Thirty-Five
The remainder of NATO – with the exceptions of Greece, Turkey & Italy - mobilised on August 1st when the actions committed by Russia were fully exposed for the world to see. It hadn’t taken much for Western intelligence services to figure out that the latest series of disasters were deliberate actions that had been carried out on Moscow’s behalf.
The scenes that took place in the countryside of northern Germany in those following days were ones of chaos. Thirty-seven people had died in the tragic incident, a direct result of actions undertaken by the GRU at the behest of the Kremlin. Amateur and professional footage of ambulances carrying away the wounded and of investigators scouring the remains of the wreckage were shown across Western television news channels, with this incident in Germany gaining far more attention than the equally tragic destruction of the Norwegian oil rig in the North Sea. . The whole thing had been meant to look like an accident, a misfortunate which would distract Germany away from the ongoing international crisis, but this was not to be. There was no evidence of a signal failure anywhere along the routes taken by either train, nor was there any evidence of human error amongst the train drivers which would have caused the incident. The specifics of how such an incident could have been caused were debatable, but almost immediately after the incident, Germany’s Federal Intelligence Service – similar to the FBI – the BND, began investigating the train crash as a possible terrorist incident. They were soon able to match the faces of several individuals who had been caught by surveillance cameras near the site of the crash to footage taken at Stuttgart International Airport of group of military-aged men entering Germany via a commercial flight from Kiev. Those individuals had been questioned upon their arrival in Germany at customs & immigration, and they stated that they were members of a Ukrainian rock-band arriving to tour Western Europe; their unlikely cover story had worked and they had been granted access to Germany.
Members of Germany’s GSG-9 police special operations unit raided a suspected safe-house near Munich where the perpetrators of the assault were believed to have gone to ground. A number of personnel from the BND were also present as the raid took place, but the heavily-armed GSG-9 men went in first, expecting the Russians to put up a fight. As expected, the trio of men inside the house fired back with submachine guns at the assault team, leading to two deaths amongst the German police assaulters. All three of the suspected Russian commandos were killed in the assault, leaving Allied intelligence services with no live prisoners to interrogate. Nonetheless, numerous Russian-made firearms and explosive devices were discovered when the location was searched along with large sums of cash and several false passports that the BND believed to have been issued by Russian intelligence. Russia had been behind the train incident and the lives lost were on the hands of the GRU; this was something that the German security establishment was utterly convinced of and so they felt confident enough to present their evidence to the rest of NATO through Brussels.
A number of NATO foreign ministers and secretaries, including US Secretary of State Clinton, were in Brussels, flitting about between NATO’s civilian headquarters and its military counterpart, SHAPE. Their presence was part of a last-ditch effort to bring the world back from the brink of war. Numerous meetings had taken place between representatives from almost all NATO countries along with military and intelligence personnel. The US, Britain, France, Poland and the Baltic States were trying to bring the Germans and the smaller European states to understand that war was now highly likely, in order to get them to mobilise and send their forces eastwards as the larger NATO allies had already started doing.
German intelligence officers briefed the remaining members of the alliance on what they knew about the train crash. Back in Berlin, military chiefs of staff were advising Chancellor Merkel and her cabinet on the military steps that could be taken in response; Germany had started a full-scale mobilisation shortly after the train crash, following in the footsteps of Poland, France and the United Kingdom. Soon, German forces would join their allies in large numbers in Poland to reinforce them further, with the first German Army unit to arrive being the 1st Airmobile Brigade, which was rapidly placed under the command of the US Army’s V Corps, stationed along the Polish border with Belarus. Norway, a country which bordered Russia and subsequently had been in the process of mobilising for several days now, also sent a delegation of military and intelligence officers to Brussels to brief NATO’s political representatives on what they had uncovered while investigating the explosion on their North Sea oil rig. Their evidence was somewhat less damning that what the Germans had shown, but it was still highly suspicious, with a patrol aircraft noting the presence of a Russian submarine in the area of the oil rig less than an hour before the devastating explosion, a submarine which could have carried frogmen carrying explosives. The explosives which had caused the eruption in the first place couldn’t be traced back to the GRU, but the fact that bomb residue had been found at all was damning enough, proving that whatever had happened out there had been a deliberate action and not a horribly coincidental accident. As the nation was already mobilising for war, there was little more that could be done by Oslo except for an increase in security patrols around oil rigs as well as around potential strategic targets around Norway. In an controversial measure, the Norwegian security forces also began detaining suspected Russian infiltrators and collaborators, operating under the authority of Cold War-era emergency protocols meant to defend the country from behind-the-lines attacks.
