WI: Nelson Mandela contracted HIV from his cheating wife and died during the negotiations for ending

lordroel, on youtube search ''What if the sexual revolution of the 1960s-80s didn't happen'' I'm unable to send links

Indeed. These are utterly, utterly unconnected events. In my view, this simply isn’t alternate history, as there is no relationship of causal connection.

Now, the question of a different South African population is a good and valid one. It has long running consequences.

The issue of Mandela dying is also a separate one, albeit a bit less interesting as it is phrased in a very closed manner. I would draw a parallel to the ideas you had about Ethiopia. The minor/secondary PoD is really quite simple to answer and without huge consequence, detracting from the major one.

I would suggest separating the two. The Mandela one really belongs in a thread for Minor PoDs/AH scenarios, as there isn’t a great deal to it. The population issue is big enough to merit its own thread. That will actually get a better combination of answers for you.

I’ve previously used the analogy of a multi-bet. For those unfamiliar with the concept, imagine the following:

A.) Jimmy has $30 that he wants to spend on some soccer bets.
B.) Bayern Munich v Ajax Amsterdam; Manchester United v Chelsea; Real Madrid v AC Milan are the games
C.) Suppose that the odds for the first team in each match to win 2-1 are set by the bookmakers at 5/1, 8/1 and 10/1
D.) The chances of getting a win and a return on his money in each of the three cases aren’t that high individually. Jimmy’s total profit would be $170 ($200 winnings - $30 bet)
E.) The likelihood of them all happening according to the bookmakers is 5 x 8 x 10, or 400/1. Jimmy could win a fair bit, but it is at long odds for a reason. If Jimmy came to me for advice, I’d say that, although winning $11970 is a bloody nice idea, it is also bloody unlikely. He’s better off making 3 small bets, as even the most straightforward of them will see him in the black.

Insofar as your multi PoDs go, you’re Jimmy. They aren’t winning you ‘money’. A better bet is keeping it straightforward.

It's not 2 PoDs, if you watched the video you would see how both of those are outcomes of a single PoD. (I made the timeline I said to search for on YT)

This is a timeline I already made, to see how the 2 things I posted are the result of a single PoD go to youtube and search for ''What if the sexual revolution of the 1960s-80s didn't happen'' I'm unable to send links

YT won't count my watchtime if I do it. I'll send a screenshot. My username to help find it is ... Justinian G