lordroel
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Post by lordroel on Feb 11, 2022 12:09:23 GMT
Hopefully you are enjoying this conversation as much as I am, since I really like applying rigour to my assumptions within the TL. To give some more context as to the change of strategic environment for Australia ITTL, we have Operation Trikora occurring namely the Tu 16 strike against the Dutch carrier. This results in the complete loss of the carrier and damage to one of her escorts. A Soviet naval base is established at Surabaya, which hosts a submarine squadron and also a few visiting Pacific Fleet surface ships. I haven't worked out if I want Netherlands New Guinea to be handed over to Indonesia ITTL or whether the Dutch offer to fold it into Australian controlled PNG. While things cool down after this, the alarm bells ring in Russell Offices and in Cabinet. All in all Australia faces a more hostile strategic environment than OTL throughout the 60s into the 80s and this accordingly changes force structure & funding. I am also tempted to have Arthur Calwell win the 1963 election purely for the butterflies, but that I think that would also butterfly away Gough or could do at least. Consequently, I have the RAAF arguing for and purchasing F - 4 Phantom Cs in order to establish long range air superiority & to be able to escort the ordered F - 111s against Jakarta. The Navy in taking up the purchase of the Essex class carrier could IMHO argue that they can tack onto the RAAF purchase through also acquiring F - 4 Bs providing commonality of spares, some training etc. It's a 50 / 50 proposition but a joint fleet acquisition is the type of argument that could make it pass the bean counters. Apart from that operating Phantoms means that the Essex class carrier has fewer flight operations during the day given the plane's greater endurance and ability to provide a larger protective screen around the fleet. Thus leading to greater numbers of ASW aircraft operated by the carrier. The alternative that I've closely considered is that if the RAN & the Naval Board want to use it as a strike carrier, then we would be conducting RAS every 3 to 4 days given the amount of ordinance & fuel the F 4 consumes. If you change the air group to F - 8 Crusaders & A - 4 Skyhawks than that works, unless we are able to get the Twosader into production. Your F-4 argument is reasonable to me. Is the alternative of the F-8 with the A-4 for numbers? Would a group of F-8s and A-7s be more effective? Very nicely done. My compliments to the modeler. Thanks for sharing! Regards, If we go for fun 1bigrich
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1bigrich
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Post by 1bigrich on Feb 11, 2022 12:41:39 GMT
Very nice as well. I mentioned on another board that the Vought jets were popular with red-shirts. US carrier deck crew ordnance men. (A view of the color guide is here) The USN loads planes by hand, and bombs and missile are loaded with rods attached to the front and back of the ordnance. With the Voughts' higher wings, the ordnance men could rise to the standing position to lift the bomb or missile into the rack. With other aircraft with lower wings, they had to do so from a crouched position, which was (is) more difficult... Regards,
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lordroel
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Post by lordroel on Feb 11, 2022 12:43:47 GMT
Very nice as well. I mentioned on another board that the Vought jets were popular with red-shirts. US carrier deck crew ordnance men. (A view of the color guide is here) The USN loads planes by hand, and bombs and missile are loaded with rods attached to the front and back of the ordnance. With the Voughts' higher wings, the ordnance men could rise to the standing position to lift the bomb or missile into the rack. With other aircraft with lower wings, they had to do so from a crouched position, which was (is) more difficult... Regards, So if we compare the F-8 with the F-14, the F-8 would be a better choice for the RAN if they had a Essex.
