russians were also advised by the Mongolian government around Tögs-Ochiryn Khagan to treat the Daurs, a predominantly eastern Mongolic ethnic group, with respect and decency, as they share the same ethnic group as the dominant Khalkha tribal group that is the majority of the Mongol population. The Manchus and Chinese on the other hand, as far as the Mongolian separatists were concerned, were fair game to them.
Russian troops relaxing before their departure for the battlefields of southeastern Manchuria.
To counter the Honghuzi bandits, the Russians decided to form special infantry regiments that would specialize in the same kind of hit and raid attacks. Though initially the Cossacks would fulfill the role, they were also needed for the advance on Mudanjiang. These special infantry regiments ended up becoming mounted infantry regiments, as they obtained the horses that were confiscated from the villages that came under their occupation, or from captured and executed Honghuzi bandits. The mounted infantry units were often armed with bolt-action rifles, though they were later accompanied by a hastily built Russian clone of the same Chinese machine gun carriage that they captured during their defeat in Tangwanggou. On the other hand, when it came to who had the advantage in artillery, the Russians had a slightly bigger edge than their Chinese counterparts, although that advantage was nullified by logistical issues caused by the mono-tracked Trans-Siberian Railway. Unfortunately, this kind of disadvantage would not be tackled until well into the late 1920s to the early 1930s, while the completion of the second track of the Trans-Siberian Railway would not occur until the 1960s. (11) More significantly, the Mongolian forces were also given the excess stock of Madsen machine guns by their Russian patrons, as well as some extra Winchester M1895 that the Russian military wanted to donate, as they became more reliant on the Mosin-Nagant bolt-action rifles for their standard use. However, the training of the newly formed Royal Mongolian Army had to be done inside Russian territory, especially the training and educating of the new officer corps that was expected to take command of most Mongolian regiments that were formed.
--- Excerpts from "The South African Ulcer: Britain and the Boer Nightmare" by: Hendryk Mulder Springbok Publishing Company, released on July 2016
Chapter Five: Steamroller Attack The advance into the Orange Free State was like the rest of the theater of the Limpopo-Tugela Offensive, brutal and devastating. By the time the British forces reached the Orange Free State's capital, Bloemfontein, much of the Boer commandos were ready to turn their capital into a fortress. Most significantly, there was only one circular line of trench that formed around the capital. Equally important to the upcoming Battle and Siege of Bloemfontein was the arrival of the British machine gun detachments that came with the reinforcements from Cape Town. The aptly named potato digger machine gun, as the Colt M1895 was officially called, fired at a slow rate, but compared to the few Pom Pom guns that the Boer defenders managed to field, the British forces had the advantage. Along with the machine gun detachments were the artillery regiments that carried BL-5 howitzers and QF 12-pounder 8 cwt guns from both the regular British and colonial artillery regiments. Though the Boer defenders still had their Krupp artillery pieces, by now their ammunition began to run low, as they mostly used them to fend off the incoming British advances from the Limpopo River and the Tugela River. The Battle of Bloemfontein would begin on August 4th, 1901, with the British bombardment of the city. Much of the Boer commandos continued their raids against British supply depots, but by August of 1901, they were becoming less effective as the machine gun detachments were doing a better job defending the supply trains. The first few days of the battle saw much of the surrounding towns fall to the British as the remaining Boer families that have not yet fled from their homes were moving northwards to the main Boer commando camps in the Transvaal. Ironically, the exodus of the Boer families from their homes only sped up the British advances, as they were now able to requisition much of the abandoned houses for their own use. (12) Another British force, though predominantly of Australian and New Zealander colonial contingents, made their way towards Kimberley, where a Boer attempt to capture it ended in failure for them, but the end result of it was that the Boer commandos opted to engage the colonial troops in a close quarters combat, rather than to let themselves be taken prisoner.
