Fall and Rise: A WW2 ISOT

So how would DE Britain reacht if Japan goes the Northern route.

Well seeing both the Soviet Union and Japan fight will waken them and it will cost DE Britain nothing.

Steve is quite right - this is June 1940, or before the occupation of French Indochina which served as the final straw for US action. Shokaku and Zuikaku are still under construction, leaving the IJN with 4 fleet carriers and 2 light aircraft carriers. As a preemptive answer to a potential question from Lordroel, no, that isn't enough to do anything. They have no window, with RAF and RNAS aircraft beginning redeployment to Malaya within days and the first Army division to follow within a week; it is just a matter of transport bottlenecks.

The British are bluffing the Japanese about their carrier presence in the Far East, until such time as a mixture of 1940 and DE 1943 ships can be redeployed; without giving away too much, a few of the Grand Fleet's ships will be stopping off at Colombo and nipping back to Singers to mess up any intelligence they think they have gained from the deliberate revelations. Their '8 carriers' currently consist of some aircraft transports, seaplane carriers, a maintenance ship and various other auxiliaries photographed at longish range and dressed up as carriers.

Knocking out the Regia Marina will not take very long, given the overwhelming numbers and technological advantage. After that, the deployment of the most modern British battleships will likely be directed by infrastructure. Their carriers, being able to be accommodated by the downtime facilities in Singapore, will face no such constraints, nor will the 20" capital ships currently at home and in the Mediterranean, nor will the Orion class battlecruisers (broad RN equivalents to the @ Alaskas in their niche, being 16" armed ~48000t 'child sized' battlecruisers built to act as carrier escorts and cruiser killers), which have four further ships suspended partway through their construction.

On Chinese monarchy and European postwar politics: I'm not going to take this story that far. I want it to be a contained little yarn, not another multi-year project with spin offs and endless delving into the results. It is something that is easy to type a few hundred words whilst winding down after a late shift, not a big project.

So does the DE Britain Prime Minister Churchill look and acht like his OTL counterpart.

Second go at this interesting question:

In terms of his looks and general physical appearance, he is very similar indeed, with two areas of difference.

Firstly, he is 6'1" rather than 5'6", a testament to the combination of (very ancient) elven blood, magical influences in the air and earth making for slightly taller humans in the British Isles and the cumulative influence of centuries of better nutrition through more meat. Also, as a generalisation, the upper classes have a very slightly higher average height, coming from breeding within the aristocracy and even more of the aforementioned improved nutrition.
Secondly, as of the early 1940s, he looks like he did in ~1920. This comes from the very small effects of longer lifespans, but particularly from that same phenomenon we see in Hollywood types and celebrities today of getting some sort of 'work' done. Rather than Botox, plastic surgery and the like, DE has rejuvenation potions that make someone look a bit younger and spruced up. For Churchill, the most notable difference we'd see is slightly less jowly cheeks and less of an extra chin, along with a ruddier complexion.

As far as his actions are concerned, they are again very similar, but just slightly modified by the world he has lived in, the company he has kept and the experiences he has gone through. The world has impacted him by slightly modifying his views on race and nationality to those generally held in DE by men of his class and generation; it is hard for the same views to develop in a world not only with other intelligent humanoid species, but life on other planets. He has many of the same friends/cronies, along with a Lord Birkenhead who doesn't die young in 1930, former South African PM Cecil Rhodes, an Australian cavalry officer chum from the South African War, two more younger brothers as well as Jack, a Scottish warrior priest and a Jewish wizard. In his family, he also has a younger son, William, as well as his daughter Marigold not dying in infancy.

His tastes are almost all the same - Havana cigars, but more often chewed than chain smoked and never inhaled; excellent champagne and brandy and blended whisky, but almost never to the actual point of drunkeness; and insofar as food is concerned, a great enjoyment of traditional English dishes and meats, along with shellfish, bottled orange juice, clear soups, Indian curries and certain French dishes appropriate to his class and time. The only alteration I've made is to his preferred foods, where he doesn't dislike black pudding and has even more of a yen for beefsteak and roast beef.

His experiences have been broadly similar, but without several of the same 'downs' in his career, most notably the Dardanelles expedition having a very different basis and outcome. He serves as Foreign Secretary between 1921 and 1924, providing for a clean sweep of the Great Offices of State. His 'wilderness years' consist of the period of National Government from 1929-1933, where the nominal Liberal leadership precluded his inclusion in the Cabinet. During this time, he doesn't quite get wiped out by the Great Crash and recovers much of his financial breathing space in the rebuilding economy. He doesn't have either 'great cause' of the mid 1930s to dash himself upon in the absence of the same India debate or the Abdication Crisis. After the 1933 General Election and the return to power of Baldwin's Conservatives in their own right, he is Secretary of State for Air from 1933-1936 and First Lord of the Admiralty from 1937-1940; in the Cabinet formally but not quite in the inner circle of Baldwin and Chamberlain's clique, at least until the rolling start to mobilisation from the beginning of 1939. Less of a Cassandra and more of one who progressively comes in from the wilderness, but that is related to a wholesale discussion of DE 'appeasement' and the different events of 1936-1939 that build up to the war. Prior to all that, by the by, he is knighted in 1919 in the aftermath of the victory in the Great War, retired as a Major General in the Territorials in 1924 and won the Victoria Cross at the Battle of Diamond Hill in the South African War.

So, like many things in DE, a slight level of physical difference, but a bit more below the surface.