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1bigrich
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Post by 1bigrich on Feb 11, 2022 13:00:34 GMT
So if we compare the F-8 with the F-14, the F-8 would be a better choice for the RAN if they had a Essex. Think the F-14 might be too big for the Essex mods. Not in height; it's actually shorter than the F-4 Phantom, but in area and weight. The Crusader has a gross weight of 29,000 lbs while the Tomcat (F-14A) has a gross weight of 74,.349 lbs. By way of comparison, the Phantom II is 41,500 lbs. Regards,
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lordroel
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Post by lordroel on Feb 11, 2022 13:08:48 GMT
So if we compare the F-8 with the F-14, the F-8 would be a better choice for the RAN if they had a Essex. Think the F-14 might be too big for the Essex mods. Not in height; it's actually shorter than the F-4 Phantom, but in area and weight. The Crusader has a gross weight of 29,000 lbs while the Tomcat (F-14A) has a gross weight of 74,.349 lbs. By way of comparison, the Phantom II is 41,500 lbs. Regards, Also i think the F-8 is good enough for what the RAN needs.
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Post by La Rouge Beret on Feb 12, 2022 5:22:44 GMT
All very good. I like getting the chance to talk about Australian defence history, as we are a small group on an American-centric Internet. If the Soviets stay in Indonesia, then I don’t think Gorton pulls the plug on the Australian Bomb in addition to the exact circumstances for Whitlam to bloviate his way into the Labor leadership, let alone The Lodge, disappearing into mist. We would see the whole defence posture alter to counter that threat; I look at the idea of a Red Indonesia in my own Dark Earth works and all the sources and drivers point towards not just the alarm bells ringing in Canberra, but a new definition of Australia’s worst case strategic situation being made. Historically post 1965, we’ve feared the collapse of Indonesia; this is a new worst that makes that pale into comparison: we are now a frontline state. The GDP percentages I cited above? Double them. The F-111 order? Double it. Conscription? Suddenly no longer a problem. With the Soviets in place, the British are going to be leaned on to stay in Singers, the Yanks are going to go troppo and we are going to be seriously looking at what we’ve never faced in peacetime - an enemy at the gates. Following through the consequences of Red Indonesia leads to a changed Australia. With that, you can engineer your Essexes (yes, the plural is deliberate) very easily. I'll need to look at your timeline then or at least exchange notes with regards to your reference material. Likewise my notes have Australia going nuclear due to the increased threat on our doorstep, so that's going to be fun to write. The flow on impact to civil society will be interesting to and within twenty years Australia faces another threat from our near north - that's damn scarring for a generation or two. Which way are you leaning WRT the Essexes airgroup? Also Brits in Singapore means that there is no east of Suez, so the RN stays in the Big Carrier game. Guess I'm watching the year of living dangerously to get the right setting.
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Post by La Rouge Beret on Feb 12, 2022 5:25:49 GMT
Hopefully you are enjoying this conversation as much as I am, since I really like applying rigour to my assumptions within the TL. To give some more context as to the change of strategic environment for Australia ITTL, we have Operation Trikora occurring namely the Tu 16 strike against the Dutch carrier. This results in the complete loss of the carrier and damage to one of her escorts. A Soviet naval base is established at Surabaya, which hosts a submarine squadron and also a few visiting Pacific Fleet surface ships. I haven't worked out if I want Netherlands New Guinea to be handed over to Indonesia ITTL or whether the Dutch offer to fold it into Australian controlled PNG. While things cool down after this, the alarm bells ring in Russell Offices and in Cabinet. All in all Australia faces a more hostile strategic environment than OTL throughout the 60s into the 80s and this accordingly changes force structure & funding. I am also tempted to have Arthur Calwell win the 1963 election purely for the butterflies, but that I think that would also butterfly away Gough or could do at least. Consequently, I have the RAAF arguing for and purchasing F - 4 Phantom Cs in order to establish long range air superiority & to be able to escort the ordered F - 111s against Jakarta. The Navy in taking up the purchase of the Essex class carrier could IMHO argue that they can tack onto the RAAF purchase through also acquiring F - 4 Bs providing commonality