The continued siege of Bloemfontein raged on well into September, when a breach in the Boer lines allowed the British to advance into the city. By September 11th, 1901, the Boers were forced to retreat from their trenches, and into Bloemfontein itself, where they engaged the British in the first urban battle of the 20th century, and the first urban warfare of the Second Boer War. However, the commanding officer of the Boer commando forces defending Bloemfontein, Christiaan de Wet, gave his orders for a general retreat, essentially abandoning the capital of the Orange Free State to the British as he and the surviving 900 of the Boer commandos joined their families in the exodus northwards. The British under Lt. Gen. Robert Broadwood would raise the Union Jack over the Orange Free State capital building, but its president Martinus Steyn and his cabinet also fled with the retreating commandos as well. The government of the Orange Free State would relocate to the town of Kroonstad by September 19th, but they did not have time to prepare the defenses of Kroonstad, as another British force attacking from the Limpopo River had started to approach the new capital of the Orange Free State. Much of the British advances at this point began to gradually increase its speed as the Boer commandos continued to retreat into what was now becoming the great redoubt of the entire Boer nations: Pretoria. It was at Pretoria that the remaining Boer commandos, now under the leadership of General Botha, to start digging three lines of trenches that would ring around Pretoria and Johannesburg. He also issued additional orders for all the commandos to cease raiding the supply depots as they needed every able bodied civilian to take part in the defense of the last Boer stronghold, but the British had other plans.
Starting on October 12th, 1901, the British forces began to impose a blockade of Pretoria and Johannesburg to prevent any incoming aid from reaching the Boer camp. Their main goal was to starve out the defenders of Pretoria, while at the same time allowing the relocation of the British forces stationed in the recently captured city of Bloemfontein to Rhodesia through the rail lines that traversed through Bechuanaland. The large number of refugees that now resided in Pretoria and Johannesburg had only worsened the food situation to the point where starvation scenarios were becoming more likely to occur. Between October 12 and November 14th, approximately 1,900 civilians inside Pretoria and Johannesburg combined had died from starvation, with an additional 2,700 civilians suffering from malnutrition as well. Morale among the Boer population also plummeted to the point where several officers were now considering the option of surrendering, but the hardline faction of the Boer governments opted for a last ditch defense of their nation and people. However, the lack of food meant that the commandos themselves were too weak to resist. Additionally, heat exhaustion was also kicking in, as South Africa's weather season was similar to Australia's weather season: summer around Christmas and winter in July. On November 17th, the British forces would enter northern Transvaal from Rhodesia, using the troops that captured Bloemfontein as their main force. To the surprise of Lord Roberts, the hero who conquered Bloemfontein, their advance through northern Transvaal was devoid of any Boer commandos that would have normally raided their supply lines, but because all of them were now defending Pretoria and Johannesburg, they were able to advance until they reached Polokwane by November 30th. Fortunately for the British, they also seized the town of Potchefstroom by early December of 1901, squeezing the Boers a bit further. The final culmination of the Limpopo-Tugela Offensive however, would take place on Christmas Day of 1901, as the British forces surrounding Johannesburg and Pretoria now began to converge on the starving and weakened Boer defenders from the south and the west, while Lord Roberts's forces converged on Pretoria from the north. The battle for Johannesburg was vicious by 1900 standards, as close quarters combat was quite common in Johannesburg. However, it was the defense of Pretoria that defined the final stage of the Second Boer War as General Botha's forces made their last stand against Lord Roberts's forces. Even as British artillery continued to pund Pretoria and Johannesburg, the frantic defense of those two cities became even more brutal. It was only when the British made their last breakthrough into those two cities on New Year's Day of 1902, did the Boer commandos and their leaders opted to surrender. No doubt that by now, over 6,000 or more civilians residing in those two cities had died of starvation, and it was the lack of food for the children that prompted Presidents Steyn of the fallen Orange Free State and Paul Kruger of the now fallen Transvaal Republic to arrive at the British camp.
