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Post by lukedalton on Oct 9, 2018 23:55:23 GMT
Oh right, we can easily say officially that this is the bloodiest conflict know to man ever...and the overpopulation problem of China are 'resolved' for some long time. Black comedy a part, the entire China situation mean that Asia in general is up for trouble even if not involved directly in the fight as there will be a massive refugee and humanitarian crisis and i not include Vietnam that had seen Hanoi destroyed while fighting a war in the north against the chinese, in the south in Cambodia and suffering the air and naval attack of the american. Thailand will be in the first line of this crisis and the flare up of the situation in Cambodia (at least in OTL there were numerous military incidents with their soldiers and the Vietnamese forces) and Laos.
At all that we must add the effect of the radiation, Japan and Korea if the wind are hostile will take it in full and if we add the previous strike in the zone we can see that the many citizens develop pathologies expecially if the food situation is not resolved
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lordroel
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Post by lordroel on Oct 10, 2018 3:07:18 GMT
(257)November 1984: China The Soviet city of Vladivostok was struck by the both of them minutes later. Warning of their impact was extremely minimal. The sirens had only just begun to sound, surprising people who were used to tests occurring at pre-announced times. Workers, civilians and soldiers started to process of taking shelter where possible, just as they had done during those practice events. Then the sun exploded, twice in quick succession. The near-miss on Tashkent last month had hurt the Soviets as that city in the Uzbek SSR had soon to be evacuated and therefore effectively lost. The nuclear strikes which had hit the smaller Chita and Khabarovsk had caused immense damage to the war effort as both of them were important industrial sites in addition to the role they were playing supporting the war in China due to their positions on & near the border. Neither Tashkent, Chita nor Khabarovsk was as important as Vladivostok though. The loss of this city, which had an extensive port and military presence where it lay at the very end of the Trans-Siberian railroad on the Pacific coast, would really cause the nation and its war grave injury. Another good update James. This is going to hurth the Soviets, i guess a lot of Soviet warships and submarines belonging to the Soviet Pacific Fleet are now gone.
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stevep
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Post by stevep on Oct 10, 2018 8:48:49 GMT
James
A couple of points I forgot:
a) If the Soviets are moving Tank Armies from their western provinces I think that pretty much rules out a conventional campaign against western Europe as those would be the 2nd/3rd wave units necessary to force the breakthroughs after the initial ones in eastern Europe run out of steam. Especially since the Soviets have already weakened the latter forces a bit as part of their mutual force withdrawals. Mind you it wouldn't rule out the current Soviet [mis]leader trying that as he gets more delusional and desperate but without nukes its unlikely to work.
b) If the Soviets have occupied all of Xinjiang doesn't that mean their bordering on Tibet. Probably not considering a campaign into it because of the terrain but I suppose it might be something they could consider as another way of putting pressure on China, although it might not be worth the effort. Plus it might be a bit close to India, which could get a bit twitchy as a result.
Steve
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jfoxx
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Post by jfoxx on Oct 10, 2018 15:20:02 GMT
The post war world will be fascinating. Europe could well reclaim its mantel oas economic center of the globe. Africa or South Amaerica could take up the space of rising developing continent that Asia (now bloodied) took in our own time.
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Post by lukedalton on Oct 10, 2018 16:35:24 GMT
The post war world will be fascinating. Europe could well reclaim its mantel oas economic center of the globe. Africa or South Amaerica could take up the space of rising developing continent that Asia (now bloodied) took in our own time.
europe depend on the developement with their relationship with the Soviets, while a 7 days on the Rhine style assault is now not possible with all the loss and redeployment due to the other front (not considering that the EEC is ready to fight), they are still capable to litteraly wreack West Germany plus there are the nuclear weapons to consider. Africa will be for the great part a mess, with the war, the destruction of the world trade and the stop of the international aid (in addittion of their own problem, like the famine in Ethiopia) the place will be in chaos; the only 'quiet' place...and i use the term in relative sense, will be the Franceafrique due to EEC continued support. The other potential power aka South Africa well, much depend if at the moment is fighting in Angola (that can be butterflyed away due to lesser cuban presence in the previous years due to other commitment) and Mozambique or if the URSS want them occupied and funnel resources to the ANC and the border states.
