What if ASBs antipodally swap the hemispheres for Australasia and Iberia in the 1890s, or in the 193

For the 1890s version of this scenario - I would predict that this occurrence would greatly boost emigration from the British Isles, and Europe more generally, to Australia, and especially New Zealand, now that it is so much closer. Also, by putting them in the same hemisphere in the same growing season, this puts Australian and New Zealand farmers in direct competition with American ones, making competition tougher for all, probably more so for the Americans, possibly boosting Populist sentiment there. Australia is also more convenient for American immigration. It probably siphons some flow that would have otherwise gone to Canada, the US, and Latin America.

The British Empire has a land border with Morocco to protect at the edge of New Zealand's former South Island. That likely means Britain will not look kindly on the opposite shore of Morocco becoming an exclusive French or Spanish preserve but rather Britain would support an international open door or great power condominium, if not it's own rule there. The strait between NZ north and south island would be the new equivalent of Gibraltar. however, north of New Zealand, there is new passageway between there and Ireland and Cornwall and Brittany that is far wider than any mere strait, "unchoking" free movement of ships from the Mediterranean to the Atlantic and back.

The German section of New Guinea is now a German tropical Atlantic base instead of a tropical Pacific base. The Germans (for as long as they keep it) can use it to support their trade, influence, and gunboat diplomacy in Africa, the Caribbean, and against South American countries like Brazil, Venezuela, Uruguay, and Argentina.

It is an open question whether Australia and New Zealand become as autonomous from London and form their historic continental federations. Particularly so for New Zealand, the relatively smaller and close to England. New Zealand may end up simply being organized as counties and constituencies directly incorporated into Great Britain and Ireland and directly represented in the Westminster parliament.

The US, with a more robust string of British bases (by way of Australia) sticking towards its face and the Caribbean will probably be more circumspect and a bit less strident in tone when weighing in on the British Guiana-Venezuela border dispute.

break/break

During the period of Spain's apparent absence under the stasis bubble for six months, Spanish forces in Cuba will most likely concede independence to the Cuban rebels in return for rights of naturalization, property, and personal security, or alternatively, they may debark for Puerto Rico. Most other parts of the Spanish empire may hold under the status quo regime as a caretaker, although there is a chance the Filipino rebellion may begin sooner than historical, and Spanish forces may concede independence to rebels, believing themselves hopeless without support from metropolitan Spain.

The status quo regimes in Portuguese colonies are likely to hold together under local officials while Portugal is absent, because they were primarily neighboring colonies of friendly European nations or ruling areas with barely developed local nationalism, or in areas with sensitive treaty port regimes like India and China where no one wants to upset the apple cart. The senior most Governor and "center" of the empire for this period is likely Angola.

There might be a delay, or a slight alteration in terms more to Britain's liking in the Hay-Pauncefote treaty over the Isthmian canal, because British interest and power projection toward that region will be enhanced.

When Spain and Portugal reappear in the southern hemisphere, they are very isolated from Europe and Africa. It makes it ever easier for them to remain neutral countries going forward. Spain finds itself shorn of Cuba, without a fight. Spain never fights America here. It may end up shorn of the Philippines at the same time, or it may end up having to fight a long, drawn out, Filipino insurgency, that it fights hard against than in OTL. Spain should have more ability and interest in holding on to Micronesian islands including Guam. Portugal can likely reinsert itself at the top of its global empire. Both will be net emigration countries. A difference will be that northern Europe and North America won't be so convenient for migration and seasonal work, so most emigrants from Spain will go to Spanish America, and most Portuguese emigrants will go to Brazil, Portuguese colonies, and Hawaii.

I think Portugal is still likely to turn Republican since its monarchy had been humiliated, but maybe that outcome could be changed.

For the second scenario in 1932:

Spanish Morocco would go with Spain. This might mean there might be a very, very narrow strait between New Zealand (former North Island) and French Morocco. Or they are connected by a very, very, very narrow isthmus. The Spanish Republic will have a great deal of social tensions, which will flare up, with more likelihood than not of turning into a coup and/or Civil War. However, not being on the strategic flank of Europe, foreign participation in combat and in arming the combatants will be much less than OTL. If the Popular Front is elected, the left is more likely to defeat the coup and win any subsequent civil war than not. The long-term effects on the rightist-leaning Portuguese Estado Novo next door would be interesting.

I think the colonies both Iberian countries still held in 1932 were at a low enough level of development and national consciousness that the status quo administrations stay in charge, and they will pick up where they leave off. Possibly, Chinese Nationalists pull a stunt occupying Macau. Or Chinese Communist guerrillas do so, forcing Nationalists to go after them, but it is an under 50-50 chance.

