James G
Squadron vice admiral
Posts: 7,608
Likes: 8,833
|
Post by James G on Oct 8, 2018 18:54:55 GMT
(255)November 1984: The Middle East To believe that the Soviets weren’t going to find out, and even then to think that Vorotnikov wouldn’t react strongly to his authority being challenged upon discovery, showed the fantasy world which Gaddafi, a very desperate Gaddafi, was living in. Another fine update James. I feel Gaddafi might end up being replaced. Thank you. He doesn't think so! This is for him his moment in the sun. You could almost feel sorry for him and his delusions... almost. How many words is this TL on now? 255 chapters is truly impressive stuff 431'000+ : I have bits on the bottom, notes. Lions and Bears was about 650'000, IIRC. Thank you. There is an eventual end in sight. The good old colonell will soon being fired? Never too soon, even if this can create a lot of instability in Libya as OTL demonstrated as there was a precarious equilibrium between various tribes and even if the Soviet control the security forces it can cause a diversion of force and some trouble. Regarding Greece and Turkey, while yes they will really not like the EEC step in the middle of the war and telling them what to do like a teacher scold two unruly child, the only other option is the creepy guy in the ice cream trunk. On the other hand an external intervention can give the occasion to both Ankara and Athens to stop the war blaming foreign forces and circumstances beyond their control for internal consumption while try to rebuild their economy, Turkey in particular will need to take in consideration that can't throw everything to Greece as it need to keep the Russian Bear at bay like the old times. They will not like the situation, they will not like the treaty that will come out but they can live with it. I think that Athens in particulary for whatever official position will take will be extremely relieved of the EEC involvement as it's a mean not only to resolve the situation in the Aegean when military speaking things are going 'not very well' but also with some luck rebuild the economy even if everyone know that will involve a lot of pride being eaten. For the EEC it's mean stop a (useless) fire in her zone of influence and made a show of force (or more precisely soft power and influence) in all purpose aimed towards Moscow and at least bring back a little sanity in this word. In all probability as a request during the negotiation there will be the evacuation of the civilian in the British bases, or at least send humanitarian help. He is on a collision course with Moscow. The best solution would be for Europe to solve the Aegean War quick and fast to stop the bloodshed. It would suit both sides, and even the Soviets too. (Love the 'creepy guy in the ice cream truck' reference for Moscow!)
James
Well sounds like a clash between two reckless idiots coming up. Only for all his other distractions and commitments Vorotnikov has a lot more guns than Gaddafi. However I'm not sure the example Vorotnikov is going to set will work the way he wants. The fact he's demonstrating that as far as he's concerned there are no such things as allies, only totally submissive puppets is going to cause a lot of people, not just in his 'allies' to want to distance themselves from the Soviets. The US was heavy handed with Argentina but the Soviet use of the sledgehammer here could backfire badly.
Also it may have result, albeit probably not for some time, inside the Politburo as well. Vorotnikov's simplistic view of the world will pose a threat for other would be movers and shakers as they not only risk being taken down with if it it looks like the Soviets will lose but he poses a threat simply as a ruthless autocrat, potentially another Stalin or Mao [or some might even say Hitler]. I don't think anyone with experience of Stalin's rule will want to go through that fear and uncertainty again, especially not if their of the ruling elite. They want stability to enjoy their comforts not the knowledge everything could be lost at any point as the whim of an egomaniac. As I say I don't think it will happen yet but if/when things look bad for the empire he could find his internal support disappearing very quickly].
Steve
A situation brought on by this, added by some other ingredients, is a plausible scenario for the future. This behaviour is ongoing and while seemingly to some to be a sure fire winner to bring success, when it doesn't, the issue will start. They will start looking at their own creature comforts. They will start thinking of all those generals and marshals that Vorotnikov just shot. They will also start worrying over whether they have another Stalin too.
|
|
James G
Squadron vice admiral
Posts: 7,608
Likes: 8,833
|
Post by James G on Oct 8, 2018 18:56:11 GMT
(256)
November 1984: China
Soviet troops reached Beijing. The Thirty–Sixth Army got to the Chinese capital and engaged its defenders outside. The Chinese had used concealment and camouflage to try to hide significant counterattacking forces all around Beijing, with the numbers of these outnumbering the incoming Thirty–Sixth Army two-to-one. They tried to hide those troops though. Chinese efforts were pretty good but they weren’t enough to deceive those who defined the art of military deception. The Soviets knew they were there and had held off attacking them until they came out of cover and started moving. Those Chinese forces were out in the open, much easier to attack then when they were hidden especially since they were on the move. Soviet aircraft near lined up in the skies to be given permission to attack them in turn. High-explosive bombs, missiles tipped with thermobaric warheads and also gas – a lot of gas – was used against those who were the defenders of Beijing. The Chinese broke soon enough. No one could have stood in the face of the barrage that they came under from above. As they withdrew, the attacks continued against them while Soviet tanks and infantry carriers brought the Thirty–Sixth Army to the very edges of Beijing.