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Post by michaelcanaris on Oct 10, 2018 17:42:26 GMT
How is Australia/NZ and South-East Asia (especially Indonesia, Malaysia and Singapore) doing?
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James G
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Post by James G on Oct 10, 2018 19:36:31 GMT
Oh right, we can easily say officially that this is the bloodiest conflict know to man ever...and the overpopulation problem of China are 'resolved' for some long time. Black comedy a part, the entire China situation mean that Asia in general is up for trouble even if not involved directly in the fight as there will be a massive refugee and humanitarian crisis and i not include Vietnam that had seen Hanoi destroyed while fighting a war in the north against the chinese, in the south in Cambodia and suffering the air and naval attack of the american. Thailand will be in the first line of this crisis and the flare up of the situation in Cambodia (at least in OTL there were numerous military incidents with their soldiers and the Vietnamese forces) and Laos. At all that we must add the effect of the radiation, Japan and Korea if the wind are hostile will take it in full and if we add the previous strike in the zone we can see that the many citizens develop pathologies expecially if the food situation is not resolved In parts of China, hell has come. I agree with the summing up of the situation here. The direct deaths are one horror but so too is so much else which follows. The China War is seeing the full horrors of modern war unleashed. Another good update James. This is going to hurth the Soviets, i guess a lot of Soviet warships and submarines belonging to the Soviet Pacific Fleet are now gone. Thank you. Yep, what the Americans haven't yet sunk, was in port. The facilities as also a major loss for the Soviets. James
A couple of points I forgot:
a) If the Soviets are moving Tank Armies from their western provinces I think that pretty much rules out a conventional campaign against western Europe as those would be the 2nd/3rd wave units necessary to force the breakthroughs after the initial ones in eastern Europe run out of steam. Especially since the Soviets have already weakened the latter forces a bit as part of their mutual force withdrawals. Mind you it wouldn't rule out the current Soviet [mis]leader trying that as he gets more delusional and desperate but without nukes its unlikely to work.
b) If the Soviets have occupied all of Xinjiang doesn't that mean their bordering on Tibet. Probably not considering a campaign into it because of the terrain but I suppose it might be something they could consider as another way of putting pressure on China, although it might not be worth the effort. Plus it might be a bit close to India, which could get a bit twitchy as a result.
Steve
With what they had before the war, the Soviets would have taken Western Europe and got to Spain if nukes weren't used. The forces available were huge. With what is left, they probably could get to Paris, again if no nukes are used. There is still a big force, just not a huge one. Western European forces on alert would really hurt them but I think they could still get very far indeed. I looked at the Tibet issue last night on the map and did think about that. Maybe for when the war continues into December or the New Year. The terrain and distances remain daunting. The post war world will be fascinating. Europe could well reclaim its mantel oas economic center of the globe. Africa or South Amaerica could take up the space of rising developing continent that Asia (now bloodied) took in our own time. There is the potential for this but so much depends upon the major players in the war not being joined by everyone else. You are correct, the post-war world will be very different especially with the beating the Americans have taken even if they come out fully on top. The nuclear threshold has been crossed many times too and wars in the future would see them used too.
europe depend on the developement with their relationship with the Soviets, while a 7 days on the Rhine style assault is now not possible with all the loss and redeployment due to the other front (not considering that the EEC is ready to fight), they are still capable to litteraly wreack West Germany plus there are the nuclear weapons to consider. Africa will be for the great part a mess, with the war, the destruction of the world trade and the stop of the international aid (in addittion of their own problem, like the famine in Ethiopia) the place will be in chaos; the only 'quiet' place...and i use the term in relative sense, will be the Franceafrique due to EEC continued support. The other potential power aka South Africa well, much depend if at the moment is fighting in Angola (that can be butterflyed away due to lesser cuban presence in the previous years due to other commitment) and Mozambique or if the URSS want them occupied and funnel resources to the ANC and the border states.