The German Empire had offered to mediate in the peace treaty that was to be signed between the British and the two Boer republics, as well as the Netherlands. Lord Kitchener, the British commander of all the military forces that are in South Africa, accepted on behalf of King George V, as a means of building the foundation for the gradual improvement of ties between Britain and Germany. In what was to become the Treaty of Windhoek, the British insisted on the unconditional surrender of the two Boer republics as a precondition for the treaty talks. However, Lord Roberts himself would publish a report that would detail the grievances of the two Boer republics and the main reason for the Second Boer War to have broken out in the first place. According to the Roberts Report of 1902 (13), the main issue that faced the two Boer republics were the influx of the uitlanders that arrived to take part in the gold rush that was taking place. Moreover, the biggest fear that the two Boer republics had was that the large population of uitlanders would eventually outnumber the Boer population, thereby creating a situation where their republics would eventually be reduced to British colonies without a shot being fired. Therefore, as Lord Roberts had proposed, the number of uitlanders that have now resided in the fallen Boer republics should not surpass the surviving number of Boer residents in those entities. (14) Additionally, the interests of the indigenous African populations of South Africa had to be taken seriously, as they were equally hostile to the presence of both the uitlanders and Boers. It is necessary, as Lord Roberts added, to establish a kind of autonomous tribal entities that would be governed by a white representative, until the indigenous Africans themselves would be ready to take their white colleagues' place. Finally, the massacre at Lake Slangrivier had now poisoned relations between the Boers and the indigenous African population, but feared that putting the perpetrators on trial would open up a Pandora's box of unwanted court martials that sounded more sympathetic to the African population, at a time when biological racism was at an all time high.
The terms of the Treaty of Windhoek would be as follows:
1) The unconditional surrender of all Boer fighters is mandatory for further peace talks.
2) All residents of the two Boer entities would be required to swear allegiance to the Crown.
3) All weapons used by combatants would be confiscated.
4) The merger of the two Boer republics into a single, united Boer entity would have to take place, as to ease up on the administrative work.
5) Dutch and Afrikaans would be recognized as the official language of the Boer minority.
6) An establishment of the Griqua states, which consists of the ethnic Griqua peoples, would be created.
7) An establishment of the autonomous tribal entities would be formed to prepare the indigenous African tribes for self-government will be created.
8) The former leaders of the Boer republics are banned from residing inside the newly unified Boer entity as punishment for waging war on the Crown.
With the signing of the Treaty of Windhoek, the exile of the deposed Boer governments now began, with President Steyn of the former Orange Free State now residing in Hanover, Germany, while President Kruger and his successor Schalk Willem Burger would spend the rest of their exile in the Dutch city of Rotterdam. However, the Boer commando leaders opted to remain in the unified Boer entity, now called the Veldland Colony, after the three areas of northeastern South Africa: the Highveld, Bushveld, and Lowveld. Although Veldland was eventually adopted as the name of a unified Boer-dominated province within the Dominion of South Africa, in recent years the Boer-Afrikaner separatists had repeatedly called for the independence of their homeland as the new Volkstaat, and violent confrontations between the Anglo-South Africans, indigenous Africans and Boer-Afrikaners would sadly become common.
--- (1) Or more specifically, the Spanish Mauser rifles given to the Spanish Army by Germany.
(2) Recall the Nunobiki Maru's successful sailing to the port of Aparri, only for that ship to be sunk by the American navy.
(3) As will be hinted in the next update.
(4) The standard uniform worn by Spanish colonial soldiers and regular Spanish soldiers. It is also the standard uniform of the First Philippine Republic IOTL.
(5) The influx of Han Chinese settlers into what is now Inner and Outer Mongolia also posed a security risk for the Russians as well IOTL, which precisely led to their backing of the Mongolian separatist forces.
(6) Basically this TL's version of the Asiatic Cavalry Division, but formed a decade early.
(7) Turkic and Mongolic volunteers were valuable for their languages, in addition to their marital strength.
(8) At this point, the Great Game is still going on, but Russian aggression in this time period might prompt George V and Wilhelm II to make nice with each other, as they were also cousins.
(9) Basically the tachanka decades too early, but desperate times provide unexpected opportunities.
(10) The Honghuzi bandits often raided areas close to the China-Russia border. The Japanese often recruited the Honghuzi bandits during the Russo-Japanese War of OTL 1904-05.
(11) The Trans-Mongolian Railway was actually built by penal units that consisted of Red Army soldiers that surrendered during the OTL Soviet times. Unfortunately, katorga or gulag labor would also be a common feature ITTL's Russian state.