There were still Chinese forces inside the city, lighter units who held blocking positions. Orders from above from the Mongolian Front – army group headquarters – told the Thirty–Sixth Army that anyone who stood in their way was to be engaged and defeated. In addition, anything which stood in their way in terms of a defensive position was to be blasted as well. There was no consideration of any historical or cultural heritage to be given. None were to be purposely destroyed, all ammunition was needed for the actual fight, but none would be spared if they were defended. Should Chinese troops be dug-in around the Forbidden City, the Temple of Heaven or Tiananmen Square then so be it: they would be the targets of heavy guns supporting the men making the actual assault.
Fighting raged for the city over three days. Mass destruction of city landmarks were in the end few and far between and the really significant bits were still standing when KGB security troops arrived by helicopters to take control of them ahead of looters. Those attractions in Beijing stood standing while all around them tens of thousands of defenders of the city lay dead. The heavy units of the Thirty–Sixth Army weren’t sent all the way in but rather enveloped and cut off Beijing. Chinese troops inside were shelled by massed artillery and the finished off by Soviet infantry moving mainly on foot into the capital. This was done primarily of penal units of Soviet troops – men promised an absolution of their crimes if they fought well; many who shouldn’t have been sentenced to such units as their crimes were minor but there was a quota to fill – and also Mongolian forces brought in for the urban fighting which took place. Chinese civilians were caught up in the fighting though also the shocking breaches of field discipline that came right afterwards by those men sent into take Beijing. There was little real looting but plenty of arson, murder, rape and robbery which took place. Those KGB security units fired many times upon armed men supposedly on their side when they wandered in the way of their guns and there was one occasion in Tiananmen Square where the KGB men came pretty close to being overrun by what was a dangerous mob. Eventually, the men tired themselves out. Many Mongolians returned quickly to their units, their fury at the Chinese they had been indoctrinated to hate filled. As to the penal troops in Soviet uniform, few of these voluntarily returned to Soviet lines outside the city until they heard announcements that they had been given their reward of having their previous crimes admonished because they had fought well. The fools came back. For a week afterwards, the firing squads would be busy getting rid of these men, the victors of Beijing. The KGB directed the mass shooting of such men who were declared an irredeemable mob.
In Moscow, Soviet propaganda would praise those ‘Heroes of the Soviet Union’ who had ‘liberated Peking’.
Those Chinese troops who ran away without fighting directly for Beijing were chased when the Thirty–Sixth Army went after them. Tianjin and then the shores of the Yellow Sea were reached as Soviet complete control over a wide area outside of Beijing was completed. This also cut off Chinese forces far to the north, those who hadn’t gotten out of Manchuria and escaped further south past Beijing and Tianjin. There was still intensive fighting going on through that region where the Manchurian Front’s three field armies were busy beating down the last Chinese resistance and they also begun to seize control of the Liaodong Peninsula as well. A slowdown in the general forward advance through other elements of the Mongolian Front (two more armies inside Inner Mongolia west of Beijing) took place at the same time. Post-Beijing, the Soviets needed to reorganise themselves throughout the immediate rear since there had come that overlap of forces.
The time given by this cessation in major offensive operations wasn’t wasted by those Soviets on the ground inside China and neither their country’s diplomats. With Beijing held, the Soviet Union now took the opportunity to present an offer to the Chinese government. They used a back-channel link rather than anything official in this but it was still presented as a serious matter on behalf of the Soviet leadership. Hu Yaobang was contacted and told that there was the offer of a ceasefire on the table, a nationwide ceasefire where no more Chinese would be killed and no more territory taken from China. All Hu had to do was agree to open discussions and the war could very soon come to an end. The message reached China’s leader. The Soviets waited for a response.
And waited…
***
At the same time as Beijing was being fought over, there came a far smaller massacre which took place very far away from the that city and any other frontlines near to Soviet invading forces. Down in Nanchang, a city in East-Central China, the senior officials of the US Military Mission to China were attacked and slaughtered by a Soviet Spetsnaz team. Over forty Americans were killed, all while they were sleeping in a supposedly-secure facility. Diplomats, intelligence officials and high-ranking military officers lost their lives while their killers got away clean. With impunity from Chinese action, Soviet commandos were active this far deep inside China and were able to do this without anyone being able to stop them. Such was the state China was in during this war.