7 Days to the Rhine, no. It would take longer and be one heck of a fight but there is still large numbers of Soviets forces east of the Iron Curtain. They could get all the way to Paris, maybe the Channel I think. But opposed all the way and beaten up. It would probably go nuclear long before Soviet tanks got anywhere near that far. You're correct: Africa is really suffering in this war. Egypt, maybe Nigeria and South Africa could do well but then maybe not. How is Australia/NZ and South-East Asia (especially Indonesia, Malaysia and Singapore) doing? Australia, New Zealand, Malaysia and Singapore joined the Allies at the start and have sent men to Korea: see below. The wider Pacific region is something I intend to cover in the next update. As to Indonesia, I am not so sure on what to do with that, tbh.
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James G
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Post by James G on Oct 10, 2018 19:36:44 GMT
Vladivostok gone... that will put a dent in the pacific front. They will really miss it, especially since the whole Soviet Pacific coast is an active war zone with the US Navy - and SEALs - busy there. James
Well that was bloody. With worse to come no doubt, for both sides. There will be little mercy on either side and the military deaths are going to mount a lot higher I fear, along with far too many civilians. Both by combat and social destruction with disease, starvation and disorder on a scale that will make Los Angels look like paradise.
The hit on Vladivostok is a good bonus for the west as it will seriously hit their Pacific fleet. Both the units in port at the time and in terms of the loss of port facilities and supplies for those at sea. They might be able to use Port Arthur in the medium term but they would need to repair facilities and bring in Soviet equipment and workers as well as ensure stability in the area, which could be a problem. Also the initial tactical attacks on the Soviets, while the counter attack will kill a lot more Chinese troops, will hurt the Soviets as will be the losses from them advancing through so much polluted territory, considering both nuclear and chemical.
Also as you say there is a lot of terrain unfavourable for mobile warfare and this could include a lot of the plains. Both because motorised units don't do paddy fields well and because due to long millennia of cultivation and irrigation the main rivers are often above their neighbouring flood plains. I read once that the most lethal single act in WWII was when the KMT blow the dykes around the Yellow river to flood the neighbouring lands to delay the Japanese advance and it may have killed as many as a million Chinese. Not sure if the Chinese will do something like that but it might happen by accident or simply because the river bed is higher than the surrounding flood plain. That could further increase the chaos and also disrupt Soviet forces but would also kill a lot more Chinese.
Nanchang where Hu’s government was operating from and neither of the big cities along the Chinese coast were touched in these attacks, something deliberate That doesn't sound quite right to me. Did you mean something like none of the other big cities or neither of two particular cities along a stretch of the coastline? I would guess its along the coastline opposite Taiwan as your last paragraph sounds like the Soviets are trying to persuade the Taiwanese to enter the war on their side. Which I doubt would work as apart from the fact it would be politically poisonous for their regime both internally and inside mainland China. Also they would probably still be hedging their bets about who's going to win yet and given the number of nukes flying they could be high on the target list for any surviving CCP nukes if they made such a decision.
Hu is probably right to continue fighting as I doubt he would survive an attempt to make peace but it does leave the Soviets in the proverbial position of the monkey who's grabbed the goodie in the bottle and finds he now can't remove his hand.
The Soviet military leaders now know that being too successful can be as fatal as being judged a failure by the leadership. Which will do wonders for morale and performance, NOT. Also given a bureaucracy as large as the Soviet one there will be a number of people knowing that large and rapidly increasing number and sooner or later some rumours at least will start leaking out. Which will not look good regardless of what spin Vorotnikov tries to put on it. Not to mention the S word is being used as a comparison. It could be a while coming but I suspect comrade Vorotnikov's days in power are already running out.
It could have been much, much worse. Six more cities could have been a dozen or sixty. Port Arthur for Vladivostok is a poor trade off indeed. Weather and the ground in China is something I know little of and you might be correct and I thus might have mis-sold how easy it appeared to be. The fight was still an epic battle and not an easy affair though. Still, I shall try to look into these factors for the future. I meant "Nanchang where Hu’s government was operating from and none of the big cities along the Chinese coast were touched in these attacks, something quite deliberate." and have just edited that. My mistake on that. The Soviets just can't get out of this fight though themselves keep making it bigger too. The policy of diplomatic offers and taking ground to induce surrender, oh and nuking so many cities, doesn't work as joined-up thinking! Vorotnikov: there are plans I have for the future there, along the lines you say too.
