stevep
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Post by stevep on Sept 14, 2017 19:53:36 GMT
The hurricanes in the Caribbean made me think of the possible future impact. As global warming increases the areas of sea water hot enough for hurricanes to grow in how bad would it become before some regions would either have to be abandon totally or grossly downgraded in population and economic importance?
For instance in the Caribbean, which is the most well known [at least in the west]. If you got say a single Irma class hurricane every year on average, possibly more lesser storms as well would some of the more exposed and smaller Caribbean islands have to be evacuated? Similarly would you see a significant decline in population and economic activity in areas such as Florida, New Orleans and parts of Texas say? If nothing else frequent floods and high winds are likely to see some people and companies decide to move because of the quality of life even before we start considering increasing insurance costs.
Similarly with other areas such as the Bay of Bengal, SE Asia and parts of the coast of China. A lot of potentially vulnerable areas here as cyclones and typhoons become more destructive. In some of those areas death tolls could increase massively as you have many very poor and already vulnerable people. In others having to move a lot of people and industries away from the coastlines could cause a serious hitch in even China's economic development.
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lordroel
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Post by lordroel on Sept 14, 2017 22:51:34 GMT
The hurricanes in the Caribbean made me think of the possible future impact. As global warming increases the areas of sea water hot enough for hurricanes to grow in how bad would it become before some regions would either have to be abandon totally or grossly downgraded in population and economic importance? For instance in the Caribbean, which is the most well known [at least in the west]. If you got say a single Irma class hurricane every year on average, possibly more lesser storms as well would some of the more exposed and smaller Caribbean islands have to be evacuated? Similarly would you see a significant decline in population and economic activity in areas such as Florida, New Orleans and parts of Texas say? If nothing else frequent floods and high winds are likely to see some people and companies decide to move because of the quality of life even before we start considering increasing insurance costs. Similarly with other areas such as the Bay of Bengal, SE Asia and parts of the coast of China. A lot of potentially vulnerable areas here as cyclones and typhoons become more destructive. In some of those areas death tolls could increase massively as you have many very poor and already vulnerable people. In others having to move a lot of people and industries away from the coastlines could cause a serious hitch in even China's economic development. Some of those Caribbean islands will be evacuated and turend into nature resarvations.
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stevep
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Post by stevep on Sept 15, 2017 14:14:00 GMT
The hurricanes in the Caribbean made me think of the possible future impact. As global warming increases the areas of sea water hot enough for hurricanes to grow in how bad would it become before some regions would either have to be abandon totally or grossly downgraded in population and economic importance? For instance in the Caribbean, which is the most well known [at least in the west]. If you got say a single Irma class hurricane every year on average, possibly more lesser storms as well would some of the more exposed and smaller Caribbean islands have to be evacuated? Similarly would you see a significant decline in population and economic activity in areas such as Florida, New Orleans and parts of Texas say? If nothing else frequent floods and high winds are likely to see some people and companies decide to move because of the quality of life even before we start considering increasing insurance costs. Similarly with other areas such as the Bay of Bengal, SE Asia and parts of the coast of China. A lot of potentially vulnerable areas here as cyclones and typhoons become more destructive. In some of those areas death tolls could increase massively as you have many very poor and already vulnerable people. In others having to move a lot of people and industries away from the coastlines could cause a serious hitch in even China's economic development. Some of those Caribbean islands will be evacuated and turend into nature resarvations. Possibly although there might not be much nature on them.
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lordroel
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Post by lordroel on Sept 15, 2017 17:40:09 GMT
Some of those Caribbean islands will be evacuated and turend into nature resarvations. Possibly although there might not be much nature on them. Its beter than having people living there.
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spanishspy
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Post by spanishspy on Sept 18, 2017 6:52:51 GMT
Some nations in the Pacific are worried about their countries no longer being above water. I can see similar happening in the Caribbean.
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stevep
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Post by stevep on Sept 18, 2017 9:39:01 GMT
Some nations in the Pacific are worried about their countries no longer being above water. I can see similar happening in the Caribbean. Possibly although I think relatively few of the Caribbean islands are as low as the ones of concern in the Pacific and Indian Oceans. However flooding of low lying areas is likely to be an increasing problem, whether permanently by sea level rises or occasionally by stronger/more frequent storm surges and the like.
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stevep
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Post by stevep on Sept 18, 2017 9:43:05 GMT
Possibly although there might not be much nature on them. Its beter than having people living there. Do you mean environmentally or in terms of the risk to people if they stay? [Guessing the latter]. Those islands are home to the people so they may be reluctant to leave while, with those who aren't still colonies, which are the vast bulk, who ends up housing the people? Can't see Trump welcoming a few million more Latinos from Cuba or blacks from Haiti for instance and the US is really the only one likely to have the resources to take in large numbers. [Possibly Canada as an alternative?] Europe is closing its doors and mainly concerned with inflow from Africa and the ME.
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lordroel
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Post by lordroel on Oct 8, 2017 14:48:47 GMT
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