Post by justiniano on Jun 26, 2022 0:36:25 GMT
PoD: After WW2, a sector of Japan's government is created, like a ministry of population control, which will deal with concerns of overpopulation & prolonged low fertility rates etc. If you find this implausible, consider it ASB and move on to my next paragraph.
After WW2, the ministers of Japan tax the country more, enough to make people unable to afford to have as many kids, to the point where the fertility rate is 6.2% lower than it was in otl. And they save up this money for later. Then to try and stabilize the fertility rate they gradually lower these taxes starting in 1973 and decrease them until they're what they were in OTL by the time the fertility rate is below 6.2% lower than what it was in 1973 which was in 1976. And here's what they'll do to keep them higher than in OTL to keep the fertility rate stable. One of the biggest reasons for Japan's very low fertility rate in OTL is that most companies require people to work at least an extra 80 unpaid hours a month. The government will place a law that these companies can't make people work more than an extra 75 hours a month and to prevent these companies from moving somewhere else they use the money they got from those extra taxes to compensate the loss these companies will experience starting a year after the law is passed (to make accurate estimates of how much to pay these companies) then stop after 21 years since by then the larger workforce will have started to make a big enough difference. Then gradually stigmatize bosses not letting their employees go home from drinking with them after work until they say so. To the point where by the mid 2010s it will be highly unusual outside rural Japan.
If these things would help they do them too.
move Japan's capital to a part of Japan with a higher fertility rate. I think moving all the politicians and people who work on tourism to a place where people have more kids can affect them. Possible somewhere further south as a rule of thumb in Japan more southern areas have a higher fertility rate. I have a number of possible explanations, but I'm pretty sure that at least one of them is wrong anyway.
The government pays tuition for kids attending private schools if the parents' have 2 or more kids, and give them free university if they have 3 or more kids.
After WW2, the ministers of Japan tax the country more, enough to make people unable to afford to have as many kids, to the point where the fertility rate is 6.2% lower than it was in otl. And they save up this money for later. Then to try and stabilize the fertility rate they gradually lower these taxes starting in 1973 and decrease them until they're what they were in OTL by the time the fertility rate is below 6.2% lower than what it was in 1973 which was in 1976. And here's what they'll do to keep them higher than in OTL to keep the fertility rate stable. One of the biggest reasons for Japan's very low fertility rate in OTL is that most companies require people to work at least an extra 80 unpaid hours a month. The government will place a law that these companies can't make people work more than an extra 75 hours a month and to prevent these companies from moving somewhere else they use the money they got from those extra taxes to compensate the loss these companies will experience starting a year after the law is passed (to make accurate estimates of how much to pay these companies) then stop after 21 years since by then the larger workforce will have started to make a big enough difference. Then gradually stigmatize bosses not letting their employees go home from drinking with them after work until they say so. To the point where by the mid 2010s it will be highly unusual outside rural Japan.
If these things would help they do them too.
move Japan's capital to a part of Japan with a higher fertility rate. I think moving all the politicians and people who work on tourism to a place where people have more kids can affect them. Possible somewhere further south as a rule of thumb in Japan more southern areas have a higher fertility rate. I have a number of possible explanations, but I'm pretty sure that at least one of them is wrong anyway.
The government pays tuition for kids attending private schools if the parents' have 2 or more kids, and give them free university if they have 3 or more kids.