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James G
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Post by James G on Oct 10, 2018 19:38:05 GMT
(258)
November 1984: Korea, north and south
Kim Il-sung was still alive after that targeted American military strike against his personal train to try and assassinate him. North Korea’s leader was badly-wounded in the attack and these injuries were quite significant. That train had crashed and there had been a fire added to by napalm dropped from the Americans. Kim had suffered spine injuries during that crash and during the fire, his lower legs had been severely burnt. He would never walk again and only with the utmost dedicated medical care he was remained alive. In pain, horrible pain, Kim had sworn revenge upon the Americans for this. That would be brought by his son and already anointed heir apparent, Kim Jong-il. The Great Leader gave the Dear Leader full authority to act in his stead as North Korea’s war would continue.
That war for North Korea had seen them suffer greatly, more than the injured dictator had done. There were two nuclear holes in the country – Kaesong and Wonsan – and North Korea’s army in the South was a ruin after further nuclear strikes. Much of it was cut off after South Korean armoured pincers had struck out from the Seoul Pocket in the west and the mountains to the east to seal the Han River. Everything below, all of that occupied territory and the best of Kim’s defeated army, was now being squeezed. Above the Han, Kaesong destruction stopped any significant attempt by North Korea to send any more men into South Korea. There had been the destruction of North Korea’s air force and navy as well as extensive bombing of selective war-supporting infrastructure nationwide. Security control over the country remained thorough and complete, the only good thing that could be said about how the war had gone for this nation with leaders who dreamed big.
The ‘big’ had been to take South Korea all on their own. The planned liberation of the southern half of the Korean Peninsula had seen an almighty army assembled and sent pouring over the DMZ. Victory after victory had been won at the start, leading to North Korean forces taking a significant portion of territory belonging to that member of the Allies. American assistance had been vital though due to the war in North America, United States forces to aid South Korea had been far smaller than they should have been in any other kind of Second Korean War. They brought something more to the table than just massed ranks of men: those nuclear weapons of theirs used in a tactical fashion in response to the North Koreans use of chemical weapons. South Korean forces, battered but unbeaten, had afterwards taken advantage. They were undertaking their own liberation and doing well. What American forces were in-country were near fought-out. The brigade of paratroopers from the 82nd Airborne Division had been used little before it was flown home (ending up inside Denver) but the rest of the US I Corps had taken major losses. The 2nd Infantry, 7th Infantry and 25th Infantry Divisions – the last with Hawaii national guardsmen attached – were all kept out of the battles which raged through November where the South Koreans used reservists to gobble up pockets of isolated North Korean resistance on their soil one by one. The Americans needed that break, so too other South Korean units who’d fought just as hard in bringing the invaders to an eventual stop. There were US Marines in the country as well, the 3rd Marine Division. These men had ended up in the Seoul Pocket and they were now in the process of leaving. They moved away southwards though recently-retaken territory and didn’t go out through the closer Incheon – North Korea rockets and missiles had destroyed most of the infrastructure there – but instead used smaller port and air facilities along the coast. For a long time there had been plans to see these men sent back home, to fight the war on the US West Coast and this was the beginning of that process. Replacing them in the form of available Allied forces was that mixed ANZAC formation which consisted of an Australian-led division complete with attachments from New Zealand, Malaysia and Singapore. They had yet to see battle but when they did, it would be on the edges of the Seoul Pocket as the South Koreans were eager to push outwards of the growing area they held not just east and south like they already were but northwards too, closer to the DMZ.
Before the US Marines could leave South Korea and ahead of the ANZAC force getting into battle, the Soviets showed up.
Detached from the Soviet Fifth Army which had gone into China, the Sixty–Eighth Army Corps had been formed in response to ongoing troubles with North Korea’s war going awry. Three combat divisions were initially supposed to complete this detachment but in the end there were only two of them who crossed through North Korea because of the intensity of the fight that the Fifth Army (still retaining significant strength) had gotten into in Manchuria. Movement through North Korea was delayed due to damage within the country across transport links coming from American bombing but also a desire to keep the Soviet movement secret. Moscow wanted to surprise those in South Korea. They nearly did, only being spotted just over a day before they came down over the DMZ and rolling towards the Seoul Pocket. The Sixty–Eighth Corps was then soon fighting South Korean forces.
