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Post by american2006 on Jul 4, 2021 14:20:15 GMT
I would definitely vote for Tulsi Gabbard is she ran for President. She seems to be less radicalized than the other Democrats in her party. I would too, but she won't get the nomination or win the election. Moderates don't turn out voters, radicals do
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Post by american2006 on Jul 10, 2021 19:05:15 GMT
2022: The road to the midterms
The summer and early fall of 2022 saw Democrats pull ahead in midterm polling, in no small part from international affairs.
Russia was getting more aggressive in Europe, especially with the Ukraine. Having previously invaded a portion of the country previously. They now began to publicly infiltrate Ukrainian offices, public and private. This earned the scorn of the American people writ-large and the Democrats and moderate Republicans in office. Secretary of State Pompeo desperately tried to keep the Russians from doing too much damage in Ukraine.
Meanwhile, in terms of polling, Senate Majority Leader McConnell and Speaker McCarthy where very discouraged. While it was practically guaranteed that the Senate would stay in GOP hands, it would be significantly thinned. As for the House, it looked like Democrats would gain between 80 and 90 seats, and the majority. However, Libertarians looked poised to maybe win a second house seat in Indiana.
As per Governorships, several looked very vulnerable. Term limited Governor Larry Hogan, Republican of Maryland, didn't have a clear successor and the seat occupied by another term limited Governor, Republican Doug Ducey of Arizona, also looked likely to flip. Georgia and Florida, Iowa and Ohio, Alaska, all looked competitive to flip. However, Democrats where defending two vulnerable governorships, in Kansas and Michigan.
Further, it was suspected that many potentially 2024 Presidential candidates where in the midst of the 2022 candidate field.
Finally, two very significant things occurred in terms of leadership. Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi announced her retirement from both her Leadership position and from representing California's 12th Congressional District. As Leader, she endorsed Hakeem Jeffries, a Progressive and 4th Highest Democrat in the House. In the Senate, Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer lost a primary challenge to Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who ran on his failures as a leader in the Senate contrasted with AOC's more populist approach.
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Post by american2006 on Jul 10, 2021 22:03:05 GMT
2022: The road to the midterms The summer and early fall of 2022 saw Democrats pull ahead in midterm polling, in no small part from international affairs. Russia was getting more aggressive in Europe, especially with the Ukraine. Having previously invaded a portion of the country previously. They now began to publicly infiltrate Ukrainian offices, public and private. This earned the scorn of the American people writ-large and the Democrats and moderate Republicans in office. Secretary of State Pompeo desperately tried to keep the Russians from doing too much damage in Ukraine. Meanwhile, in terms of polling, Senate Majority Leader McConnell and Speaker McCarthy where very discouraged. While it was practically guaranteed that the Senate would stay in GOP hands, it would be significantly thinned. As for the House, it looked like Democrats would gain between 80 and 90 seats, and the majority. However, Libertarians looked poised to maybe win a second house seat in Indiana. Note: This is not complete yet. I will likely expand this.
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gillan1220
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Post by gillan1220 on Jul 11, 2021 13:23:34 GMT
I will also make an entry for the Philippines election in May 2022.
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Post by american2006 on Jul 11, 2021 13:28:52 GMT
I will also make an entry for the Philippines election in May 2022. Good, good.
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gillan1220
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I've been depressed recently. Slow replies coming in the next few days.
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Post by gillan1220 on Jul 11, 2021 13:57:36 GMT
I will also make an entry for the Philippines election in May 2022. Good, good. I'm gonna ask for help from TheRomanSlayer for this.
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gillan1220
Fleet admiral
I've been depressed recently. Slow replies coming in the next few days.
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Post by gillan1220 on Jul 11, 2021 13:57:56 GMT
I will also make an entry for the Philippines election in May 2022. Good, good. I'm gonna ask for help from TheRomanSlayer for this.
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Post by american2006 on Jul 11, 2021 23:16:07 GMT
2022 Midterm Elections The fate of the House, Senate, and State Governorships on the line Background: Democrats needed a net gain of 10 Senate seats and around 80 House of Representatives seats to obtain a majority. On the line, the next two years. Many remembered the stagnation when Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi blocked much of Trump's policies.