The saga of the Military Mission sent in November 1984 to China was quite something. It took a month of China fighting against the Soviets before the United States sent an official group of significant size to establish an on-the-ground working group inside China to coordinate war efforts between the two nations. The Americans had blamed wartime delays though the real reason had been fears over the dire security situation inside China: which turned out to be fatally correct for those involved. The Chinese leadership had huffed and puffed, fuming at the delays though they had been moving around much and their country was in chaos. When the Americans came, they made their way to Nanchang eventually by way of Taiwan. That had ben a safe staging point for their entry but Hu and his Politburo hadn’t been happy at all about that. Once inside China, these Americans found that that was just a convenient excuse for the Chinese to complain about their government sending just them here. There was a wider issue of contention when it came to the Sino-American relationship though, more than a couple of aircraft flying through Taiwan.
China wasn’t a member of the Allies. The country was a co-belligerent instead. The Americans, the British, the Japanese and the others had refused to allow China to join what the Chinese saw as their own exclusive club who looked down upon them and didn’t give the war they were fighting the significance it deserved. Naturally, as far as Hu and the others were concerned, the China War was the war to be focused upon as it was one being fought on their soil. They could rightly point to the number of Soviet forces who were fighting them as opposed to the Allies and the mass of casualties China had taken. They were fighting more and more Soviets, forces not being sent against the countries of the Allies. Those other countries were making all of the decisions and aiding each other greatly. China deserved a place at the table. However, for the United States and the Allies, China couldn’t become one of the Allies for the actions taken by China frightened them all. China had exchanged nuclear strikes with the Soviets and there wasn’t full political control over those weapons in the hands of Hu. They couldn’t tie themselves to China less in response to more Chinese nuclear attacks, unauthorised ones too, the Soviet responded against them. Look what had happened last time, the Americans had to remind themselves, and their allies did too, where in response to Soviet tactical strikes inside China near the frontlines, China fired on Vietnam and Mongolia as well as the Soviet Union, including that failed attack on Moscow itself. In New York, there was a belief that if Moscow had been hit, a full-scale worldwide nuclear exchange regardless of what started it would have taken place. That was an excuse for a sense of superiority, Western arrogance and even racism in the eyes of China. Hu declared that all nuclear weapons were under his control… what few were left anyway.
The Military Mission hadn’t been sent to Nanchang – Hu had his administration here at the time – to settle the issue of China entering the Allies. They were there to arrange for the exchange of information and to assist in laying the groundwork for future closer cooperation whether that matter was settled or not. China was in the geographic position to play an extremely important role in the future of the war as its territory, even with plenty of that occupied, remained close to the very heart of the Soviet Union. Reaching into and attacking the Soviets deep inside their homeland, away from the coastal defences that they had, was an extremely attractive option. Just think what B-52s could do to the Soviet industrial areas in the Urals if flying from inside China! The Americans would love to open new listening posts inside China after the ones there pre-war – that China-US cooperation which had been the spark (but not the root cause) to ignite this war – had been destroyed early on by Soviet air strikes. Seeing how the Soviets fought on the battlefield in China would be of great interest to the Americans while the Chinese were waiting to hear whether it was anything different to what had been seen in North America. There was a lot that could be agreed upon and discovered ahead of a latter political settlement on relations between China and the Allies.
Yet, the top level of the Military Mission was then killed. They lost their lives after being betrayed by someone in China, not by the Soviets finding out about where they were when exactly all on their own. Deng Xiaoping had been killed by one of his fellow Chinese working for the Soviets and another traitor had conspired with the Soviets to kill these Americans. When the news reached New York, there was a lot of anger at this. Minds were refocused in the US Government a few days later when the Soviets got a response to taking Beijing. It wasn’t a diplomatic one from Hu, but, once again, a nuclear one by the generals whom he couldn’t control.
For the second time, Chinese nuclear weapons were unleashed against the Soviet Union itself.
|
|
James G
Squadron vice admiral
Posts: 7,608
Likes: 8,833
|
Post by James G on Oct 8, 2018 18:57:41 GMT
More of China tomorrow.
|
|
crackpot
Petty Officer 1st Class
Posts: 89
Likes: 71
|
Post by crackpot on Oct 8, 2018 20:09:28 GMT
Sounds like there won’t be much “more of China” left after tomorrow
|
|
stevep
Fleet admiral
Member is Online
Posts: 24,870
Likes: 13,257
|
Post by stevep on Oct 8, 2018 22:29:29 GMT
(256)November 1984: China ..... For the second time, Chinese nuclear weapons were unleashed against the Soviet Union itself.