Those defenders of their nation did well but couldn’t hold the Soviets back. There was a retreat made back towards Seoul from the forward positions out near Namyangju and an expectation that the Soviets would follow them closer to the battered capital city. That wasn’t to be. The Soviets carried on going south to reach Guri and then the Han River before making a crossing over it. American air power struck at them from above and South Korean light forces were attacking all over the place but on they kept on going once across the Han. Stronger South Korean forces then hit the Soviets on their flank once they were south of that river, using heavier forces which had been resting after their earlier severe fights with the North Koreans. They put in a good performance but once again, they couldn’t stop these new invaders of their country and only slow them down somewhat. Up ahead of the Sixty–Eighth Corps was the ANZAC Division. They two forces clashed near to Seongnam and there could only be one victor. It was not those assembled from the Pacific allies of South Korea and the United States.
The Australian 1st & 3rd Brigades along with the mixed brigade from the other countries had a torrid time in fighting the Soviets. It seemed as if the Soviets used all four hundred of their tanks against them; this wasn’t what actually happened but the Australians were taken apart by a mass of armour. They managed to avoid complete destruction but casualties were massive: thousands were killed, wounded or missing making it a black day indeed for Australia as well as the rest of the Pacific Allies. A withdrawal was made, Singaporean paratroopers providing the rear guard and paying a high price for that, as they all fell back to South Korean lines to the west. The Soviets drove onto the Suwon-Osan area and linked up with the large numbers of North Koreans there who had only been days away from being wiped out when under attack from three sides, their assailants due to include the ANZAC force. Seoul was now once again firmly cut off and a massive wedge of South Korean territory – lost, retaken and now lost again – was in Soviet hands with them ready to keep going south again come December. The 3rd Marine Division wouldn’t be going to California and the trio of US Army divisions were also dispatched back into the fight with haste.
Up in North Korean, Kim Jong-il was jubilant as he celebrated the ‘leading role’ that North Korean forces under his enlightened guidance had played in this major victory… that leading role being staying where they were and not dying. The Soviet Army had won this fight, not North Korea. Regardless, the war on the Korean Peninsula, fought through horrible weather and with intense brutality, was going to now go on and on.
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stevep
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Post by stevep on Oct 10, 2018 21:08:04 GMT
James
Interesting but surprising that a mere two Soviet divisions could do so much damage as the S Koreans have some damned good forces and their supported by American air power. Especially since chemical weapons are now off the table.
Also a bit surprised that you think the Soviets could still win clearly in western Europe given how much they have withdrawn from their forces. Although admittedly the Europeans have lost the US, UK and Canadian forces, especially possibly the US air power.
Hell of a lot of info in that list of Soviet world-wide forces you put on the other page but haven't looked through it in detail yet.
One question, both with the Soviets and some of the European powers is if their fully mobilised with all reserves called up how much damage is that doing to their economies as there's probably a hell of a lot of really important people away from their normal jobs.
Steve
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Post by lukedalton on Oct 10, 2018 21:51:38 GMT
James
Interesting but surprising that a mere two Soviet divisions could do so much damage as the S Koreans have some damned good forces and their supported by American air power. Especially since chemical weapons are now off the table.
Also a bit surprised that you think the Soviets could still win clearly in western Europe given how much they have withdrawn from their forces. Although admittedly the Europeans have lost the US, UK and Canadian forces, especially possibly the US air power.
Hell of a lot of info in that list of Soviet world-wide forces you put on the other page but haven't looked through it in detail yet.
One question, both with the Soviets and some of the European powers is if their fully mobilised with all reserves called up how much damage is that doing to their economies as there's probably a hell of a lot of really important people away from their normal jobs.
