Rogue Generals: A Different Post-EDSA Uno Philippines TL

Isn't there some sort of thing in Asian societies where saving face is a cultural obsession? The fact that Tolentino just bluntly insulted the Chinese delegates by simply refusing to sign the peace treaty and walking out is a major embarrassment to them, and they take it out on him, with tragic results. The next update however, will reveal the Chinese POV of the murder of Tolentino. Let's just say that the Chinese government will probably reprimand whoever shot his plane down, even if it was intentional.

So far, the Philippine economy is suffering from economic sanctions, and we have not yet covered the fate of the Philippine Peso, which ITTL will suffer the most. We know that sanctions would be lifted on May 27th, 2006, meaning that from the end of the Chinese bombing campaign to the end of the UN sanctions, the Philippine economy will be on a literal life support, hence the OFWs of TTL working in Japan. There is also this portion right here regarding one of the origins of the ATL 1997 Asian Financial Crisis as well:

Tadiar by this point is recklessly experimenting with ways to reboot the Philippine economy, and the concept of the Greenback pioneered by President Lincoln during the American Civil War will be featured ITTL more openly. It would also allow ordinary people to discuss topics that OTL's viewers would normally consider as conspiracy theory.

Let me put it this way: the bombing would have heavily damaged the Philippines, but it might allow the Tadiar regime to plan a new kind of urbanization project in this case. The slums and the small shacks that you see along the river in Manila, Quezon City, and probably in Makati, they are all gone at that point. The economic malaise would kill off the Skyway Metro Manila project, but in hindsight, it might be better in the long run, as the Skyway wouldn't be subjected to damages caused by earthquakes (see TTL's Loma Prieta Earthquake as an example). 

In addition, NAIA is also damaged beyond repair as well ITTL, so they might build a new airport in the same spot, or build it elsewhere. This is the spot where they could build TTL's version of New Manila International Airport:



All of the SM malls are already damaged at this point, and thanks to economic sanctions, SM malls would probably be deserted. I wouldn't be surprised if Tadiar would allow Antonio Floirendo Sr. to take over the SM Malls that would be confiscated from Henry Sy. What I can say however, is that with the eventual ascension of Kabankalan as the new capital city of the Philippines TTL, you won't have the iconic Mall of Asia being built in Manila. You know the spot where the casinos staffed by POGO workers are located? ITTL, that would have been turned into a national park, or a nature preserve. No POGO workers for Filipinos to protest against ITTL, but that is replaced with protests against Japanese medical workers.
OTL Russia has a permanent seat on the Security Council, and yet they were slapped with sanctions due to the OTL Ukrainian Crisis, plus the MH17 shootdown over Donetsk. 

TTL's Hong Kong is more of a stampeding exodus of fearful Hong Kong refugees who do not want to live under Chinese rule this time around, which would be worse than OTL 2020-21's Hong Kong protests, Taiwan and Singapore potentially becoming a refuge for not only Hong Konger and Macanese refugees, but even mainland Chinese dissidents who had to flee from China after the Tiananmen Square massacre. I would not say that the Jackson administration is suffering from some kind of stupidity. More along the lines of naivety, as if they are approaching it like a neighborhood watch taking over a dispute. However, Jesse Jackson's legacy would eventually become rehabilitated once the real insanity of the Tadiar regime is displayed for the world to see. We are probably seeing this, with the Philippines resorting to piracy, in order to survive. That would probably demonstrate to the entire world that the Philippines has become a virtual Somalia juxtaposed on an island.

I would not say that the Kurds are being massacred outright. It's more along the lines of massive deportations by those governments, and certainly even worse than what happened with the Armenians under Ottoman rule, because the Kurds also share the same religion as their oppressors. The fact that a NATO member state is also carrying out acts of ethnic cleansing is something that NATO itself would not tolerate, hence Kemp's threat of expelling Turkey from NATO. This can be fatal to the Turks, because without NATO support, the Russians might actually take advantage of Turkish vulnerability and approach both Georgia and Armenia with an offer of reversing the Treaty of Kars' Turkish gains by offering Georgia all of Tao-Klajerti, and Armenia Kars, the territories surrounding Mount Ararat, and have its borders stretch to Lake Van and Erzurum, plus a possible reconquest of Nakhichevan and Nagorno-Karabakh. It can also be fatal to Azerbaijan as well, since they stand to lose from Kemp expelling Turkey, but Iran would not be happy with the arrangement as well. Thus, you would have a more restraint Turkish government thinking of the consequences, especially now that Russia and Iran are mending relations a lot earlier.