Oh shit!!! This isn't going to go well for China at all. I suspect the Chinese death toll is about to double or more possibly as the Soviets are going to be very angry and also know the Chinese have few if any nukes left to reply with.
Although probably understandable under the circumstances I suspect counter attacking around Beijing was a mistake as it exposed relative light [in compared to the Soviet heavy units] to massed firepower while in the open. The Chinese need to settle for a war of attrition as its the only type of war they can hope to win under those circumstances. Most of all however they need to get their rogue generals, whatever ones are left, under control. However the Soviets are making a rod for their own backs as they can't kill all the Chinese so they will have a hell of a lot of enemies for a long time to come.
I'm not sure what the US military [or politicians?] are on if their thinking they could operate B-52s, or anything else of substantial size from China under those conditions? There isn't the infrastructure or the stability to do that and the Soviets are a lot more capable than the WWII Japanese of quickly stomping down on any such bases that they might try and establish. Plus while things are so tense in the US I can't see any substantial forces, airforce or otherwise leaving N America for the moment.
What is the situation in Korea and also in the south v Vietnam? S Korea might be making progress against the north but that's likely to end once Soviet forces get there. Although that would tie up some further Soviet forces and hopefully the US is making clear that S Korea, unlike China, is a full member of the alliance and hence no gas or nukes or retaliation would follow.
Steve
|
|
lordbyron
Warrant Officer
Posts: 235
Likes: 133
|
Post by lordbyron on Oct 8, 2018 23:03:00 GMT
Oh, there won't be a China left. Not in any recognizable way, shape, or form...
Methinks Hong Kong, assuming it survives, will either stay with Britain or go to the Taipei government ITTL (the negotiations occurred in 1982, IIRC)…
Waiting for more...
|
|
lordroel
Administrator
Posts: 68,137
Likes: 49,525
|
Post by lordroel on Oct 9, 2018 2:47:54 GMT
Sounds like there won’t be much “more of China” left after tomorrow Good update James. I think Colonel Tanner quote in the Red Dawn classic might come true: Six hundred million screaming Chinamen.
|
|
Dan
Warrant Officer
Posts: 258
Likes: 185
|
Post by Dan on Oct 9, 2018 7:20:43 GMT
I think Colonel Tanner quote in the Red Dawn classic might come true: Six hundred million screaming Chinamen. That would equate to about a 40% population drop. Looks like I could be good in my estimate of 50% after all.
|
|
stevep
Fleet admiral
Member is Online
Posts: 24,870
Likes: 13,257
|
Post by stevep on Oct 9, 2018 8:31:51 GMT
Oh, there won't be a China left. Not in any recognizable way, shape, or form... Methinks Hong Kong, assuming it survives, will either stay with Britain or go to the Taipei government ITTL (the negotiations occurred in 1982, IIRC)… Waiting for more...
The lease on the New Territories ran out in 1997 but an agreement was made in 1984, see Sino-British_Joint_Declaration, which committed Britain to hand over the entire colony in 1997. This may not have occurred in TTL with the events running up to the war, let alone the war itself.
However the most likely outcome, at least in the short term, I fear is that Hong Kong will be overrun, either by refugees or possibly rogue army units as the country collapses into disorder. If Canton/Guangzhou gets hit by a nuke, and since its a major city outside easy reach of the Soviet army that seems likely, then not only would that generate a lot of refugees your likely to see fall out impacts, both via air and by the Pearl River. Given that the garrison is rather a token one as it could never be held against a serious Chinese invasion and with the war its cut off from any outside support I can't really see it staying out of the chaos. The disruption of the war is probably leaving the colony with serious economic and supply problems even without any direct physical impacts.
In the aftermath I suspect that Britain will lack the resources and will to support the colony, especially given the disorder that's going to be occurring in China.
|
|
lordroel
Administrator
Posts: 68,137
Likes: 49,525
|
Post by lordroel on Oct 9, 2018 15:30:03 GMT
I think Colonel Tanner quote in the Red Dawn classic might come true: Six hundred million screaming Chinamen. That would equate to about a 40% population drop. Looks like I could be good in my estimate of 50% after all. China population was in 1984 around 1,043,570,000, that means 500 million are going to die, but we have to wait and see how heavy the Soviet strike will be.
|
|
Dan
Warrant Officer
Posts: 258
Likes: 185
|
Post by Dan on Oct 9, 2018 17:05:37 GMT
This is the thing, if, (according to Tanner's quote), there are 600,000,000 screaming Chinamen, then you've already lost 400,000,000. That exceeds my low end estimate of 300,000,000 and unfortunately leaves you 80% of the way to half a billion dead.