of spares, some training etc. It's a 50 / 50 proposition but a joint fleet acquisition is the type of argument that could make it pass the bean counters. Apart from that operating Phantoms means that the Essex class carrier has fewer flight operations during the day given the plane's greater endurance and ability to provide a larger protective screen around the fleet. Thus leading to greater numbers of ASW aircraft operated by the carrier. The alternative that I've closely considered is that if the RAN & the Naval Board want to use it as a strike carrier, then we would be conducting RAS every 3 to 4 days given the amount of ordinance & fuel the F 4 consumes. If you change the air group to F - 8 Crusaders & A - 4 Skyhawks than that works, unless we are able to get the Twosader into production. Your F-4 argument is reasonable to me. Is the alternative of the F-8 with the A-4 for numbers? Would a group of F-8s and A-7s be more effective? Very nicely done. My compliments to the modeler. Thanks for sharing! Regards, Glad to see that you are a man of taste as well! Any TL where I get to keep the Crusader taking off and landing on decks is fun, particularly when you think about how both the MN & RAN FAA could work together to get the most out of an ageing platform with the F - 8. One thing that would need to happen is acquiring a BVR capability, as Tom Clancy demonstrated in 'Red Storm Rising.' While that capability is provided to a limited extent with the radar guided AIM 9 or adopting the French Matra R.530. I'd prefer something that has more range in the fleet defence role. So a F - 8 Crusader & A 7 Corsair wing would be a good choice, given the commonality of parts between the two fast jets. One option that I could see is that noting the timeframe that Australia may even get our F - 8s modified to fit the J 75 similar to the Avon Sabre. Alternatively, if we went the F - 4 Phantom route I can't see two fast jets - it would just be the one. Horses for courses IMHO - either something similar to the French carriers Clem & Foch or something unique again.
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Post by La Rouge Beret on Feb 12, 2022 5:26:33 GMT
Your F-4 argument is reasonable to me. Is the alternative of the F-8 with the A-4 for numbers? Would a group of F-8s and A-7s be more effective? Very nicely done. My compliments to the modeler. Thanks for sharing! Regards, If we go for fun 1bigrich That would be a fun paint scheme, although I always preferred the older RN style FAA camouflage.
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1bigrich
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Post by 1bigrich on Feb 12, 2022 12:07:57 GMT
Glad to see that you are a man of taste as well! Any TL where I get to keep the Crusader taking off and landing on decks is fun, particularly when you think about how both the MN & RAN FAA could work together to get the most out of an ageing platform with the F - 8. One thing that would need to happen is acquiring a BVR capability, as Tom Clancy demonstrated in 'Red Storm Rising.' While that capability is provided to a limited extent with the radar guided AIM 9 or adopting the French Matra R.530. I'd prefer something that has more range in the fleet defence role. So a F - 8 Crusader & A 7 Corsair wing would be a good choice, given the commonality of parts between the two fast jets. One option that I could see is that noting the timeframe that Australia may even get our F - 8s modified to fit the J 75 similar to the Avon Sabre. Alternatively, if we went the F - 4 Phantom route I can't see two fast jets - it would just be the one. Horses for courses IMHO - either something similar to the French carriers Clem & Foch or something unique again. I've wondered if F-8s had more users maybe there would be possibility of improving radar, such as the Kiwi A-4s getting the APG-66 of the F-16 (similar, the RNZAF version had a maritime mode). I know the French F-8s eventually got the AN/APQ-124 radar but I don't know how improved it was (if at all) over the original AN/APQ-84 or -94. But fitting something lie APG-66 would come too late for your RAN Essex.
It would be great to see an Australian chapter of the Crusader Association....
Regards,
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1bigrich
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Post by 1bigrich on Feb 12, 2022 12:09:50 GMT
That would be a fun paint scheme, although I always preferred the older RN style FAA camouflage. Those disruptive schemes usually blend to grey at range, but I agree, the RN style FAA is classic! It just looks better. Regards,
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Post by La Rouge Beret on Apr 8, 2022 6:15:42 GMT
I'm at a pinch point with my story plotting and thought I would share my problem here with the learned Board members.