And in a few updates, we will see how Russia is dealing with terrorist attacks carried out by Al-Qaeda, so they are not really quiet in this regard. Plus, as hinted in previous chapters, the Russians will invade a country for the first time since the fall of the Soviet Union, although it might be under the pretext of eliminating Al-Qaeda. Right now, Central Asia is pretty much a lawless region, with Al-Qaeda a de facto power broker in the region.
It is indeed, and even the Chinese government will not be happy with this incident. 

This TL might become the new Zhirinovsky's Russian Empire, but the butterflies would touch everyone, from politics, to pop culture and even social norms. 

Yep, they would probably be replaced with more open air palengke, like what you would see in the provinces. Also, you could see an earlier ascension of Japanese style condos and houses being built in the Philippines, as a result of an increase in Japanese medical workers. I might have killed off the favorite past time of Filipino youths, which is going to SM. Hell, even NE Pacific would probably be taken over by one of the so-called Tadiar cronies. The only so-called positive side of this is that the Philippines would have killed off its American-style consumerist behavior a lot sooner.

I think I may have revised that a while ago, but please tell me which page, and I will retcon it as well. 

The fate of the Ifugao, Aetas and Lumads would be something that Tadiar himself will focus on later on, but federalization might go a long way in preserving the cultures of those groups. Ironically, the Chinese bombing might actually drive the Lumads into fanatical Tadiar supporters, as Tadiar himself would actually look to include them in his power sharing. Besides, the Tadiar regime could go a long way into actually addressing such issues.

Are you referring to this one here:

Ahh, the slave Labour part. I’ll retcon that part soon, though it might be changed to convict labor.

I now retconed a part of Chapter Twenty Two from Fil-Chinese slave labor to mainly convict labor, using political prisoners instead of an ethnic minority. If you see any more errors, let me know. 

I might also retcon a part about Vietnam's communist government surviving, since the humiliation suffered at the hands of both China and Cambodia might be exploited by the Vietnamese government-in-exile, which is based in Orange County in California IOTL, and ITTL.

Having looked up the whole sanctions on Russia thing, I now see that it was individual states and the EU that imposed it on Russia. In this case, we could also see individual states imposing sanctions on China for its military aggression in the West Philippine Sea, without having to go through the United Nations. 

The fact that there will be more Kurdish deaths that occurred through deportations ITTL than the OTL Armenian deportations will have a huge repercussion, as it will force the international community to consider the Kurdish struggle for a homeland of their own as a legitimate cause for concern, but another potential fear from an independent Kurdistan is that it might become a destabilizing factor for the rest of the Middle East, as the Assyrians(Syriacs), Druzes, and other stateless ethnic groups would now push for a homeland of their own, leading to an even worse geopolitical disaster for the Middle East as a whole. Plus, it could even affect the internal politics of Iran, which has separatist movements of its own, and thus would be pressured into either giving its minorities some form of cultural autonomy, or to federalize. Trouble is, it will be difficult to depose the Islamic clerical regime ITTL, and the same is true of OTL. Thus, Iran might look to Russia and curiously enough, Tadiar's Philippines for examples on how to give ethnic minorities within Iran some power. You can also expect to see more power being given to ethnic tribes within the Philippines, like the Ifugao, Aeta, and even the Lumads. Heck, Tadiar might even try to charm the Lumads into supporting his cause.

The fear of a Turkish expulsion from NATO is why I think that the Turkish government might exercise a degree of caution, because NATO membership is the only thing that will keep Turkey's territorial integrity intact. However, Iran, Syria, and Iraq are potentially going to face the wrath of Jack Kemp in this case, so we could see a statue of Jack Kemp in Iraqi Kurdistan and have the Kurds develop a hero worship for Kemp, the same way Kosovar Albanians had developed a love affair for Bill Clinton IOTL. Another angle here is Azerbaijan, which might also face a possible wrath of the Russians if Turkey is expelled from NATO. Hence, Turkish membership in NATO also guarantees Azerbaijan's territorial integrity and geopolitical value. Moreover, since we are seeing a warmer Russo-Georgian relations instead of hostile ones, you might even see Georgia emerge as the surprise power broker in the Caucasus. Armenia's eventual return to flirting with Russia might come soon, but they might not want to lose that valuable relationship with China.

Another thing too is that a larger presence of Al-Qaeda in Central Asia might force Russia and China to work together, essentially becoming indirect allies, while simultaneously becoming indirect allies with the US if it got involved in a Middle Eastern conflict. However, you will not see the US and China become indirect allies at all, except for the part where Jesse Jackson pretty much pulled a Neville Chamberlain by necessity, through hanging the Philippines out to dry. The next update will essentially cover the Chinese POV of the aftermath of the bombing of Vietnam and the Philippines.

Most likely. Although they might also don custom colored versions of Pravda High's tank crew uniforms as well.