I'm actually hoping that Tanner's quote was hyperbole and that in practice, even at the most devastating, it's less than 100,000,000 dead, (although I think this is very close to the OTL population of Metropolitan France for scale). Still a huge loss of life.
|
|
James G
Squadron vice admiral
Posts: 7,608
Likes: 8,833
|
Post by James G on Oct 9, 2018 19:41:12 GMT
Sounds like there won’t be much “more of China” left after tomorrow Its bad. Not that bad, but still bad... nothing good will come from the attack.
Oh shit!!! This isn't going to go well for China at all. I suspect the Chinese death toll is about to double or more possibly as the Soviets are going to be very angry and also know the Chinese have few if any nukes left to reply with.
Although probably understandable under the circumstances I suspect counter attacking around Beijing was a mistake as it exposed relative light [in compared to the Soviet heavy units] to massed firepower while in the open. The Chinese need to settle for a war of attrition as its the only type of war they can hope to win under those circumstances. Most of all however they need to get their rogue generals, whatever ones are left, under control. However the Soviets are making a rod for their own backs as they can't kill all the Chinese so they will have a hell of a lot of enemies for a long time to come.
I'm not sure what the US military [or politicians?] are on if their thinking they could operate B-52s, or anything else of substantial size from China under those conditions? There isn't the infrastructure or the stability to do that and the Soviets are a lot more capable than the WWII Japanese of quickly stomping down on any such bases that they might try and establish. Plus while things are so tense in the US I can't see any substantial forces, airforce or otherwise leaving N America for the moment.
What is the situation in Korea and also in the south v Vietnam? S Korea might be making progress against the north but that's likely to end once Soviet forces get there. Although that would tie up some further Soviet forces and hopefully the US is making clear that S Korea, unlike China, is a full member of the alliance and hence no gas or nukes or retaliation would follow.
Steve
It's just what they did before: lash out and get blasted. The Soviets hit many nukes and caught more units who refused orders to fire back in October. Some remain operational though and out of Soviet reach. The war of attrition is underway, as you'll see below. The Military Mission was there to discuss many things with all options on the table. The B-52? Yeah, maybe I went too wild but let's say they were talking about possibilities. Korea is up next then the Pacific including Vietnam but also the Soviet coast exposed to US naval airpower. Oh, there won't be a China left. Not in any recognizable way, shape, or form... Methinks Hong Kong, assuming it survives, will either stay with Britain or go to the Taipei government ITTL (the negotiations occurred in 1982, IIRC)… Waiting for more... China is still alive. Hong Kong and its future is still something I have yet to seriously think on... don't forget about those guys in Taipei either! Good update James. I think Colonel Tanner quote in the Red Dawn classic might come true: Six hundred million screaming Chinamen. Thanks. Maybe, but not something I am going for at the minute. That would equate to about a 40% population drop. Looks like I could be good in my estimate of 50% after all. Well... not what I am really aiming for. The casualties in the nuke strikes will be bad and the war consequences massive but those are huge numbers.
The lease on the New Territories ran out in 1997 but an agreement was made in 1984, see Sino-British_Joint_Declaration, which committed Britain to hand over the entire colony in 1997. This may not have occurred in TTL with the events running up to the war, let alone the war itself.
However the most likely outcome, at least in the short term, I fear is that Hong Kong will be overrun, either by refugees or possibly rogue army units as the country collapses into disorder. If Canton/Guangzhou gets hit by a nuke, and since its a major city outside easy reach of the Soviet army that seems likely, then not only would that generate a lot of refugees your likely to see fall out impacts, both via air and by the Pearl River. Given that the garrison is rather a token one as it could never be held against a serious Chinese invasion and with the war its cut off from any outside support I can't really see it staying out of the chaos. The disruption of the war is probably leaving the colony with serious economic and supply problems even without any direct physical impacts.
In the aftermath I suspect that Britain will lack the resources and will to support the colony, especially given the disorder that's going to be occurring in China.