(12) The food situation ITTL would be just as bad as OTL Second Boer War's internment of Boer civilians in British camps, but the only difference is that the Boers' food supplies were stretched to the max, as they have to feed both the refugees and themselves, rapidly using up what's left of their food supply.
(13) Based on the OTL Durham Report, TTL's Roberts Report gave out details on the causes of the Second Boer War and what would be the recommendations needed to be taken.
(14) The influx of the uitlander migrant workers was the biggest issue facing former President Paul Kruger, and also another one of the main causes of the Second Boer War.
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stevep
Fleet admiral
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Post by stevep on Dec 2, 2023 0:13:15 GMT
Well that gives a hell of a lot of foresight of coming events. For the US to have a dictatorship for that length of time and still be so deeply hostile and racist in 2012 is going to make for a massively different USA and probably a much weaker one. Its going to lose a lot of talent that it imported OTL and probably a fair amount of local ones due to either people fleeing for better opportunities elsewhere or denied the same potential for development by an autocratic regime. I'm wondering if the 1933 start for the dictatorship is an indicator of something like the OTL great depression occurring, if only in the US as if there is not a world war the impacts across the rest of the world would be likely to be markedly less.
Sounds like the Anglo-German alliance/friendship will last for most of the century and also clear the German monarchy will survive. [Although what happens to the Hapsburg and Ottoman empires remains to be see as well as the fate of France while it sounds as if the monarchy in Russia will be overthrown and a brutal autocracy will be in place there for quite a while. Whether [or should it be what?] great international wars occur and their results remain to be seen but possibly the OTL world wars will be avoided.
It does sound like a war of mutual exhaustion will send Japan and the US on radically different routes, the former becoming more liberal and the latter far more right wing and autocratic. Suspect it will also mean the end of the US rule in the Philippines - and hope so at least given how brutal its gotten.
Its also going to be bloody and exhausting for both Russia and China. The Russians should have massively superior forces in terms of equipment and training but their going to be limited by serious logistical challenges if they try and push too far and once the Chinese can get some sort of unified defence against such an attack their sheer numbers, along with probably indirect aid by powers that oppose Russian expansion in the region, especially London and Berlin could make the operation very costly for Russia.
The Boers have made a lot of mistakes compared to OTL so not surprising if their causalities are markedly larger than OTL, both military and civilians, as they have played more to British strengths than their own, getting bogged down in positional fighting rather than the guerrilla war of raids that tied up so many British forces and resources OTL. As such their probably gotten a fairly generous treaty although that non-Boers can roughly equal the Boers in the latter's territories and presumably will no longer face the harsh discrimination that occurred pre-war probably means that the white population of S Africa as an whole is going to be majority English speaking. Especially since people who OTL might have emigrated to the US are likely to go elsewhere and some of them will go to S Africa. However the early protection for at least some black tribal groups could ease tensions there although it sounds like it will get worse later.
In the sentence "Luna: (in SPANISH) Not that I know of, but Britain and Germany certainly did not support us despite committing atrocities of their own as well." - Given the tension that developed between those two nations and the US and also it goes on to say how Russia did give some support to the US should this be saying that Britain and Germany did not support the USA?
Anyway late here and hopefully covered the main points that occurred to me. Many thanks for an interesting TL.