Steve
For western europe probably less than what feared as depending on your job (if in the reserve) you are not recalled and, taking example from Italy, the entire reserve of the armed forces are around 600.000 men, at this you add more or less 400.000 men when fully mobilizated...this on a population of near 57 million of men, so while it will surely hurt it will not be crippling, expecially with an unemployment rate of 9% that will go down to almost zero as reservist will be recalled and the industrial and agricultural sector will demand a lot of men (and women) to satisfy the orders coming to east and west. Not saying that they can keep going forever in this situation, just that for now, all considered, is doable as there is no fighting involved and in general the goverment will be selective on who's calling and not as at this stage can allow it...still it will not be cheap. I'm also surprised for the remaining soviet capacity, the war in Asia and America will be costly in term of men and material and i bet that at least in North America the Kremlin will have sent the best material and men, plus there is China; frankly i expected that in East Europe there will be principally cat.B division with less modern equipment, same for the air force; not saying that are a paper tiger, just that arrive at the Rhine exhausted was the best possible outcome (and wrecking West Germany doing it naturally)
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James G
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Post by James G on Oct 10, 2018 22:17:52 GMT
James
Interesting but surprising that a mere two Soviet divisions could do so much damage as the S Koreans have some damned good forces and their supported by American air power. Especially since chemical weapons are now off the table.
Also a bit surprised that you think the Soviets could still win clearly in western Europe given how much they have withdrawn from their forces. Although admittedly the Europeans have lost the US, UK and Canadian forces, especially possibly the US air power.
Hell of a lot of info in that list of Soviet world-wide forces you put on the other page but haven't looked through it in detail yet.
One question, both with the Soviets and some of the European powers is if their fully mobilised with all reserves called up how much damage is that doing to their economies as there's probably a hell of a lot of really important people away from their normal jobs.
Steve
My thinking is that after two months of fighting seriously strong NK forces, and they were in 1984, the SKs were worn down significantly. American air power is present but not immense: so much is still at home. The Soviets who come down breeze through at full strength and unblooded and hit them very hard. I think at this point they still could. Deployments overseas have been big but they'd still outnumber Western Europe plus can could on their own Eastern European allies too. In addition, there is to win and then to win. The latter being a hallow victory. The list is still a work in progress. It included all Cat A/B/C divisions, the ones which had a pre-war standing complement of men to be joined by reservists. It doesn't included the zero-manpower units (with old WW2 gear too) who haven't been mobilised. Furthermore, many Soviet military units staying internally, not deploying to war zones or into Eastern Europe (where they were always at full strength) maybe at 50 to 75 % too. they're fronting in places, showing what they have but not being entirely honest to warn off enemies. With the Soviets, unless you are in uni education or a reserved role, all men 18 to 30 are in uniform: military or KGB / border guards militia. They'll be feeling that loss of manpower across the civilian economy. The Germans have a big mobilisation while the French/Italians some others in Europe it is partial; others haven't even called out any more than basic reserves. The US mobilisation is big but then again rather organised once it was set up with conscripts dismissed to return to vital civilian roles. For western europe probably less than what feared as depending on your job (if in the reserve) you are not recalled and, taking example from Italy, the entire reserve of the armed forces are around 600.000 men, at this you add more or less 400.000 men when fully mobilizated...this on a population of near 57 million of men, so while it will surely hurt it will not be crippling, expecially with an unemployment rate of 9% that will go down to almost zero as reservist will be recalled and the industrial and agricultural sector will demand a lot of men (and women) to satisfy the orders coming to east and west. Not saying that they can keep going forever in this situation, just that for now, all considered, is doable as there is no fighting involved and in general the goverment will be selective on who's calling and not as at this stage can allow it...still it will not be cheap. I'm also surprised for the remaining soviet capacity, the war in Asia and America will be costly in term of men and material and i bet that at least in North America the Kremlin will have sent the best material and men, plus there is China; frankly i expected that in East Europe there will be principally cat.B division with less modern equipment, same for the air force; not saying that are a paper tiger, just that arrive at the Rhine exhausted was the best possible outcome (and wrecking West Germany doing it naturally) Mobilisation for those who have done it will be costly. I agree it can't go on for ever. What the Soviets have sent overseas is generally the best though with China, it was everyone east of the Urals and then some. Significant, though weaker than in peacetime, units still remain west of the Urals and almost every all of them not in Eastern Europe left after overseas deployments is not at full strength too.