Australia, Australian Papua New Guinea, and New Zealand are all in the Atlantic. The 1930s are past the point of peak European emigration, and this Depression era was not a high emigration time anyway. But travel and the hunt for seasonal or temporary work would be more feasible between all of North America, Britain, Australia, New Zealand, and Europe.

Without the Spanish Civil War to suck him and his volunteer forces to ever deeper involvement, Mussolini may have a dangerous amount extra static energy floating around in the years 1936-1939. He might deploy it in aggressive wars against either Yugoslavia or Greece. As a real longshot, he might do so against France, but it is doubtful. Or he may do less to put the brakes on Hitler in '38, or join him from the beginning of a war if it starts in 1939. If so, and he hasn't had wasteful medium sized wars in the mean time, his forces equipment may be better than OTL.

The Soviet Union, with any Spanish Civil War less relevant to them, may devote more attention, volunteers, and aid funds to supporting the Chinese Nationalist and United Front's fight against Japan.

With their physical location now closer to Europe, New Zealand, and especially Australia, may be less disinterested in continental security affairs and may signal supportiveness for British rearmament and firmness against Hitler as early as 1938, instead of flexing their regional autonomy muscles and fretting about not getting enough support against Japan.

With the stasis in both scenarios sealanes are being disrupted and the disappearance of the Iberian Peninsular may make for some uneasiness and concern. Also the stasis fields of the North and Central Atlantic will deliver much fantasy and seamans tales.
As stevep points to whats happening with Gib and also how's Tangier faring at least in the 1932 scenario. I would expect the 1896 Spanish Morocco to be smaller than depicted but information is scarce.
It isn't shown on the map but I expect Spanish Morocco and assorted isles to have followed to the South Pacific even if not on the map.
With the position of NZ the weather in Western Europe may be slightly different - NZ getting a lot of precipitation and shelter the Bay of Biscay from some storms.

Regarding the 1896 scenario I'll go with they two of You and would see a large part of Danish emigrees and possibly other Scandinavians opting for Oz or due to cheaper tickets NZ now Northern Island rather than US or Canada. An interesting effect would be the Maori of NZ and Indigenous of New Guinea in a European context. Denmark may possibly direct more export of its agricultural produce to the Scandinavians and Germany with the presence of NZ in almost British home waters.
I'm wondering somewhat on the position of France as its virtually surrounded by British Territory - Fashoda not happening?
How about the Moroccan Crisis of 1906? Guess the British will twart everything moving into the Moroccan territory be it German, French, Italian!
Italy is now on the shores of the extended Atlantic waters with the Med becoming an arm of it with more tidal effects which may have some effect on shipping and sea shores though probably not much except in erosion.

1932 - the Sanjurjada coup in August 1932 may still occur but removed far from the Pope and traditional Big Brother north of the Pyrenees as well as Sovietunion they will very much be on their own. The coup will be quenced and so I guess the 1936 one if it occurs. Even if the Spanish Morocco accompagnies the Iberian Peninsular to the South Pacific its questionable if Franco will get a plane to fly from the Canaries to Morocco and then get German Aircraft to ferry to Spain not considering the loss of proximity to Rome may have of impact on the Spanish.
The Sovietunion may be in worse ways than OTL without the Spanish Gold Hoard so may actually be able to field less support for the CCP and indeed so if AH still crops up which I would expect.
WWII may take a way other course than OTL - the Atlantic will be a RN lake with a base at Auckland the RN will be close to Italy too; RAF bomber bases in NZ (former North Isle) will be somewhere around former Madrid making for a long flight but over friendly territory in case of German invasion. There will be no Fascist Spain to worry about and no need to court Portugal for Atlantic Bases but instead a huge British defensive perimeter around France! Excellent for choise of invasion should France fall. And for evacuation in that case from Bordeaux or Marseille/Toulon.
This state of affairs would also make shuttling of merchandise across the Atlantic a very different matter in case of both Britain and France all the way through friendly waters possibly in the case of OZ across on train making for goods from the US only having to travel from the Eastern Seaboard across some 7-900 NM? to Perth WA then across half the Atlantic by train then the only long seajourney with aircover out of southern NZ.
I'm rather uncertain of the possibility of Vichy France in NA except that Morocco will be a British Protectorate.
The OTL Middle Eastern Reserve.. not much way of OZ-NZ units going that way. If Britain wants to be able to act in the Far East the position of India will be vital though they dare build up the industrial base of India required?