I missed this in the story. Let us say talks happened but no agreement was made ahead of the war on HK. Canton got glassed before and HK already has seen massive numbers of refugees arrived by land and in boats; Taiwan has also seen boats full of people. The British garrison was one battalion of infantry joined by eventually two more of Gurkhas. It is at the end of a long supply line direct from the UK though there is links through the US and Allies too. The future for HK still needs a think on. Things are bad there though. China population was in 1984 around 1,043,570,000, that means 500 million are going to die, but we have to wait and see how heavy the Soviet strike will be. Too many for my liking! This is the thing, if, (according to Tanner's quote), there are 600,000,000 screaming Chinamen, then you've already lost 400,000,000. That exceeds my low end estimate of 300,000,000 and unfortunately leaves you 80% of the way to half a billion dead. I'm actually hoping that Tanner's quote was hyperbole and that in practice, even at the most devastating, it's less than 100,000,000 dead, (although I think this is very close to the OTL population of Metropolitan France for scale). Still a huge loss of life. Those numbers are just unimaginable to me! A lot of what tanner said in the film I used but adapted it. Let us say he had access to some information but nothing solid as he was a fighter pilot operating over the frontlines so he wouldn't be flying if he knew lots.
|
|
James G
Squadron vice admiral
Posts: 7,608
Likes: 8,833
|
Post by James G on Oct 9, 2018 19:42:33 GMT
(257)
November 1984: China
Without any political authorisation – regional or national – nor any military permission from higher headquarters either, the acting commander of the Shenyang Military District used nuclear weapons against the Soviets. His previous commanding officer was recently dead and the armies he now led were near finished. Surrender was an option, but instead he chose to lash out instead. Control over tactical nuclear weapons was in his hands when all pre-war safeguards and separations had broken down in the face of the never-ending Soviet onslaught. He used all those which he had. Six were used on Chinese soil against nearby Soviet forces, strikes made using rockets fired with haste and almost no warning given to those Chinese troops fighting against those hit with these indiscriminate weapons. Two more nuclear warheads, fitted to missiles with longer range, raced eastwards and out of Manchuria.
The Soviet city of Vladivostok was struck by the both of them minutes later. Warning of their impact was extremely minimal. The sirens had only just begun to sound, surprising people who were used to tests occurring at pre-announced times. Workers, civilians and soldiers started to process of taking shelter where possible, just as they had done during those practice events. Then the sun exploded, twice in quick succession. The near-miss on Tashkent last month had hurt the Soviets as that city in the Uzbek SSR had soon to be evacuated and therefore effectively lost. The nuclear strikes which had hit the smaller Chita and Khabarovsk had caused immense damage to the war effort as both of them were important industrial sites in addition to the role they were playing supporting the war in China due to their positions on & near the border. Neither Tashkent, Chita nor Khabarovsk was as important as Vladivostok though. The loss of this city, which had an extensive port and military presence where it lay at the very end of the Trans-Siberian railroad on the Pacific coast, would really cause the nation and its war grave injury.
Previous authorisation had been given to the Soviet theatre commander to undertake tactical nuclear strikes in China in immediate retaliation to Chinese attacks. This lone marshal, not his subordinate front commanders, had that permission because back in Moscow it had been decided that these could come at any time and there could very well be a need to open fire back against Chinese strike platforms with speed. His commissar would have to be consulted and could veto any attack… and Moscow could also react pretty fast too. Still, the permission was there for tit-for-tat nuclear strikes. It should also be noted that this same permission was not granted to the Soviet supreme commander in North America. When the Chinese struck on the morning of November 10th, the reply was quick. It was ordered by Moscow, not the commanding marshal for the China War despite him being allowed to (he feared to take that decision), but the targeting inside China on a tactical level was left at his discretion: he had no involvement in the strategic-level counterstrike undertaken to make China pay for the destruction of Vladivostok. In Manchuria, the target list held by the Soviet headquarters for those they would like to eliminate with nuclear weapons if given the chance (a list updated twice daily as per standing orders) was worked down. Two dozen attacks were made with small and medium-sized detonations of nuclear weapons taking place all across northeaster China. There were pockets of Chinese resistance, big numbers of cut-off men, all over the place which were hit with a nuclear attack. In a couple of other places, Soviet nuclear weapons opened holes ahead of where their armies were soon planning to advance though as they carried on going south: this was simplified the task as what opposition would be in the way when the tanks were sent onwards had already been hit by devastating weapons.
Soviet strategic strikes took place against Chinese cities once again, this time six of them to add to the four blasted before. Canton, Chengdu, Chongqing and Shanghai were the targets in October; in November there came nuclear attacks to wipe Changsha, Kunming, Lanzhou, Wuhan, Xi’an and Zhengzhou from the face of the earth. Nanchang where Hu’s government was operating from and none of the big cities along the Chinese coast were touched in these attacks, something quite deliberate.