At a very high level my story outline has the Indonesians conducting Operation Trikora in 1960 leading to Indonesian Air Force Tu 16 Badgers attacking the Dutch carrier Karel Doorman and either damaging or sinking her. This acts as the catalyst for the decision by the RAN & cabinet to accept the American offer of an Essex class carrier.
However, to my mind there would be a capability gap until Australia enters service some time in 1963 / 1964 post SCB 27C refit. In the interim, how likely is it that Sydney or Melbourne could be offered to the Dutch to replace their lost or damaged carrier, and in exchange the RAN would then operate Albion or Bulwark under loan until Australia joins the fleet? This would provide the RAN experience in operating from a larger deck with more aircraft & a larger ship's company, thereby acting as a stepping stone to an Essex class entering service.
This then creates two issues for me, namely that the fighters embarked with the interim carrier would need to be upgraded from Melbourne's Sea Venoms to another type reflecting the more adverse threat environment. My thought is that the A - 4 Skyhawk would be chosen in lieu of other available types, since it provides a reasonable light fighter capability & would then form an integral part of the new carrier's airgroup. Allowing the Crusader squadron & OCU to enter service in a staggered fashion, partially easing the training and integration bottlenecks. Also how likely is it that the RAN FAA would be able to operate two fast jets at the one time? This probably leads to Nirimba acting as the second Naval Air Station.
Otherwise if no interim carrier is selected, the Sea Venom squadron might be augmented with F-9F Cougars or FJ 2 Furies on loan from the USN to perform the day fighter role and also adding AEW capable Gannets to the air group. Which option do you think is more likely?
Finally, while my original notes had the Indonesians installing surface to surface missiles in East Timor, as well as along the north eastern corner of Sumatra facing Singapore. Ideally, I would like my potential story to have a stronger Australian flavour to it, so I'm trying to work out how that could occur (i.e. Australia is the only carrier on station at the start of the crisis) or, is there another location that could be used that would directly threaten our SLOCs and / or continental Australia?
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lordroel
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Post by lordroel on Apr 8, 2022 7:55:39 GMT
I'm at a pinch point with my story plotting and thought I would share my problem here with the learned Board members. At a very high level my story outline has the Indonesians conducting Operation Trikora in 1960 leading to Indonesian Air Force Tu 16 Badgers attacking the Dutch carrier Karel Doorman and either damaging or sinking her. This acts as the catalyst for the decision by the RAN & cabinet to accept the American offer of an Essex class carrier. However, to my mind there would be a capability gap until Australia enters service some time in 1963 / 1964 post SCB 27C refit. In the interim, how likely is it that Sydney or Melbourne could be offered to the Dutch to replace their lost or damaged carrier, and in exchange the RAN would then operate Albion or Bulwark under loan until Australia joins the fleet? This would provide the RAN experience in operating from a larger deck with more aircraft & a larger ship's company, thereby acting as a stepping stone to an Essex class entering service. This then creates two issues for me, namely that the fighters embarked with the interim carrier would need to be upgraded from Melbourne's Sea Venoms to another type reflecting the more adverse threat environment. My thought is that the A - 4 Skyhawk would be chosen in lieu of other available types, since it provides a reasonable light fighter capability & would then form an integral part of the new carrier's airgroup. Allowing the Crusader squadron & OCU to enter service in a staggered fashion, partially easing the training and integration bottlenecks. Also how likely is it that the RAN FAA would be able to operate two fast jets at the one time? This probably leads to Nirimba acting as the second Naval Air Station. Otherwise if no interim carrier is selected, the Sea Venom squadron might be augmented with F-9F Cougars or FJ 2 Furies on loan from the USN to perform the day fighter role and also adding AEW capable Gannets to the air group. Which option do you think is more likely? Finally, while my original notes had the Indonesians installing surface to surface missiles in East Timor, as well as along the north eastern corner of Sumatra facing Singapore. Ideally, I would like my potential story to have a stronger Australian flavour to it, so I'm trying to work out how that could occur (i.e. Australia is the only carrier on station at the start of the crisis) or, is there another location that could be used that would directly threaten our SLOCs and / or continental Australia? There is one member who has aTL in a similar situation as yours, you could ask him.