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dunois
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Post by dunois on Oct 11, 2018 12:45:29 GMT
Soviet logistics in the Far-East are bound to be difficult, which raises the question of how much preparation did the Soviets do before the war, especially in terms of infrastructure. The Baikal-Amur Mainline should be ready and operational by 1984 though bottlenecks will exist. The existence of this line also means that the TransSib can be bypassed so the losses of Chita and Khabarovsk are not as bad as they could be. Good maps are available here though the maps themselves are in Cyrillic: www.mrl.ucsb.edu/~yopopov/rrt/railroadmaps/A word of caution too that destroying railway lines is pretty difficult, depending on the yield and targetting of the weapons launched against both cities, critical infrastructure may be intact albeit damaged. Reconstruction will become top prioritty. Radiation won't be an issue after a few weeks since it decays using the 7-10 rule. I wouldn't be surprised at all if Chinese POWs end-up as "liquidators" to rebuild and expand critical infrastructure in Siberia.
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stevep
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Post by stevep on Oct 11, 2018 17:27:26 GMT
James
Interesting but surprising that a mere two Soviet divisions could do so much damage as the S Koreans have some damned good forces and their supported by American air power. Especially since chemical weapons are now off the table.
Also a bit surprised that you think the Soviets could still win clearly in western Europe given how much they have withdrawn from their forces. Although admittedly the Europeans have lost the US, UK and Canadian forces, especially possibly the US air power.
Hell of a lot of info in that list of Soviet world-wide forces you put on the other page but haven't looked through it in detail yet.
One question, both with the Soviets and some of the European powers is if their fully mobilised with all reserves called up how much damage is that doing to their economies as there's probably a hell of a lot of really important people away from their normal jobs.
Steve
For western europe probably less than what feared as depending on your job (if in the reserve) you are not recalled and, taking example from Italy, the entire reserve of the armed forces are around 600.000 men, at this you add more or less 400.000 men when fully mobilizated...this on a population of near 57 million of men, so while it will surely hurt it will not be crippling, expecially with an unemployment rate of 9% that will go down to almost zero as reservist will be recalled and the industrial and agricultural sector will demand a lot of men (and women) to satisfy the orders coming to east and west. Not saying that they can keep going forever in this situation, just that for now, all considered, is doable as there is no fighting involved and in general the goverment will be selective on who's calling and not as at this stage can allow it...still it will not be cheap. I'm also surprised for the remaining soviet capacity, the war in Asia and America will be costly in term of men and material and i bet that at least in North America the Kremlin will have sent the best material and men, plus there is China; frankly i expected that in East Europe there will be principally cat.B division with less modern equipment, same for the air force; not saying that are a paper tiger, just that arrive at the Rhine exhausted was the best possible outcome (and wrecking West Germany doing it naturally)
OK thanks.
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James G
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Post by James G on Oct 11, 2018 19:47:10 GMT
Soviet logistics in the Far-East are bound to be difficult, which raises the question of how much preparation did the Soviets do before the war, especially in terms of infrastructure. The Baikal-Amur Mainline should be ready and operational by 1984 though bottlenecks will exist. The existence of this line also means that the TransSib can be bypassed so the losses of Chita and Khabarovsk are not as bad as they could be. Good maps are available here though the maps themselves are in Cyrillic: www.mrl.ucsb.edu/~yopopov/rrt/railroadmaps/A word of caution too that destroying railway lines is pretty difficult, depending on the yield and targetting of the weapons launched against both cities, critical infrastructure may be intact albeit damaged. Reconstruction will become top prioritty. Radiation won't be an issue after a few weeks since it decays using the 7-10 rule. I wouldn't be surprised at all if Chinese POWs end-up as "liquidators" to rebuild and expand critical infrastructure in Siberia. That is very interesting indeed. For the time being, going through Mongolia is the entry way for reinforcements coming into the war but reconstruction, even diverts for railway lines, will see full effort put into it. I will use your excellent (not for those involved though) idea of POWs as manpower. So Chita and Khabarovsk can be worked around with great effort but Vladivostok is for the time being irreplaceable, especially with ongoing war activity as seen below.
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