Soviet advances in the following days occurred where they gobbled up what was left of Manchuria worth taking including the Liaoning Peninsula. Dalian (known historically as Port Arthur: what Soviet victory announcements in Moscow called it like they had recently deemed Beijing as Peking) and its port facilities could, arguably, be a replacement for Vladivostok if the Soviets wanted to keep it for good. Away to the west, deeper into China past Beijing, all of Inner Mongolia and the overwhelming majority of Xingjian was occupied. This huge area of Soviet armed control was home to a massed series of field armies who were soon to be joined by many more troops arriving from across the Soviet Union. From an outsider’s perspective, the future for the China War from the Soviet military point of view looked promising for continued advances, especially back to the east down the North China Plain to gobble up Hebei, Shandong and even further – all the way to the Vietnamese border – without the Chinese being able to stop them. In every major fight, the Soviets had eventually had their way even if it had been by chemical or nuclear means. They looked capable of carrying on with that.
Doing that, taking most or all of China, wasn’t what Moscow wanted though. They’d been offering Hu a deal, not a brilliant one but still very reasonable, to end this war before and after Beijing was taken and it was one which he had left on the table while his insubordinate generals launched nuclear attacks. This war hadn’t been started to see China occupied. Huge security zones post-war were envisioned and a massive stripping of Chinese sovereignty in how it behaved internationally plus complete nuclear disarmament were all what Moscow wanted for the future. That would mean bringing the majority of Soviet troops out of China and leaving them available to go elsewhere. Having China as a battlefield for a never-ending war, one which kept needing more and more men wasn’t what was wanted. The Soviet casualties from the fighting, added to the loses taken in nuclear strikes on Soviet soil, was huge. Moscow had the numbers and when it came to military losses, it was sitting on a pile of death notices ready to be sent to families of those oh so many Heroes of the Soviet Union. The plan was to release them once victory in China was declared, when Hu or any successor who would see sense and get rid of him gave in and realised that they had lost. When that was announced, the losses would be revealed to families – no public numbers – but they would all understand that their sons, husbands and fathers had done their duty to the Rodina.
No contact came from Hu after this latest massacre of millions of innocent Chinese civilians. The KGB network spying on his government reported that there was an attempt to depose him but it had been weak and unsuccessful. His position was that of no surrender and it kept him in power. Assassinating him was possible, the KGB said, though whether anyone with any standing capable of bringing the war to a close would be in a position to replace him after so many important figures were already dead – KGB hits squads had been busy in war’s first days – was questionable.
The war would have to go on until Hu saw sense and Soviet forces would continue to flood into China, men not going elsewhere to other worldwide theatres.
Through late November, Soviet forces moved onwards. Hu would be made to understand that his country would continue to be overrun and his forces beaten, it was decided… which went against the overall war aim but done due to Chinese intransigence. Four whole armies advanced south of Beijing into Chinese forces located there who outnumbered them greatly. Another series of victories were won before the end of the month. The Soviets reached the edge of the Zhengzhou death-zone – that city had been flooded with refugees who’d fled ahead of Beijing’s fall – and took the area north of the Yellow River where the North China Plain had been exploited for all that it was worth. Soviet mechanised forces then raced across the river, going onwards and blasting dug-in Chinese forces everywhere as they seized a substantial amount of ground including the last of the Yellow Sea coastline in Chinese hands. These victories were amazing, far bigger in scope than anything done in North America. The casualties came though, lots of them.
Soviet reinforcements arriving in China were beginning to arrive in significant numbers as the tank armies from the western parts of the Soviet Union were moving through Mongolia and onwards: trains on the Trans-Siberian railroad went no further east than Ulan-Ude because of those earlier nuclear attacks but instead headed south. Ahead of them had been smaller groups of troops, men from central parts of the Soviet Union and of a lesser calibre than the tank armies. These men had been sent into the fighting south of Beijing and operated behind the lead units against dug-in pockets of resistance and fighting guerrillas too. The Chinese had had time to prepare here, through mountains either side of the rolling plains across which tanks had advanced and also all around the edges of the big towns and small cities. The incoming Soviet troops had a terrible time. In places, they were beaten in battle and whole units up to regiment size destroyed where Chinese numbers mattered in these engagements. ‘Destroyed’ here meant something that it didn’t when regiments were lost in battle in the fighting inside the United States. Regiments there were run-through by American counterattacks and shredded. There were also survivors, men who were reformed into battalions with little equipment so they could fight again later. That wasn’t the case here. Thousands of men and regiment after regiment from four complete divisions – enough to build a whole field army for major combat operations rather than a security role – were killed with no survivors returning to Soviet lines afterwards.