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Post by TheRomanSlayer on Dec 2, 2023 2:13:36 GMT
Well that gives a hell of a lot of foresight of coming events. For the US to have a dictatorship for that length of time and still be so deeply hostile and racist in 2012 is going to make for a massively different USA and probably a much weaker one. Its going to lose a lot of talent that it imported OTL and probably a fair amount of local ones due to either people fleeing for better opportunities elsewhere or denied the same potential for development by an autocratic regime. I'm wondering if the 1933 start for the dictatorship is an indicator of something like the OTL great depression occurring, if only in the US as if there is not a world war the impacts across the rest of the world would be likely to be markedly less. Given that IOTL we had the Bonus Army march occurring, as well as the Business Plot, the events that may replace them would make the aforementioned OTL events look tame. I would suspect that the denial of opportunities for the growth of human talent might be imposed on the non-whites, while their white colleagues would still have a chance to become talented, but the restrictions on what kind of technological advances that they can make would result in Europe becoming more ahead technologically, with Japan becoming a close second. Sounds like the Anglo-German alliance/friendship will last for most of the century and also clear the German monarchy will survive. [Although what happens to the Hapsburg and Ottoman empires remains to be see as well as the fate of France while it sounds as if the monarchy in Russia will be overthrown and a brutal autocracy will be in place there for quite a while. Whether [or should it be what?] great international wars occur and their results remain to be seen but possibly the OTL world wars will be avoided. Most likely, although an Anglo-German rapprochement might force the French into a no-win situation at hand. Given their civil war that is currently taking place, it would depend on the outcome. If the reactionaries win, either royal house would somehow maintain the Franco-Russian alliance, but the French would not be in any position to help the Russians financially and economically. If the republicans win, then France would become more open to a new kind of Franco-American alliance until Van Horn Moseley comes to power, and then the French Republic might end up allying with a Japan that is open to a syndicalist regime. Out of all the reactionaries that are present, I would suspect that British interests might lean towards supporting the Orleanists, as the Legitimists would be a bad bet for Britain overall, and the Bonapartists would not be a good neighbor for both the Low Countries and the Germans. It does sound like a war of mutual exhaustion will send Japan and the US on radically different routes, the former becoming more liberal and the latter far more right wing and autocratic. Suspect it will also mean the end of the US rule in the Philippines - and hope so at least given how brutal its gotten. Let's not forget that the longer and more brutal war between the Philippines and the United would mean that the American colonial period would definitely be butterflied away, which in turn would also butterfly the more unsavory American policies that have affected the Philippines to this day. On the other hand, this would also mean that the Philippines would remain a Spanish-speaking Asian nation, and Filipino nationalism might develop on a more cultural rather than ethnic basis, as the various ethnic groups that make up of the Filipino nation would be unified by the common Spanish heritage. On the other hand, a more autocratic and right-wing American government may also have a knock on effect on both the American interventions in Latin America, as well as its relationship with the black American community, and given that there are more mutinies instigated by black American soldiers, that might also create more paranoia on part of the predominantly white American leadership as well. Its also going to be bloody and exhausting for both Russia and China. The Russians should have massively superior forces in terms of equipment and training but their going to be limited by serious logistical challenges if they try and push too far and once the Chinese can get some sort of unified defence against such an attack their sheer numbers, along with probably indirect aid by powers that oppose Russian expansion in the region, especially London and Berlin could make the operation very costly for Russia. True, and given that Russian military weakness IOTL also played a role in their shocking defeat at the hands of the Japanese during the OTL 1904-05 Russo-Japanese War, the Russians could still end up losing the war against the Chinese, unless they find a way to end the conflict before getting involved in another war. As it was hinted in the previous update, three anti-Jewish pogroms would also play a role in the growing isolation that Tsarist Russia would have, which may also lead to revolution. At the same time though, the Chinese would even be more radicalized due to their military defeat at the hands of Japan, followed by their difficulty in getting the Russians out of northern Manchuria, as well as their difficulty in attempting to reconquer Mongolia. I could see London and Berlin offer financial aid to the Chinese in an attempt to make the war costly for Russia, but given that the Qing government was unable to repay the loans they've obtained, they might have second thoughts before giving whichever Chinese government financial aid. And I haven't forgotten Sun Yat-sen at all, since he would definitely have to make an appearance at some point. In the sentence "Luna: (in SPANISH) Not that I know of, but Britain and Germany certainly did not support us despite committing atrocities of their own as well." - Given the tension that developed between those two nations and the US and also it goes on to say how Russia did give some support to the US should this be saying that Britain and Germany did not support the USA? Spotted the typo. I meant to say that Britain and Germany did not support the United States, and the Russians did. However, the American business community would be deeply divided over the anti-Jewish pogroms as well, due to their competition with them. For example, the likes of JP Morgan and the Rockefeller banking family would become bitter rivals of the Schiffs, Rothschilds, and Warburgs. I might actually squeeze in the introduction of the Vanderbilt family, which will remain wealthy instead of becoming poor as in OTL.
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