6:00 PM: Polls close in parts of Indiana and Kentucky. Republicans led in the Senate races in both states, but they remain uncalled as the Western parts of both states still had polls open.
7:00 PM: Polls close in the remainder of Kentucky and Indiana as well as Vermont, Virginia, Georgia, South Carolina, parts of New Hampshire and Florida. Vermont's Senate race, where incumbent Patrick Leahy retired, was called for Democrats. Attorney General of Vermont T.J. Donovan won the race unopposed. Republicans led in all other Senate and Gubernatorial races.
7:07 PM: Vermont Governor Phil Scott (R) wins re-election in a landslide.
7:23 PM: U.S. Senator Tim Scott (R) wins re-election in South Carolina. Senator Rand Paul wins re-election in Vermont.
7:30 PM: Polls close in Ohio, West Virginia, North Carolina and the rest of New Hampshire. Republicans led in all races.
7:39 PM: Former U.S. Senator Kelly Ayotte (R) is defeated in her bid for the New Hampshire Governorship by former U.S. Representative Chris Pappas. Incumbent Governor Chris Sununu retired to run against U.S. Senator Maggie Hassan in a race that remains uncalled.
7:54 PM: The South Carolina Gubernatorial Election is called for Republicans.
7:57 PM: Democrats take the lead in the Florida Senate and Gubernatorial races, 3 minutes in advance of polls closing in the Florida Panhandle.
8:00 PM: Polls close in the remainder of Florida and New Hampshire, all of Maine, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, Michigan, Tennessee, Alabama, Mississippi, Oklahoma, Illinois, and Missouri and portions of the Texas, Kansas, and the Dakotas. Connecticut and Maryland's Senate races are called for Democrats and Oklahoma and Alabama's Senate races is called for Republicans. Republicans lead in Pennsylvania, Kansas, both Dakotas, Senate races. In terms of gubernatorial races, the Democrats win Maryland, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Maine, Gubernatorial Races while Republicans win Gubernatorial races in Alabama, Tennessee, Oklahoma, and Massachusetts and lead in Pennsylvania and Michigan. Republicans pull ahead in the Florida Senate and Gubernatorial races.
8:13 PM: Indiana's Senate race is called for Republicans.
8:21 PM: Florida's Senate race is called for Marco Rubio, who wins by a narrow 1.4%.
8:25 PM: Democrats pull ahead in the Pennsylvania Gubernatorial race.
8:28 PM: Democrats pull ahead in the Pennsylvania Senate race.
8:30 PM: Polls close in Arkansas. Republicans win all Arkansas races.
8:41 PM: Florida's Gubernatorial race is called for Ron DeSantis
8:52 PM: Democrats pull ahead in Georgia's Gubernatorial Race.
9:00 PM: Polls close in Louisiana, New York, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Nebraska, Colorado, New Mexico, Arizona, Wyoming, and the remainder of Texas, Kansas, and the dakotas. Louisiana Senate Race and Senate races in Kansas and the Dakotas is called for Republicans. Republicans led in most of the new uncalled races.
9:03 PM: The Kansas Gubernatorial race sees the Democrat incumbent Laura Kelly pull ahead.
9:07 PM: New York and Illinois's Senate and Gubernatorial races are called for Democrats.
9:11 PM: Democrats pull ahead in Michigan.
9:15 PM: Democrats pull ahead in Wisconsin
9:21 PM: Democrats pull ahead in Minnesota
9:24 PM: Democrats pull ahead in North Carolina
9:27 PM: Democrats pull ahead in Arizona.
9:30 PM: Several Great Plains gubernatorial races are called for Republicans.
9:36 PM: Democrats pull ahead in Georgia's Senate race.
9:41 PM: Georgia's Gubernatorial Race is called for Democrats.
9:43 PM: New Hampshire's Senate race sees Democrats pull ahead.