When Moscow found out, a necessary excuse was now available. Vorotnikov was in the process of getting ready to dismiss and shoot all of those generals and marshals due to ‘failure’ with regards to the war in North America. More failure was now being witnessed in the China War, failure seen among all of the victories won. The Soviet general secretary was shoring up his base of support with the party establishment and that given by the KGB with the armed forces being the sacrificial lamb for this. The new casualties only added to the numbers of held back death notices, increasing that problem greatly. The charges laid were that military officers in China had not adequately prepared their forces ahead of battle and judgement was given on that betrayal of the state in terms of their lives. In a few whispers, some back in Moscow spoke of a ‘new Stalin’ when it came to Vorotnikov so eager to see so many senior military officers shot. One among those executed, was the commander of the Chinese TVD: the theatre commander who had won the war in a military sense through China and only seen that not officially come due to politics. All that success on the battlefield ahead of late November, actions which would have ranked him among the greats in terms of military commanders for how he fought the war, mattered for nothing when dismissed, arrested, flown to Moscow and shot minutes after the court martial. The charge of not preparing his men was one though he also got the blame for not at once using nuclear weapons in Manchuria when the Chinese begun to fire. It was said that if he had done so, within minutes like he was allowed to rather than waiting for Moscow, Vladivostok wouldn’t have been lost. This wasn’t true but it was a good enough excuse to get rid of him: Vorotnikov hadn’t like the praise heaped upon the marshal beforehand for all that he had done in China.
Without him, the China War would go on afterwards. Moscow was still looking to end the conflict. Hu remained resolute in refusal to even open exploratory talks with the Soviet Union. Another option was being locked at though, one involving ‘other’ Chinese and why the latest round of nuclear strikes hadn’t eliminated cities all along China’s coastline.
|
|
crackpot
Petty Officer 1st Class
Posts: 89
Likes: 71
|
Post by crackpot on Oct 9, 2018 21:02:16 GMT
Vladivostok gone... that will put a dent in the pacific front.
|
|
stevep
Fleet admiral
Member is Online
Posts: 24,870
Likes: 13,257
|
Post by stevep on Oct 9, 2018 21:32:10 GMT
James
Well that was bloody. With worse to come no doubt, for both sides. There will be little mercy on either side and the military deaths are going to mount a lot higher I fear, along with far too many civilians. Both by combat and social destruction with disease, starvation and disorder on a scale that will make Los Angels look like paradise.
The hit on Vladivostok is a good bonus for the west as it will seriously hit their Pacific fleet. Both the units in port at the time and in terms of the loss of port facilities and supplies for those at sea. They might be able to use Port Arthur in the medium term but they would need to repair facilities and bring in Soviet equipment and workers as well as ensure stability in the area, which could be a problem. Also the initial tactical attacks on the Soviets, while the counter attack will kill a lot more Chinese troops, will hurt the Soviets as will be the losses from them advancing through so much polluted territory, considering both nuclear and chemical.
Also as you say there is a lot of terrain unfavourable for mobile warfare and this could include a lot of the plains. Both because motorised units don't do paddy fields well and because due to long millennia of cultivation and irrigation the main rivers are often above their neighbouring flood plains. I read once that the most lethal single act in WWII was when the KMT blow the dykes around the Yellow river to flood the neighbouring lands to delay the Japanese advance and it may have killed as many as a million Chinese. Not sure if the Chinese will do something like that but it might happen by accident or simply because the river bed is higher than the surrounding flood plain. That could further increase the chaos and also disrupt Soviet forces but would also kill a lot more Chinese.
That doesn't sound quite right to me. Did you mean something like none of the other big cities or neither of two particular cities along a stretch of the coastline? I would guess its along the coastline opposite Taiwan as your last paragraph sounds like the Soviets are trying to persuade the Taiwanese to enter the war on their side. Which I doubt would work as apart from the fact it would be politically poisonous for their regime both internally and inside mainland China. Also they would probably still be hedging their bets about who's going to win yet and given the number of nukes flying they could be high on the target list for any surviving CCP nukes if they made such a decision.
Hu is probably right to continue fighting as I doubt he would survive an attempt to make peace but it does leave the Soviets in the proverbial position of the monkey who's grabbed the goodie in the bottle and finds he now can't remove his hand.
The Soviet military leaders now know that being too successful can be as fatal as being judged a failure by the leadership. Which will do wonders for morale and performance, NOT. Also given a bureaucracy as large as the Soviet one there will be a number of people knowing that large and rapidly increasing number and sooner or later some rumours at least will start leaking out. Which will not look good regardless of what spin Vorotnikov tries to put on it. Not to mention the S word is being used as a comparison. It could be a while coming but I suspect comrade Vorotnikov's days in power are already running out.
|
|