futurist
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Post by futurist on Jun 19, 2016 1:18:33 GMT
Very random question for this forum, but here goes:
What if Somalia would have waited until the late 1980s or early 1990s (when Ethiopia was presumably weaker than it was in 1977) to invade the Ogaden Region of Ethiopia?
Would Somalia have been likely to win its war with Ethiopia in this scenario?
Indeed, any thoughts on this?
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futurist
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Post by futurist on Jun 20, 2016 4:04:19 GMT
Does anyone here know a lot about African history?
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lordroel
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Post by lordroel on Jun 20, 2016 13:39:44 GMT
Does anyone here know a lot about African history? No and i would assume that Somalia will still turn into the country we now today even if it goes to war in the Late 1980s with War With Ethiopia. |
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Post by futurist on Jun 22, 2016 21:36:28 GMT
Does anyone here know a lot about African history? No and i would assume that Somalia will still turn into the country we now today even if it goes to war in the Late 1980s with War With Ethiopia. Maybe. However, the Somalian victory in a war with Ethiopia might strengthen Somali nationalism and unity and thus might prevent the break-up and disintegration of Somalia. |
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Post by lordroel on Jun 23, 2016 3:23:10 GMT
No and i would assume that Somalia will still turn into the country we now today even if it goes to war in the Late 1980s with War With Ethiopia. Maybe. However, the Somalian victory in a war with Ethiopia might strengthen Somali nationalism and unity and thus might prevent the break-up and disintegration of Somalia. It could but Siad Barre must not be the person in charge of the country as he was one of the main reasson why the country turned out as it is toady. |
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Post by futurist on Jun 23, 2016 5:58:21 GMT
Maybe. However, the Somalian victory in a war with Ethiopia might strengthen Somali nationalism and unity and thus might prevent the break-up and disintegration of Somalia. It could but Siad Barre must not be the person in charge of the country as he was one of the main reasson why the country turned out as it is toady. What about getting rid of Siad Barre in some kind of accident shortly after Somalia's victory in this war against Ethiopia, though? |
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Post by lordroel on Jun 23, 2016 13:42:47 GMT
It could but Siad Barre must not be the person in charge of the country as he was one of the main reasson why the country turned out as it is toady. What about getting rid of Siad Barre in some kind of accident shortly after Somalia's victory in this war against Ethiopia, though? Is it a real accident or somebody kills him accident. |
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Post by futurist on Jun 23, 2016 16:43:54 GMT
What about getting rid of Siad Barre in some kind of accident shortly after Somalia's victory in this war against Ethiopia, though? Is it a real accident or somebody kills him accident. It doesn't really matter--does it? |
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Post by lordroel on Jun 23, 2016 16:45:35 GMT
Is it a real accident or somebody kills him accident. It doesn't really matter--does it? Is the person who becomes in charge more democratic or another Siad Barre. |
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Post by futurist on Jun 23, 2016 17:10:17 GMT
It doesn't really matter--does it? Is the person who becomes in charge more democratic or another Siad Barre. Probably not more democratic, but rather more sensible and pragmatic than Siad Barre was. |
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Post by lordroel on Jun 23, 2016 17:12:40 GMT
Will Somalia if they win annex Ethiopia or install a pro-Somalia government.
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Post by futurist on Jun 23, 2016 17:20:51 GMT
Will Somalia if they win annex Ethiopia or install a pro-Somalia government. They will only annex the Somali-majority areas of Ethiopia:  Indeed, they probably wouldn't care about what happens to the rest of Ethiopia. |
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Post by lordroel on Jun 23, 2016 17:26:59 GMT
Will Somalia if they win annex Ethiopia or install a pro-Somalia government. They will only annex the Somali-majority areas of Ethiopia: Indeed, they probably wouldn't care about what happens to the rest of Ethiopia. And free Eritrea most likely also. |
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Post by futurist on Jun 23, 2016 17:31:58 GMT
They will only annex the Somali-majority areas of Ethiopia: Indeed, they probably wouldn't care about what happens to the rest of Ethiopia. And free Eritrea most likely also. I think that the Eritreans can free themselves from Ethiopian rule without any Somalian help, though. |
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Post by lordroel on Jun 23, 2016 17:43:17 GMT
And free Eritrea most likely also. I think that the Eritreans can free themselves from Ethiopian rule without any Somalian help, though. But if Somalia wins the war they would most likely revolt in the hoops that a defeated Ethiopia is not able to stop them from becoming a independent country. |
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