9:46 PM: Democrats pull ahead in Ohio.
9:48 PM: Kansas Gubernatorial race is called for Democrats.
9:51 PM: Texas's Gubernatorial race is called for Republicans.
10:00 PM: Polls close in Montana, Utah, and Nevada as well as parts of Idaho and Oregon. Utah's Senate race is called for Republicans, Republicans lead in Idaho while Democrats lead in Nevada and Iowa.
10:07 PM: Senate races in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania are called for Democrats.
10:11 PM: Republicans re-take the lead in New Hampshire's Senate race, which is called for Chris Sununu.
10:19 PM: 4 Governorships in the Rust Belt states of Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania are called for Democrats.
10:24 PM: North Carolina's Senate race is called for Democrats
10:28 PM: Georgia's Senate race is called for Democrats
10:33 PM: Democrats pull ahead in Missouri's Senate race.
10:37 PM: Michelle Lujan Grisham, Pete Buttigieg's running mate in 2020, wins re-election to a second term as Governor of New Mexico.
10:42 PM: Ohio's Senate and Gubernatorial races are called for Democrats.
10:46 PM: Colorado's Senate and Gubernatorial race is called for Democrats.
10:51 PM: Nevada's Senate race is called for Democrats.
10:54 PM: Nevada's Gubernatorial race is called for Democrats.
11:00 PM: Polls close in the rest of the lower 48 states. Idaho's Senate and Gubernatorial races are called for Republicans while all West Coast State races are called for Democrats.
11:06 PM: Enough House races are called to show that Hakeem Jeffries will replace Kevin McCarthy as Speaker of the House.
11:11 PM: Arizona's Senate race and Gubernatorial race are each called for Democrats.
11:16 PM: Following vote dumps in Iowa and Missouri, Republicans pull ahead. Races in both those states are called for Republicans.
Midnight: Polls close in Hawaii and most of Alaska. In Hawaii, both races are called for Democrats. Mike Dunleavy appears to be down in the race, while Murkowski was up in Ranked Choice Voting in Alaska to a Trump-backed challenger.
1:00 AM: Polls close in parts of the Aleutian Islands, the final open polls in America. Lisa Murkowski, a Republican, loses to fellow Republican Kelly Tshibaka, while Mike Dunleavy narrowly wins re-election.
Final Results Senate: Democrats +5 House: Democrats +83 Governorships: Democrats +5
Newly Elected Senators and Governors Senators Mo Brooks (R-AL) Kelly Tshibaka (R-AK) Ruben Gallego (D-AZ) Nikema Williams (D-GA) Pat Grassley (R-IA) Eric Grietchins (R-MO) Chris Sununu (R-NH) Pat McCrory (R-NC) Tim Ryan (D-OH) John Fetterman (D-PA) Sarah Godlewski (D-WI) Governors Katie Hobbs (D-AZ) Sarah H. Sanders (R-AR) Stacey Abrams (D-GA) Peter Franchot (D-MD) Chris Pappas (D-NH) John Cranley (D-OH) Ted Wheeler (D-OR) Josh Shapiro (D-PA)
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Post by american2006 on Jul 23, 2021 19:05:53 GMT
Midterm Aftermath: November 2022 to March 2023The effects of the midterms where vast. The second blue wave year in a row gave the Democrats a majority of governorships for the first time in a decade. It also saw the very beginnings of the 2024 Presidential Election. As it happened, the Democrats list of candidates thus far included Senator Kamala Harris of California and Secretary of Defense Tulsi Gabbard of Hawaii. However, that would change very quickly. Only days after her win in the midterms, Senator-elect Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announced her candidacy for President of the United States. No one really gave her a serious shot and Sen. Harris remained the far and away frontrunner. On the Republican side, all eyes where on Mike Pence, who formed an exploratory committee in November 2022. However, not all Republicans would wait for Pence to announce his candidacy or to make a statement. Texas Governor Greg Abbott, himself fresh off re-election, announced his candidacy for President and promised to lead America as he had led Texas. Further, Senator Ted Cruz considered launching a run for the nation's highest office. Florida Senator Marco Rubio and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis both where also considering runs. However, soon, a new frontrunner in the race would appear. In January 2023, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced that oil production in Canada would close over the course of the next 7 years, and that pipelines shipping oil to the United States would be closed. Trudeau, facing a challenge from his left and the New Democratic Party (the Canadian