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simon darkshade
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Post by simon darkshade on Apr 8, 2022 9:01:44 GMT
I’d go for damage to Karel Doorman, as a sinking and large casualty event has the capacity to escalate; escalation at this time means The Bomb. Loaning Sydney to the Dutch is a go; similarly, getting either of the RN Centaurs is doable. Long term, the Dutch could get Leviathan finished for them with the Yanks footing the bill. This all sets up an RAN Essex, but I’d caution against pumping up the Indonesians into too much of a threat. Already, without adding SSMs near Singers, you’re going to see more nuclear armed RAF bombers at Singapore plus a full carrier presence. The situation could have the Aussies being the southern part of a pincer against Djakarta. The elephant in the room is that with that large a threat, we’d go nuclear. The carriers would be less of the frontline weapon then in favour of whatever bomber we get; you’d get a metric ton of brownie points if you made that the TSR-2.
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1bigrich
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Post by 1bigrich on Apr 8, 2022 16:31:53 GMT
I'm at a pinch point with my story plotting and thought I would share my problem here with the learned Board members. At a very high level my story outline has the Indonesians conducting Operation Trikora in 1960 leading to Indonesian Air Force Tu 16 Badgers attacking the Dutch carrier Karel Doorman and either damaging or sinking her. This acts as the catalyst for the decision by the RAN & cabinet to accept the American offer of an Essex class carrier. However, to my mind there would be a capability gap until Australia enters service some time in 1963 / 1964 post SCB 27C refit. In the interim, how likely is it that Sydney or Melbourne could be offered to the Dutch to replace their lost or damaged carrier, and in exchange the RAN would then operate Albion or Bulwark under loan until Australia joins the fleet? This would provide the RAN experience in operating from a larger deck with more aircraft & a larger ship's company, thereby acting as a stepping stone to an Essex class entering service. This then creates two issues for me, namely that the fighters embarked with the interim carrier would need to be upgraded from Melbourne's Sea Venoms to another type reflecting the more adverse threat environment. My thought is that the A - 4 Skyhawk would be chosen in lieu of other available types, since it provides a reasonable light fighter capability & would then form an integral part of the new carrier's airgroup. Allowing the Crusader squadron & OCU to enter service in a staggered fashion, partially easing the training and integration bottlenecks. Also how likely is it that the RAN FAA would be able to operate two fast jets at the one time? This probably leads to Nirimba acting as the second Naval Air Station. Otherwise if no interim carrier is selected, the Sea Venom squadron might be augmented with F-9F Cougars or FJ 2 Furies on loan from the USN to perform the day fighter role and also adding AEW capable Gannets to the air group. Which option do you think is more likely? Finally, while my original notes had the Indonesians installing surface to surface missiles in East Timor, as well as along the north eastern corner of Sumatra facing Singapore. Ideally, I would like my potential story to have a stronger Australian flavour to it, so I'm trying to work out how that could occur (i.e. Australia is the only carrier on station at the start of the crisis) or, is there another location that could be used that would directly threaten our SLOCs and / or continental Australia?
Sounds reasonable. Fundamentally agree with Simon. Sydney should not be a problem; perhaps the Dutch take her while Doorman is being repaired and then keep her as a second carrier. I think the A-4 makes sense, armed with Sidewinders. A couple alternatives I could see would be the F9F, as you suggest, and instead of the Fj-2, the FJ-4b, the fighter bomber version of the Fury. It wasn't retired until the late 60s. As for the problem, the Indonesians could use Osa fast attack missile boats to control the sea lanes around their Islands, including the Straits of Malacca and routes on which shipping will pass to Australia. My thoughts,
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1bigrich
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Post by 1bigrich on Apr 8, 2022 16:33:41 GMT
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