The reluctant governments of Spain, Portugal, Holland, Belgium, Denmark, the Czech Republic, and many others, followed suit.
There was no more will to resist what was now seen as inevitable; war was coming and it was better to be prepared. This sentiment was echoed in the United Kingdom when the British government had enacted Queens Order Two several days prior. Already, roads and railways across Central Europe were flooded with military traffic; virtually all German and Polish airports became military supply hubs with thousands of civilian flights being cancelled. As far as the eye could see, military vehicles trundled down every highway heading eastwards, including massive trucks built to carry tanks and armoured vehicles to the battlefield. Adding to the chaos was the suspension of most American civilian flights as the Civil Reserve Air Fleet was called up. Now, tens of thousands of Allied troops from the more reluctant European nations were also en route to Eastern Europe to join General Petraeus’ Combined Joint Task Force – East, which by now was effectively an Army-level formation, as NATO had planned during previous exercises where this scenario had been practiced. Those watching felt that the world was falling apart around them; this was all supposed to have ended when the wall came down. There wasn’t meant to be the threat of nuclear war dangling over their heads, not now in the Twenty-First Century.
NATO FORCES IN EUROPE AFTER MOBILISATION ORDERS ISSUED: US Army 173rd Airborne Brigade Combat Team – Italy-based unit
NATO Forces Norway{On the ground in northern Norway}
Norwegian Army Brigade Nord
US Marines 2nd Marine Expeditionary Brigade
Royal Marines 3rd Commando Brigade – Dutch marines attached
CJTF EASTBaltic States Forward Deployed Forces{On the ground in Estonia}Estonian Land Forces 1st Infantry Brigade
Estonian Land Forces 2nd Infantry Brigade
(US Army) 2nd Airborne Brigade Combat Team, 82nd Airborne Division
{On the ground in Latvia}Latvian Land Forces 1st Infantry Brigade
Mixed NATO Multinational Brigade East – UK-led mixed force
{On the ground in Lithuania}Lithuanian Land Forces Mechanised Infantry Brigade ‘Iron Wolf’
Counterattack Force{About to depart from the UK}
British Army 16th Air Assault Brigade
{On the ground in eastern Germany}
French & German Armies Franco-German Brigade
{On the ground in northern Poland}
US Army 2nd Stryker Cavalry Regiment
Polish Army 12TH MECHANISED DIVISION
2nd Mechanised & 7th Coastal Defence [Mechanised] & 12th Mechanised Brigade
ALLIED RAPID REACTION CORPS{UK-led multinational force covering the Polish border with Kaliningrad and in the Suwalki Gap: spread north to south}
Polish Army 16TH MECHANISED DIVISION
9th Armoured Cavalry & 15th Mechanised & 20th Mechanised Brigades
British Army 1ST ARMOURED DIVISION – German-stationed units reinforced from the UK
7th Armoured & 12th Mechanised & 20th Armoured Brigades
French Army 2nd Armored Brigade
Polish Army 6th Airborne Brigade
US Army 170th Armored Brigade Combat Team
US V CORPS{US-led multinational force covering the Polish border with Belarus: spread north to south}
Polish Army 11TH ARMOURED CAVALRY DIVISION
10th Armoured Cavalry & 17th Mechanised & 34th Armoured Cavalry Brigades
US Army 3RD INFANTRY DIVISION – recent arrivals in Europe
1st Armoured & 2nd Armoured & 3rd Infantry & 4th Infantry Brigade Combat Teams
US Army 172nd Armored Brigade Combat Team
Polish Army 1ST MECHANISED DIVISION
1st Armoured & 3rd Mechanised & 21st Infantry Brigades
German Army 1st Airmobile Brigade
GERMAN–DUTCH I CORPS{On the ground in eastern Germany and western Poland}
Dutch Army 11th Airmobile & 13th Mechanised Brigade & 43rd Mechanised Brigades
German Army 1ST PANZER DIVISION
9th Panzer Brigade & 21st Panzer Brigade
German Army 26th Airborne Brigade
German Army 10TH PANZER DIVISION
12th Panzer Brigade & 23rd Mountain Brigade
(Credit for the ORBAT goes mostly to James not myself)