Conservative Party's polling numbers where shameful and on par with Bloc Quebecois nationally), closed the pipeline to shore up support for his government in an upcoming election later that year. However, in America, many on the right became extraordinary angry. One state Governor would rise to increased prominence after her state's economy was destroyed by this move on the part of the Trudeau Government - S.D. Governor Kristi Noem. Noem announced that the State Legislature had voted and she had signed into law a piece of legislation condemning Canada and Trudeau for doing serious damage to the state's economy. Noem made her voice heard and appealed to the common American people in stops between flights between Pierre, Washington, and Ottawa. She was on multiple occasions called before the United States Senate to testify on the effects of the pipeline's shutting down. Further, the national economy was hurt by this, with gas prices rising in a dramatic fashion. President Trump worked with Senator James Lankford (R-OK) and Representative Yvette Herrell (R-NM-2) to pass the Oil Production and Price Stability Act of 2021, which gave grants to Oil & Gas and created the 20 Cent Rule, which stopped gas corporations from raising gas prices by more then 20 cents a week, insulating and stabilizing the Oil and Gas field. With the economy on a downward spiral, Noem became a frontrunner in a race where the Trumpist man (or in this case, woman) wins. She announced her candidacy on March 5th, 2023, and in polling she was launched to the 40-45% polling range. And with the first Republican Primary Debate scheduled for July, her candidacy would crack the nutshell wide open.
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Post by simon darkshade on Jul 24, 2021 1:51:03 GMT
I really don’t see Trump nominating a Democratic woman as SecDef.
Trudeau ending oil production is similarly not a viable result of a world without the pandemic.
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gillan1220
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Post by gillan1220 on Jul 24, 2021 4:57:50 GMT
I really don’t see Trump nominating a Democratic woman as SecDef. Trudeau ending oil production is similarly not a viable result of a world without the pandemic. Who would be the likely candidate for SecDef then? Trudeau would not end the oil production at all.
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Post by simon darkshade on Jul 24, 2021 5:20:24 GMT
I’m not sure Ester would be fired on schedule without the combination of Covid and the Floyd riots. Given the nature of the Trump Administration, it is unclear who he’s pick, as he made a virtue of an unprecedented high turnover. What I can say is that it is darn unlikely to be a Democrat without a very convincing argument to the contrary.
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Post by american2006 on Jul 24, 2021 16:36:50 GMT
I really don’t see Trump nominating a Democratic woman as SecDef. Trudeau ending oil production is similarly not a viable result of a world without the pandemic. The reasoning with Gabbard is that Trump actually does like her and even interviewed her for a job. As for Trudeau, he primarily did it to shore up the bote
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Post by simon darkshade on Jul 24, 2021 16:54:04 GMT
Not sure what the bote is, but nothing justifies deep-sixing the economy.
Trump and Gabbard shared some views, but there is a universe between that and appointing a Democrat SecDef. Considering she supported Sanders, it would be very difficult to see her accepting. That they are both anti interventionist isn’t enough.
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Post by american2006 on Jul 24, 2021 17:35:53 GMT
Not sure what the bote is, but nothing justifies deep-sixing the economy. Trump and Gabbard shared some views, but there is a universe between that and appointing a Democrat SecDef. Considering she supported Sanders, it would be very difficult to see her accepting. That they are both anti interventionist isn’t enough. I meant vote, the right wing of Canada is in ruins even post-COVID without COVID they have little to know chance. abcnews.go.com/Politics/democratic-rep-tulsi-gabbard-consideration-trump-cabinet/story?id=43696303She was considered for the position, her supporting Sanders is really not the biggest deal. They had similar policies in Syria and she didn't back the Trump Impeachment (the first one)
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